
BADOLBILZ
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Spotrac spitballs C. Kirk & C. Williams to Bills
BADOLBILZ replied to Estro's topic in The Stadium Wall
I hope so.........Matt Haack was the only free agent they signed to a multi-year deal and they basically addressed NONE of the things that they said were needs after the AFCCG loss in KC. Manny Sanders was the big signing and it was hard to get too excited about getting slower at WR. Breida and Lamp were fun 1 year lottery tickets but neither had much production in their past. -
DT is the position on the field where "want to" is the most important part of the evaluation, IMO. You need baseline talent.........but ceilings and floors on top DT prospects tend to be the players with the greatest separation. I like drafting them at a point where they are incentivized to play hard from day one..........we will see if the draft process plays out this way but there are a lot of physically capable/talented DT prospects that project going in day 3 and I think the Bills need to come away with 1 or 2 of them.
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Spotrac spitballs C. Kirk & C. Williams to Bills
BADOLBILZ replied to Estro's topic in The Stadium Wall
Kirk was a phenomenal freshman........seemed destined to be a 1st rounder right off the bat........and though he leveled off as a sophomore and junior he was a big time producer at a big school..........and the 3 years prior had been poor WR drafts so the league was STARVING for WR's. A lot has changed since then.........2018 started a run of WR drafts that has flooded the league with talent........though at the time teams were still stinging from prior let downs and that's how guys like AJ Brown and Metcalf slipped, IMO. -
I agree that OL is priority #1 IMO and Beane has said as much............but Gronk would be a much higher profile deal with Bills fans and he is an extension of the OL and overall protection as well. I like Tomlinson........but from a distance I don't see a fit............he will be looking to make his first big score in UFA and he has already been part of a SB contending team. I actually see Scherff as a better match..........he has already made a ton of money playing for bad teams..........maybe he looks at a 5 year deal with Buffalo at a $2M-$3M aav discount as a way to win SB's while playing in a football rabid town with a very stable organization that has great facilities and a track record for keeping players healthy. Cinci is often cited as his destination but they don't quite check all of those same boxes.
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It's odd that you think Tim Graham made that "Gronk interest" story up because he didn't cite his source.............when you have at the same time noted elsewhere that agents and team personnel can't discuss other teams players in this time period. Agents are floating out stories they want heard.........the media are going to run with that. Way too much hand-wringing about the quality of journalism at a time of year when we know that agents and teams are already negotiating contracts behind the scenes.
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Yeah and this draft is LOADED with guys who have shown some good things on tape and have outstanding measurables............but haven't ACTUALLY dominated..........the 3 Georgia DL are all good examples of bigger school guys who didn't actually make a lot of plays that evaluators can hang their hats on as proof of what they will do at the next level. And those aren't the guys who would normally come to mind first........those might be guys like Mafe or Christian Watson or Woolen etc.. There is a lot of projecting to be done in this draft. I think it's living up to the hype from a year ago as being "very deep" but the reason why it wasn't that clear earlier is that there was a lot of late blooming and some of that might be due to two years of covid setbacks/limitations.
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Dareus was considered an inspirational story of overcoming hardship coming out of Alabama. There was no evidence of any potential motivation issues with him whatsoever. And of course he was a much, much greater prospect than Davis......which is why he went high in a loaded top 10. Dareus was a play maker not just a big body who made no plays but showed lots of track speed. We know you are a Georgia fan and they have a bunch of great athletes in this draft but you are showing your lack of overall perspective here.
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Spotrac spitballs C. Kirk & C. Williams to Bills
BADOLBILZ replied to Estro's topic in The Stadium Wall
I think you can put the quote right in....... "TMZ asked Kirk directly if he was angling to get to Buffalo." "Possibly," he deftly responded. "Like I said, I'm just going to let my team and people that are helping me make the decision help me out. We'll see where it goes." -
You are up in your feels. That's not how you make good decisions. And I wouldn't obsess about Henry anymore........he had one long run in that Bills game but his play production dropped off A LOT prior to his injury........barely above average ypc. After all that hard mileage his trajectory is downward.
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IMO, they now have to change their "we need to be 2 deep with vets" at every position mentality with regards to contracts and instead focus available assets on protecting Josh Allen and making him look good............and get better at developing some of the positions they've been overpaying for depth at. If Denver were to come to Beane tomorrow and offer their two second rounders(40 and 64) and a 4th in exchange for #25 overall............so they had an extra 1st to deal to GB...........then I would say they should probably take it. They need talent on rookie contracts.
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Which WR do you think the Bills will draft?
BADOLBILZ replied to Milanos Milano's topic in The Stadium Wall
There is depth into the 4th-5th rounds at a lot of positions.........that's no excuse to reach for need........especially in this draft. When you stray from the principle of drafting THE BEST player at one of the premium postions in round 1...........you risk making a huge mistake........whether they bust or just become a JAG. There is a very good chance that the best, most potentially impactful player available to them will be Jameson Williams. The guy literally looked like he made Alabama better than Georgia...........with all of that talent on the field he was the biggest difference maker on both sides of the ball. I don't love the idea of taking a guy with an injury like that because I think he might need a full redshirt season to get back to his past level of health/speed/explosiveness.......and even a 95% version of that might make him pretty ordinary as an inexperienced player in the NFL. But you gotta' treat the draft like an ongoing process of roster building rather than an extension of free agency where you patch holes. And round 1 is where you get the STARS..........not the base DE's or CB2's or players at lesser valued positions like RB, G, C, S or LB. -
Actually Rousseau ran a 4.68 with a 1.57 10 yard split versus Davis 4.78 and 1.68. Basham ran a 4.64. In the open field it doesn't matter if you weigh 270 or 340. Davis has to excel in tight quarters to be great.........and much of what makes Davis seem special.......like running "track fast" for a fat guy.........isn't functionally very useful at his position.............he's going to have to have a lot of want-to to excel between the tackles when he is fighting a leverage disadvantage. He couldn't block well enough to play TE.....pads too high.😉
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In the NFL that will just be a face full of rubber pellets for Davis.........and still a first down either way.
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Bills' traits players in later draft rounds - Troy Andersen
BADOLBILZ replied to Lothar's topic in The Stadium Wall
Maybe. Spencer Brown was an all-time workout warrior last draft season and he played a much higher in demand position at tackle..........and he went 3rd round. There was actual first round chatter about Spencer Brown. https://www.si.com/nfl/draft/nfl-draft/hot-take-tuesday-spencer-brown-worthy-of-first-round-selection -
The caps will of course go up..........but the Bills cap situation is worse than it should be at this stage in their development...........even with normal risk factored in they should be about $30M below the cap without having to do heavy re-structure work. They are up against it because Beane inexplicably paid starting money for depth players in UFA over the years like Josh Norman or Ty Nsekhe.............and hung on too long to expensive players that he initially overpaid in UFA like Lotulelei, Trent Murphy and Vernon Butler. He was throwing around $5M deals at every AJ McCarron and Quinton Spain within reach and then dumping those guys just months later. That stuff ADDS UP. $4M may not seem like much to pay a player but if that player is washed and unreliable...........and it's reasonable to expect that's the case with Lotulelei...........that kind of nickel and diming is what got them up against the cap in the first place.
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I wonder if there is a limit on how dumb the 2nd year can be? We've mostly just seen $2M-$3M figures. Woolen showed the great speed in the 40 but didn't look good at all in the drills, IMO. Of the two tall corners..........Josh Williams did the drills much better..........but I was wondering if I just thought Williams looked good because Woolen looked so awkward.
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They did guarantee $2.5M of his 2022 salary..........you responded to a post where I noted that figure in the last paragraph. I think you confused what Buscaglia said. Both spotrac and OTC have the figures matched up now and the owner of spotrac, Mike Ginnitti is a WNY'er who is on top of all the Bills contracts...........if Buscaglia knows, Ginnitti knows.
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The Bills will already be borrowing heavily against future caps so they are basically working off a multi-year model in determining their CURRENT spending..........and in your scenario there is zero net savings over the 2022-2023 combined caps if you keep him this season. If they keep him........there is an extra approx $4M cap hit though. He has a $250K roster bonus payment due in a couple weeks........then $225K in workout bonuses for the offseason..........and then $3.5M in unguaranteed salary that fully guarantees if he makes the roster for week 1. That's $3.75M-$4M that you have to pay him THIS year(in addition to the $2.5M that he got for re-structuring his deal in 2020)..........that $4M is not only a "cap figure" that will further reduce the cap space of those two years(as opposed to cutting him now)............ but it's also real dollars that they can save and use to re-structure other deals.
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It's over $4M if he is designated a June 1 cut. Thing people don't understand is that he will still have dead money next year if they keep him around and wait to cut next year..........so it's not like the problem just goes away entirely NEXT year if you just pay him "$1.5M" and keep him. That's not how it works.
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First of all.........the Buffalo FA signings last year were all 1 year deals.......that's not the kind of thing that agents leak ahead of time. The Bills basically didn't even participate. And yeah they were reportedly interested in Denico Autry and he went for more money than most initially expected. Autry ended up playing really well for the Titans too........put up 9 sacks and was a beast.
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Cole Beasley given permission to seek trade
BADOLBILZ replied to BillsMafi$'s topic in The Stadium Wall
Yeah I don't expect Dorsey to turn into Chud as a play caller............but on 3rd down and 4 I expect his experience as a QB will impact his play calling and he will want to Allen to find a TE if he has the talent there.........where Daboll was inclined to feature the slot WR. -
Obada is really, really bad in run defense.............unplayable bad, which we found out is why he was available so cheap despite being huge, powerful and fast moving forward. He plays tall and his lateral change of direction is horrible. I don't love tryna' turn Nwosu into pass rusher 1...........but he's a much better athlete than Obada.