BADOLBILZ

In the Arizona game one long completion won them a game...........it was a hail mary........but it was also a perfectly thrown ball and it was as well defensed as those players could........they just couldn't out jump a guy with an elite catch radius. The Bills offense took a big lead in that game and then went like 6 possessions in a row without a score.......allowing Arizona back into the game. On paper, one more score would have been the difference. In reality one more score may have been a dagger that halted Arizona's momentum and it may never have been a close game. In the first Chiefs game they were inches away from Zimmer's forced fumble counting and the Bills having the ball late down one score. The Pats were just yards away from beating the Bills in Buffalo when Zimmer forced a fumble. Games obviously are frequently enough decided by one play that this shouldn't be a point of contention.........playing it off like having 5-6 more huge pass plays in a season is insignificant is a case of someone REALLY being too far removed from the actual season to remember how slim the margin for error can be.

No it would be huge just in terms of putting it on film and buying respect from defenses. As I said........defenses adjusted to the Bills lack of deep ball proficiency in the playoffs and the Bills couldn't respond. People can point to the wind being the issue with the deep ball in the Ravens game.....but the Ravens challenged the Bills to throw deep in 2019 as well.........the book is there for a good defense. The Colts were the worst team in the NFL at defending the deep ball...........but because the Bills couldn't push the ball on a beautiful windless day they really labored against them and Allen took a beating keeping the chains moving. It's an important element where they were lacking. Much of it is Allen getting the touch/timing down..........but adding a deep threat with an extra gear and/or a huge catch radius would help.

I hope you are wrong and he proves to be a solid LG.........but I can also pretty easily envision that scenario..........he certainly wasn't the prospect Beane thought he was getting. Being that most OL coaches will say that few OL players are any good before they've had 3 years in the league maybe now Ford is ready to take a big step.........but it's hard for me to ever justify drafting an OL early who isn't equipped to handle the LT position. If you draft a RT only, guard or center early they need to start playing at a high level immediately to justify the investment. They are positions that can otherwise be manned proficiently by modestly paid UFA.

When the lead is that he's young for the amount of years he has in the league.........you know there is a problem. They've also "cottoned on" to the reality that you can challenge him with throws into reasonably good coverage because his ball skills and ball awareness are not good.

I'm not saying Diggs is not good after the catch..........but he's not great at it and he IS great at getting open. That 1998 season was crazy for Moulds. He topped it off with 240 yards receiving in their lone playoff game against Miami. That remains the best WR season in Bills history, IMO.

The numbers are in the links you provided that you didn't even actually read. As for the drops I do not know............what I do know is that the further you get from the LOS the harder it gets to complete flat throws........that's why the out-pass is considered such a critical test of arm strength..........and when Allen tried to put air under the deeper passesl he threw too many uncatchable balls and when he did not the ball was often more difficult to catch as a result. It literally was for the Cardinals.

Three more completions over 40 would be huge. They were already excellent on short to intermediate throws last season........but by the playoffs defenses were no longer giving them the space or free releases and running room that they had during the regular season and the offense labored. Adding Sanders is fine but good receivers still need room to work..........which is what they lacked without proficiency at throwing deep to WR's or a seam stretching TE. Allen was good on short throws already in 2019...........then he became one of the best at 20-25 yard throws 2020.......the next step is getting into the club on deep throws. I'm not sure why there is such denial about it. It's important and Allen and Palmer know it.

The difference is that I have long term on-field and economic based reasons for my rationale..................you just believe they should draft whatever they need now..........I think that's a proven-unwise philosophy.

Wrong. It does add up to a 5-6 huge completed play difference. You want to start further upstream than I do to make it seem like there are less attempts. When you get to 26-30 yard throws.........Josh drops to 20th in completion %. And I don't differentiate after 40 yards........why would you need too? ALL of those throws require a similar trajectory. As I said..........he's a top 4 overall QB who is a middle of the league in deep ball touch/timing/accuracy...........and again, I anticipate that he will make huge strides there after another offseason focusing on it.

There isn't a line right at the end of round 1........I actually feel that you should not be using second round picks on lesser positions either...........the Ford pick was a mistake made reaching up for "need"......... I don't know that they've learned from that but they should have. But you should know that there IS a significant difference between pick 30 and 33.........it's called the 5th year option.............not valuable if you choose a RB or "RT only" and they pan out.........but very valuable if you get a good QB, pass rusher, CB1 or LT.

That's a good example..........the NFL of 1998 was a much different league..........but that year Moulds was an absolute beast in YAC. In 1998 Moulds averaged over 20 yards per reception. Last year Diggs averaged 12 yards per reception. Moulds never played anywhere near that level again but it remains the most explosive, dynamic season I've ever seen from a Bills WR. Before you talk any more about Allen's completion % or the relative catch % rates...........Tua Tagovailoa finished 29th in the NFL in completion % last season........he would have lead the league with that figure(64%) in 1998. Still, Diggs is a great player and ONE big playmaker for the Bills........but great after the catch he is not. You may not think that the current team needs more speed at WR...........a guy that can make people miss or a guy who is just great at getting over the top......... I think the general consensus after the Chiefs game was different.

I dunno........they couldn't stop Mecole Hardman either and Anthony Schwartz might be a better comp for him than Moore is to Tyreek Hill. I don't think that means they should reach for Schwartz. I really don't think Moore is going to be a Tyreek Hill........there are so many more instances of undersized, fast, shifty players who fail badly than succeed........let alone become generational talents like Hill.

Fun player to watch but that speed is less impressive when you consider he is just 175#.........and I think they dipped him in maple syrup before they weighed him because he doesn't even look that big. I think he will have a longer NFL career than Dri Archer because Williams actually seems to like playing football.............but he's about the same size and Archer was a much faster player.

The usual suspects will try to demand otherwise but as great as Diggs is at shaking coverage...........he becomes mortal after he catches the ball. The Bills do not have that other kind of guy. Obviously, with the emphasis so many fans have on waterbugs in this draft, most at least realize that they could use a game breaker opposite Diggs.

@Kirby Jackson was a big Pooka Williams fan. Hope KJ and @thebandit27 are doing OK.......their input here is especially missed this time of year.

The stars in the league come predominantly from the first 3 rounds.........check any pro bowl roster. Disagree about Imatorbhebhe even being an explosive WR despite his jumping ability.........you don't really see that in his actual game........he reminds me more of Jonnu Smith as a prospect than any successful current WR.

Yeah I think you want a WR corps like a basketball team........a variety of talents..........they don't have that now. I am still holding out hope that Chris Mortensen is right and Russell Wilson still might be dealt to Chicago or Carolina before the draft.......and that DK Metcalf then becomes available in trade.

Nearly 500 undrafted players are on NFL rosters every season.

I like Fehoko but see his ceiling as more of a potential Chase Claypool type. He has weird hands like Claypool. It's like the two hands arrive at the right time but one hand always seems to arrive in the wrong place and leads to a lot of double catches etc..

I like the 3 namers a lot in those round ranges. Austin Watkins is smooooooth..........it's guys like him that make me not want to see the Bills lose the draft at WR by over drafting a guy early.

He could go by round 5.......only takes one team.........but the only thing freaky about his athletic profile at his pro day was his vertical leap. I mean there are much bigger WR's like Fehoko and Harris with similar college production running sub 4.4's at their pro days......it is probably the deepest WR class ever.

I actually like Khafre Brown more than his big bro Dyami. Just a bit faster version who will probably be Howell's WR1 next year and a RS soph so he could be in next years draft. Which is kinda' my thing about taking Dyami in round 1..........there are going to be a lot of "good" mid-sized WR's.........the pipeline on those doesn't appear to be drying up. I like Dyami but don't really see the Diggs comp..............Diggs was a monster recruit who was dominant the minute he set foot on campus.......he just went to a bad team.

Even Sean McDermott says WR is the Bills "fastball"............I don't expect them to let the position atrophy.

I wouldn't be shocked if he went in round 7 or undrafted..........this draft is just so deep at WR..........there are some big, athletic freaks like him and Simi Fehoko and Jacob Harris etc.. that are projected to go late that would have been pushed WAY up boards in some of those weak WR drafts prior to 2018. I expect the Bills to take one of these guys late and try to turn them into a special teams stud while they develop them. You know JI is going to get a shot as a kick blocker with those crazy hops and if he can be a gunner he might get a long chance to develop as a WR.

Gainwell catches the ball with ease all over the field..........doesn't matter if it's a short throw or a deep ball.........that's a rare trait for a RB and a Bills fan will see a little Thurman Thomas in that. He also had a tremendous pro day which supports what you described. I don't value RB's a lot but if they hadn't already used two #3's on RB's I'd like Gainwell quite a bit in round 3.