BADOLBILZ

See the mistake you made is that you gotta' counter offer and take all those "free" picks in the 200's. You can basically tack those on any offered deal and they will still take the deal. The algorithm basically deems them as worthless. Then you can get 18 imaginary picks or so and really load up on the highest quality camp fodder and have the best practice squad in the league(especially if the league goes to 1 cutdown date at the end of preseason like they've discussed).

My philosophy is not flawed at all........it's entirely consistent with the last 10 SB winners. All lead in rushing by nobodies who little was invested in. That's reality. The problem with making a regular habit out of feeding a stud RB is that in the playoffs EVERYBODY plays run defense. So then those carries that were successful in the regular season become forced and less effective. It's why Drew Brees and Alvin Kamara could never get to the SB despite getting home field advantage multiple times. The idea of balance looks good in your minds eye but ultimately if you have stud QB's in your bracket you need to be prepared to throw the ball every down in the playoffs. And you practice like you play........and the regular season is that practice. If you are a team that needs balance to succeed.......that balance will be taken away from you. If you can throw the ball every down you are indefensible in todays NFL.

Yeah, I would have. RB's are just dumb selections in round 1. Taking the ball out of the hand of a QB who is producing nearly 8 yards per pass attempt.......even for a guy like Taylor who had two years of 5+ yards per rush.........is just terrible math and it's hard to justify NOT doing that when you use such a valuable chip on a RB. Of course Taylor fell down below Devin Singletary in terms of ypr last year so he's not the "but what about THIS great RB" example du jour anymore. So much for the "get 5 great years and let him walk" formula. 😂

Only changes I'd make is that Mingo would be #5 on my list and AT Perry would be off entirely. After the round 1 guys I pretty much bounce up to early 3rd round or later values but I think you are right that those round 2 guys go round 2.

Yeah, I've mentioned it before but JSN's bro had his minor league baseball ascent in the Yankees organization slowed by leg injuries so it was always in the back of my mind that JSN might as well. Sometimes less muscle = less muscle to injure.

Slot-only is not a need. They addressed that with Harty........who got paid like a starting slot WR unlike the flyers they took last season. What they need is an outside receiver who can be GREAT at slot. That's Stefon Diggs.........if they add another boundary threat. I thought I spelled that out pretty clearly but apparently not.

And regardless of THAT, the Chiefs allowed the most passing TD's in the entire NFL. Their offense carried them to a SB. I'm not sold that either of them will be tremendous but it was understood that McDuffie was further along in his development........perhaps in part because he's around 16 months older. But Elam has the higher ceiling due to greater length and ball skills........and in round 1 the higher ceiling is my preference.

When teams get 7 years of control over rookies again then maybe something like that brand of football will return. So I guess root for an apocalypse. Until then RB's are pretty close to worthless in todays game.

Actually I think next years WR class will probably be worse. This one lacks a sure thing at the top but I think that the rest of the class is getting docked a bit for that. Guys like JSN and Addison would have been first rounders in a strong WR draft coming off their 2021 performances had they been in the draft of 2022, IMO. Others in this class like Xavier Hutchinson were getting some buzz as early rounders going into January last year prior to opting to stay in school. Yeah.........you aren't likely to get a Tee Higgins late 1 or early 2 this year but it's not a class of bums at WR. And this might be a year where you can include a couple TE's as receivers if your OC promises to utilize them. I think the likelihood at this point(based on boards that aren't really reflective of the teams themselves) is that the best value available to the Bills at a premium position at #27 will be edge rusher. I don't love that it falls down that way but you shouldn't Cody-Ford yourself as an organization because you perceive a need at a non-premium position matters. They kinda' don't.........and with one injury almost any position could be a glaring need 4-6 months from now so needs to me really aren't that compelling on draft day.

Pat Kirwan hasn't aged a day.

I think different analytics show different results. Yeah, that BR article indicates that OL are only second slowest to develop compared to CB. How they come up with that data I have no idea though. But what I think we know without a doubt is that OL is the worst quality position group across the entire NFL. Most fan bases are very dissatisfied with their OL. The reason why is not complicated IMO..........they are the worst athletes on the field so they need to develop excellent technique to not get beaten by the better athletes lining up across from them. Getting there takes time.

The usual premium positions.......LT, pass rusher, receiver or CB. LT is likely out of the question at 27 but there are options at the other 3. You can't cover up those positions they are edge/island positions where an individual player can really make a huge difference for the team. So there are plenty of options that don't include guards, runnin' bax, RT's, off-ball LB's or safeties.

The obsession with the right tackle position on here is just another case of TSW obsession with positions that don't really move the needle wrt wins and losses.

The problem is that it's a general consensus among OL coaches that most young OL are a liability until year 3. Whoever the Bills draft in round 1 or 2 to play OL will likely be terrible and not be better than the veteran option on the roster in 2023. There are exceptions but you have to be prepared to grade on a curve and as a SB contender we will not be down with that. If they took Wright or Bergeron, for example, they would likely get a season out of them like they got from the injury-recovering Spencer Brown last season. OL is a long term play. Ideally whoever they take does not have to play much next season. WR on the other hand........yeah they often take half a season to adjust but they can be more impactful as rookies. Individually speaking I think a WR taken in round 1-3 is more likely to have a positive impact in year 1.

You can ALWAYS afford to wait on a slot-only WR in the draft. And it's also not a need. They have a slot-only in Harty. The reality is that they don't need a slot-only WR at all.........they need a boundary WR to bump Davis back to WR3 where he belongs. And that WR2 will hopefully have some slot flexibility or if not then at least it would still allow Diggs to be in the slot and get the free release opportunities that slot receivers get and better matchups.

I just don't have any confidence in Shakir outside. He's kind of a taint. Neither an ideal slot or a promising outside WR2. DC's aren't going to lose any sleep worrying about matching up with a T-Rex armed guy like Shakir outside. The guy added to the Diggs/Davis mix has to be able to slot in between Diggs and Davis as the WR2 in terms of the attention the defense has to pay to him. I think Shakir will fill a niche role that could be quite valuable but I don't see him as WR2 on this team.

That's the same kind of logic that lead the Chiefs to draft Clyde Edwards Helaire in round 1. Reaching for need at a non-premium position........which slot-WR-only is......is a recipe for draft disappointment. I know that some people don't get this concept and think the slot receiver has to be a small target smurf with quicks..........but if you run a lot of 11 personnel you want 3 WR's who can play outside at a high level and ALSO in the slot. Like the aforementioned Bengals. Forget peak Beasley.........he was just barely good enough at his best for what the Bills SHOULD give Allen in the slot. Gotta' raise the bar.

Yeah something tells me the OP doesn't know the dude is already mid career-age. I am all for taking the best QB available in round 1 every year...........long term success will favor an organization that is ultra-QB-centric like that. The assumption is that 1st round picks mostly hit but the reality is that only about half even get their 5th year option picked up and even less make big impacts. They are lottery tickets and QB's are the only true jackpots the way the game is played nowadays. But Hooker specifically is a really shaky, Brandon-Weeden-esque prospect, IMO.

Yeah it's JAWS. That one hit hard. I had family in Long Island and Rhode Island that lived on the water and remember going to visit there in subsequent summers after it came out and the helicopters doing shark patrol on the busy beaches to make people feel safer. People were pretty freaked out about sharks after that for quite some time. I hadn't even seen the movie but it freaked me out being out in deep water helping my cousin collect his lobster traps. My JAWS in theatre story is that I was too young to be allowed to go and many of my friends were 2-4 years older and they all got to go together to see it and I was pretty angry about that so my grandfather took me to get ice cream in one of those baseball batting helmet cups. JAWS already scared me before I watched it so EXORCIST was probably the scariest to me when I watched it the first time...........but agree with @Success that NIGHTMARE ON ELM STREET was really creepy at the time. IT FOLLOWS was indeed a great one. Great concept and set in Detroit........which is a surreal and super creepy place in real life.

Yes there are some and they have some very boring stories about it.

People think SI is the Sports Illustrated of old but that site is just a really bad fan blog like the Bleacher Report back in it's early years. Putting the word "rumors" in the title implies that there is some chance that such a trade happens and there absolutely is not. I saw an "article" the other day that suggested the Yankees might trade their valuable second baseman Gleyber Torres to the Dodgers for a washed up bum who can only play DH named JD Martinez that they picked up off the street this winter. Meanwhile the Yankees already have 4 guys to who need days off at DH. Utter stupidity. When you start seeing articles about trading players that were just signed in free agency for peanuts to other teams..........that the other team could have just signed if they had any value to them..........you know that it's an idiot fan post.

Oh so sarcastically asking what centers that went after round 3 in that draft have become All Pro's......when I never suggested there were.....wasn't snark? You get what you give. (1) Don't care who the highest rated RB's or Centers were. I already stated my long held opinion........which is reflected in how teams draft in round 1 now........that those positions don't have the impact of premium positions where there are a lot of 1 on 1 matchups that allow individual players to alter the outcomes of games. Edge and Island. Humphrey is a good center but the way teams defense QB's now they rarely line up a big NT over center. Instead they shoot gaps which often leaves the center as just a help man. Very rarely left alone to pass block. Watch the tape. Humphrey spends a lot of time dancing alone and looking around in pass pro which are the most important downs in football(obviously). (2) Humphrey is listed at 300 pounds and has never played guard. He started at center immediately at Oklahoma as a freshman and that was that. All of you that claim you knew so much about him should have at least known that. Amateur scouts can play make believe and pretend that he can play guard or tackle or tight end in the NFL or wherever else your imagination allows..........but he's not done it and isn't close to a physical ideal anywhere else. The Bills have two very solid NFL centers in Morse and Bates(who actually played left tackle in the two biggest conferences in college football, fwiw). It's not a position of weakness by any stretch........and both guys were already on the Bills roster at the time that Humphrey was drafted.......which is why you guys have to use your imagination to explain why the Bills needed to draft one in round 2.

3 years is an eternity for a player like Hill.........the millisecond that he loses that elite-elite speed the Dolphins will be looking to top-grade his complicated act off of the roster.

How far back do you want to go? Last year the first team All Pro center(Kelce) was a former 6th rounder. In 2020 and 2021 they were the same guys, who were 5th(Linsley) and 6th(Kelce) rounders. As for the "can also play guard" part..........when did Creed Humphrey play guard and prove that? In your imagination?