billsfan89

Every team drafts busts (and I think Keon and Kincaid are far from busts) so just trade away every pick you have because every team has busts is not a good strategy

The farthest Hunter is falling is likely pick 4. If you do the traditional value chart the Bills package to go up that far in the draft would look like. I would give the Bills having to pay a slight premium as a margin of error. Bills get (1875 point total) Pick 4 Travis Hunter (1800 points) A 2026 4th round pick (75 points) Pats Get (1944 point total) Pick 30 (620 points) Pick 56 (340 points) Pick 62 (284 points) 2026 1st round pick (700 points) That's a steep price to pay for such a trade up in my opinion esp for a non-QB. I get the value Hunter would bring as a CB and a weapon for 15ish snaps a game at WR too so it's a 2 for 1 kind of deal. But I don't think any non-QB is worth it esp for this roster that has several other needs short and long term.

Dude ***** up his draft chances by validating character concerns, just shows insanely bad his judgement must be. Not that he's a lot cause but I think every team is moving him down their board somewhat.

The Bills "over investing" at RB was more of a 2000's thing. They drafted Henry in round 2, Willis in round 1, Lynch in round 1, and Spiller in round 1 all in a 10 draft span. I get RB's have a short shelf life but 4 picks in the first two rounds (with 3 being in round 1) in a 10 draft period is excessive. Especially since 3 out of 4 of those RB's were fairly good players and the team found an undrafted gem in Fred Jackson. The Spiller pick and the Willis picks the more egregious examples of just losing a valuable pick at a position losing value.

Fully agree, run Cook into the ground (as in use him as much as you want to reasonably so) for 2025 and then let him walk in free agency if he gets a good offer you can get a comp pick and draft a RB to pair with Ty/Davis. But for 2025 when you are in a Super Bowl or bust season use all the weapons you have, no need to lower your production at RB for 2026 purposes. Especially because RB while not as "plug and play" as people make it seem is a position where rookies have come in and produced fairly regularly.

The NFL is the ultimate Quantity over Quality (outside of QB) league. I know it’s easy to look at the Bills roster which doesn’t have many glaring holes and think adding 3-4 higher end prospects will be what the team needs. However, I think the Bills will have 7-9 roster spots where rookies can make the roster but are needed for depth/development. Looking at the roster and I can see the following areas where rookies can make the roster. 1- Corner - Probably the teams only glaring need 2- DT- A less glaring need but a need 3- EDGE- AJE and Bosa are free agents need for depth and development. 4- Safety- Hamlin and Forest are on one year deals development is needed. 5- WR- Bills could use more short term pop and depth while also having a player develop. 6- LB - Milano is older and the Bills LB’s frequently banged up more depth here is needed. 7- TE3- A bit niche but the Bills don’t have Morris so they need something behind Knox/Kincaid 8- Punter- Bills punting options aren’t great could use a body here. 9- Offensive line- Team is set 1-9 along the offensive line but they usually carry ten. Always good to cycle in another oline prospect. I would also argue the Bills could roster a second drafted corner and DT. It’s a roster that in addition to the 4 front line needs at DT/CB/WR/DE has 4-5 depth/development needs at S/LB/DT/CB/TE/OL and a niche need at punter.

Honestly too much of a good thing is a bad thing. Consistent Thursday games are one of the worst things to happen to the NFL. Before then seeing NFL games kind of felt "special". The week had a great flow to it. Sunday was the mega day for football and then you had Monday Night Football to close out the schedule and give you one last taste. Then Tuesday everything was recapped and football reseeded a bit until the weekend. Now the Thursday games jammed in the middle of the week just make everything non-stop NFL. Add in X-Mas games and Saturday games later in the season and it is just too much at times.

Also it isn't like Addison is on the last year of his rookie deal and is seeking a massive contract. He's got 2 years left plus an option on his rookie deal. Those are exactly the cost controlled players you hope to draft. This just doesn't add up.

We saw just how flat out dominant the defense was when Daquon was healthy, a little bit younger, and performing as a big time run stuffer and pocket collapsing DT in 2022-2023. It was a big time difference maker for the defense. A big boy like Grant or Harmon would make a big impact for all 3 levels of the defense.

Edwards to me is the likely odd man out. Do they feel like they can have Anderson or SVPG replace him (SVPG to Center and McGoven back to guard)? I think McGovern is the better player between him and Edwards so if they like what they have in Anderson or SVPG then they likely would chose to move on from Edwards in that scenario. I don't think your Dawkins take is that hot. Although I do think it is more likely Dawkins is here through 2026 as the LT. Maybe they kick him inside? Good problem to have.

I think its a solid group. I understand why someone might not like the unit but I think the Bills staff is probably not gonna make a major investment there. After a shaky start I liked how Bishop came on as he got more starts. A full off-season to work on things and a camp/pre-season to get a better feel for the game and understand the system and I think Bishop is gonna be a good player. Rapp is a underrated starter and I think having Forrest compete there is underrated competition add as Forrest adds some nice athleticism to the unit. Hamlin is a solid backup, he also is a willing special teams player which is a positive to have on the bench as it allows the spot to have value on special teams. So adding a mid-rounder into the mix solidifies the unit longer term to get a prospect in there. I don't hate the idea of adding Simmons but he is going to be 32 this upcoming season and safeties decline around that age. I don't think he's going to represent as much of an upgrade as you think.

I think the Bills are "set" at safety after they add a mid-round pick there. I think Hamlin adds depth while Forrest is their competition for Rapp/Cole. I think they will add a mid-rounder for depth/development given that Hamlin and Forrest are on one year deals.

Context is key here. For one the draft class is very strong at DT so if you can get a high end DT at pick 30 when that caliber of DT usually goes in the top 15-20 makes the longer term value in roster construction good. Also the Bills run defense in the regular season and against the Ravens in the second half in the playoffs was at times very vulnerable up the middle. The DT position is also longer term not that strong Larry O and Daquon are older so there's a need to have a good young player there. I say this as someone whose also very concerned about the corner spot however, DT is also the teams second biggest defensive need and if you can get a high end prospect there that's a good use of a pick in my opinion.

Cowboys taking on a lot of "projects" with high upside and low costs. Cowboys are such an odd team. They draft well, not a top 5 drafting team but I would say top 10ish. They also take some smart chances on players with upside. I would also say they generally retain most of the players they draft. But they haven't done much in free agency even just finding some decent "starting caliber" players in the mid-level market and the owner does some odd things like take negotiations down to the wire for no reason. The Cowboys also never will get a quality coach because the owner and GM are the same person and won't give a coach the control other owners do. They also have a good QB whose paid like an elite QB which will hurt their roster construction. So despite some strengths (good drafting, owner willing to spend money, and attractive destination) they will always be fatally flawed.

He's only gonna be 28 this season which for offensive linemen is relatively young as they play at a high level into their early 30's. So a 4 year extension keeps him for ages 29/30/31/32. It would also help to have 4 out of 5 starters locked in for 2026. Offensive line as we all know benefits from continuity and right now 2 out of 5 starters (McGovern and Edwards) are free agents after 2025 so longer term extending McGovern makes sense. I also agree that McGovern's been one of the best if not the best free agent signing since Josh signed his extension. He's been a high quality plug and play starter for back to back seasons and at a young age while being on a fairly mid-level contract.

Gonna have to see the draft but as of now I would say the Fins are still the second best team. The Pats are a bit of a dark horse as if Maye can develop in year two with a solid draft and free agency infusing some talent around him they could push past the Fins and Jets.

Douglas was not “really bad” last year. Was he great? No. He was a middle of the road boundary corner. The rest of your analysis is spot on.

Seems “fine” Raiders need a longer term direction at QB but Geno isn’t a bad QB either.

Douglas looked like he lost half a step last year but he was still a fundamentally sound “starting caliber” corner. And this team desperately needs something at corner even if Douglas might not be the most exciting options he’s not likely to be expensive, he knows the system; and he is more than capable as a starter even if he’s far from elite. Grabbing Douglas before the draft opens the Bills up to not having any “glaring” holes and they can just draft BPA at any position of need rounds 1-4.

I think so too, I know a lot of fans maybe want something more there but on a one year deal just to have a good stable option going into the draft sounds like a good idea to me. Having a stable starting option for one more season to compete with a rookie can’t be bad

Another one and less than 20 million a year. 4 out of 5 drafted free agents taken care of. Cook is going to be tricky but now McBeane only has one more to go. I do hope they also consider getting McGovern signed to an extension. He’s only gonna be 28 and at a position that plays at a high level into their 30’s.

I think teams are more aware of comp picks so these above average older vets usually don’t get signed until after the draft. If I were the Bills I would look at Douglas to at least have some sort of decent vet option at CB

I was so sure Jasper was gonna be a player of note. Didn’t pan out

I think that’s a stereotype of the Lifetime channel left over from the 90’s and 00’s

They really are gonna make one of these movies for every team eventually aren’t they?