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billsfan89

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Everything posted by billsfan89

  1. Samuel is the obvious cut likely will June 1st him so they can operate up to the cap most of the off-season and then have his money hit late for the "inseason" and draft pool dollars to be soaked up when 5-6 million becomes available on June 1st. With Bass something is gonna happen there but it is going to depend on his performance. If he has a good season I can see them extending his deal if he has a bad season he is out on that cap number. Knox I am not so sure about. He's a very solid player but certainly overpaid at his cap number. But he's Josh's boy and still a more than respectable starting caliber TE and will only be 30 in 2026 which isn't that old for a TE (TE's usually decline around 32/33). So I can see Knox esp with his dead cap being fairly high. I also wonder if the Bills are gonna work on extending Connor McGovern. He's only 27 (will turn 28 in November) offensive linemen play fairly well into their early 30's (usually don't decline until age 33ish) so an extension for him for 3-4 years makes sense and I think can adjust the void year which will bring down some dead cap void money. Cap is going to be tight again next year as the extensions for Groot and the three 2022 NFL draft extended players hits. But the Bills also have a lot of players coming off the books along with a lot of dead money Von's 15 million in dead cap as well as the final 5 million of Tre's original contract plus the last void year on Leonard Floyd as well as a few other lingering dead cap charges. But Milano and Bosa's dead caps are gonna step right into that void. That's why if they can reduce Connor McGovern's that would be helpful.
  2. In shorts you say? Insert Josh Allen shorts joke...
  3. It's not like the WR room is "stacked" after Shakir there's likely going to be opportunity for snaps. I do think there's a chance Samuel settles in as the WR4 "gadget" player while there's a competition for two "outside" (for lack of a better technical term) WR slots between Keon, Palmer, and Moore. And it's not impossible that there's either an injury that slots up Moore or that Moore if he has a really good camp can displace Palmer or Keon. As you said it's not like with the draft occupying a lot of slots on NFL rosters and cap space dried up that there was going to be much better of an opportunity for Moore. He's getting a shot to displace starters in a very good system.
  4. I think turnover differential does have some randomness to it—like weird bounces, DB's dropping or not dropping possible easy picks and tipped passes—but the reason the Bills were so good in that category is because, while there was certainly some luck involved, Josh Allen really did cut down on his turnovers. In 2022 and 2023, as dynamic as he was, Josh had some turnover-prone games. But in 2024, the Bills made things easier for him, and he forced the ball less. As for the defense, while it definitely had its flaws, it was also very opportunistic. And while every defense aims to create turnovers, I think the Bills defense sometimes played with an awareness that they had to generate a few takeaways—especially since they were getting gashed at times by better offenses. Also, McDermott’s defense tends to turn average or below-average quarterbacks into turnover-prone players, so that factors in too. Overall, while I do expect some regression in turnover differential, if I were a betting man, I’d still say the Bills finish in the top 10 in that margin.
  5. It's a fun prospect for training camp in an off-season deadzone. No one is expecting this guy to even make the 53 (the title says practice squad). The drought era vibes would be if fans thought this guy was gonna come in an save the franchise.
  6. These are the type of fun prospects that you bring into training camp!
  7. It was round 2 but Troup was viewed as a third round talent the Bills reached on when they had a super high end TE prospect (and a bad need for a TE) that was from Buffalo right there. The worst moves a team you are a fan of can make are the ones that seem bad at the time.
  8. He's been in two of the worst organizations in football the first four years of his career. The Jets are a dumpster fire and the Browns despite some talent aren't that much better. To go from two bottom five organizations with terrible QB situations to a top 5 organization in the league with a top 3 QB is about as big an upgrade as a WR can get. The rather low risk gamble that Moore can be a impactful player is a good one.
  9. The drafting in the drought years made you want to bang your head against a wall. Either making "luxury" picks at RB with Spiller and McGahee or just drafting the wrong prospects that everyone thought were wrong at the time like Whitner or Ngata or Maybin over Orakpo. That 06 draft where the team could have set up it's trenches through the decade and into the 2010's by selecting Mangold over McCargo and Ngata over Whitner only thing that semi-salvaged that draft was finding Kyle Williams in round 5 but the Bills drafted two DT's anyway so they could have had Kyle Williams and Ngata in the same draft while also getting Mangold at center.
  10. Every year if you account for NFL UDFA’s and try out rookies only 1070 rookies come out of college and get drafted, sign as a UDFA, or just get a tryout as a UDFA. Making any rookie who makes it to the NFL at even the most tertiary level in the top 5% or so of draft eligible players
  11. Outside of WR (which the Bills addressed by signing Palmer and now Moore and I suspect if it is an issue in season they will make another move there) the Bills offense had no major issues. Offensive line was/is a top 4 unit in the league with solid depth/development in place (and they added another prospect there late in the draft). RB room is in my opinion a top 10 unit in the league and the TE combo also top 10 in the league. And of course Josh the MVP QB. Even at WR the unit still has a top tier slot WR and a prospect in Coleman coming off a solid rookie year at 21 years old plus solid vets in Palmer/Samuel and now Moore added in. The issues were the defense and the team imported a lot of talent in via the draft and free agency.
  12. To act like Sanders as a talent wasn’t a QB with at worst a “2nd round grade” is just revisionist nonsense. He’s a talented QB who on talent alone shouldn’t have slipped past the early 3rd round he just really turned off a lot of in his potential teams and it cratered his value due to off field issues
  13. I think the Bills much like at WR are gonna bring in a vet LB before camp. I was very surprised the Bills didn’t grab a LB in the mid to late rounds in the draft for depth and development. My read on that is that they must like Spector and Ulo as depth more than fans think. But given that they carry 6 LB’s usually I think they are gonna bring another body into camp. Not sure who’s out there at LB. I think a name to look out for is Jalen Reaves Maybin, a bit older at 30 but not a lot of wear and tear and a special teams ace with 14 starts under his belt. Could be a solid back end addition if he’s still out on the market.
  14. In 2022 and 2023 when D.Jones was out there and healthy as a dominant run stuffing pocket collapsing DT the defense was completely different and much more dominant. I doubt Walker is gonna come in his rookie year and be that. But if they can patchwork something with an older an older Jones and Walker rotating in maybe that’s the difference they need?
  15. Reminds me of when in 2023 the Bills after the draft didn’t hit edge rusher as a need and signed Leonard Floyd. Bills likely just didn’t like what fell to them at WR so they are now in the market for a veteran makes sense. Moore reminds me of MVS last year, vet burner type but Moore is a bit younger than MVS.
  16. The league is so starved for offensive line play that it’s gonna be hard for him to clear waivers. He’s right now competing with Green for the 10th offensive line spot. If they feel like he’s not ready maybe they find a way to IR him for a season and get him to pesudo redshirt
  17. Typo I made the edit. He’s a better blocker than Morris but not as good a pass catcher
  18. Are people really thinking Hairston is short? Corners on average range between 5 foot 10 and 6 feet so Hairston seems to be right in that range.
  19. Bills got that niche TE3 with some upside. Much more of a blocker than Morris but not that great a pass catcher but has some traits as a receiver. Viewed as the best blocking TE in the draft so getting him for a 5th round pick is not bad at all. Bills had a lot of niche roles open and they filled one with a 5th rounder. Solid piece of business.
  20. Hoping he can step into the Smoot role this season, and then in years 2-3 develop into a monster DE. But he definitely adds more physicality to the defensive line which is much needed.
  21. I am thinking the Bills probably feel like the back injury held him back in 2024 and that proper rehab is gonna help him get back to his 2023 form where he was a much more dominant player. I think they feel like a return to health and a NFL strength and conditioning could sure up his lower body. Not too many men on the planet are that size.
  22. Oliver is a very good player, you could argue has he been good enough for a top 10 pick but let’s not pretend Oliver isn’t a good player. The Lions had a top 2 Offensive line last season and Oliver took over that game. Yeah Ed’s had some bad or subpar games too but that’s dam near every single defensive player
  23. I would think the Larry O suspension keeps him a bit safer. You got Ed, D.Jones, and the two draft picks likely to make the roster and the Bills like to carry 5 so with Larry O out 6 weeks that’s gonna keep Carter in a good spot to hold down slot 5.
  24. Seems like a “fair” trade” basically amounts to a pair of mid round picks to trade up 16 slots in round 2. Bills got a DT just not the big run stuffing player the fans wanted. Still plenty of picks to go
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