JESSEFEFFER

Tee's RAS:

The idea of trading for an established WR who is due a second contract is appealing to some. Tee Higgins has been a name that has circulated. Coleman shares a very similar body type and athletic profile with Tee. I haven't seen any comps to him but I'll say it seeing some would be happy if we made a trade for him. In many athletic respects, Keon has him beat.

Plus, there's the added entertainment value of seeing heads explode with another trade down. Say there are 5 teams in the bidding and they're chewing on it for another 8 hours, someone should offer something sweet. I said Carolina because of the Dan Morgan thing and #33 was theirs to begin with, but I like your ideas just fine as well.

I think there is a great chance that they trade out of #33. The Bills have almost 9 more hours to field calls from teams that see a prospect there that they covet and there will be enough interest to create a sellers market. That's enough interest and time for someone to make the Bills an offer that they can't refuse and the Bills get the 4th "Top 100" pick that we've been discussing. Maybe with Carolina again, give them #33 and #204 for #39 and and #101. A trade that's both "close enough" to the Top 100 goal and ironic.

That is one top 100 pick acquired and one to go, There's plenty of 4th and 5th round capital to get the next one and have a total of 4 in the top 100. Or maybe some team will overpay for #33 after examining their board overnight. Just sayin'.

He had D K Metcalf at the top of round 1 his draft year also. That's him being true to his evaluation, imo. Pick a combo block, hit a seam, break an arm tackle and go. May be a great KO return guy in the new format.

The mock drafts I have liked the most involved a trade back and a WR double dip. Four picks in the top 100 seems compatible with those ideas. Greg Tompsett of Cover1 used the analogy of needing to hit a bullseye and it being better to have more premium darts rather than taking a step or two closer to the board but only having one. The Bills had many darts in the 1985 draft and the 4th round, 2nd WR they drafted made the H-o-F. I also can't see the Bills staying put at 28. Every other team knows the Bills have that glaring need and those having the same need have every incentive to jump in front of the Bills and get any valued talent that might have fallen there.

If you have predraft media coverage fatigue and 3 months is enough time for your post playoff loss soul to recover, J T has dropped his review of Josh's playoff loss performance. These are always informative and well done, imo. The QB School--JA17 and the playoff loss to the Chiefs

I think WR production is more at the mercy of HC/OC/QB/OL circumstances than any position other than QB. So, if you are the Bills and you can identify a WR who you had a high grade on in their draft year but you are convinced came into the NFL into a poor situation or has had bad injury luck, you should be able to get him for less investment and on a cheaper deal and have a reason to believe that they have a shot to thrive with the Bills. It's the nature vs. nurture argument. Foster, Brown, Beasley, Diggs all had better years with the Bills and Josh than they had previously. Burks may or may not be such a candidate but there must be others.

Maybe they draft Patrick Mahomes. Terry and Doug liked him we were told but there is no way that a lame duck GM gets to make the franchise altering, QB choice. That choice was clearly going to be made in 2018. I think if they hadn't lost that game to the Dolphins in OT where there were only 10 on the field after a timeout, Rex might not have been fired.

If they go into the draft with the present WR need so clearly evident, they almost can't stay put. If any decent value 1st round talent is falling toward them, every other WR needy team has every reason to trade in front of the Bills and take him. Beane has had it happen to him before and I think that is why he trades up so often. Probably one of the worst feelings of regret that he ever gets is when he can see a targeted talent falling to him only to lose him while only a few picks away. He usually does everything he can to go into the draft without such an obvious need. But, this year looks different.

Driving a proper vehicle will not be of benefit to anyone if it runs into a multicar pileup during a whiteout.

I'd say once they are in as a 2 seed, the answer is close to 20 percent. ( .7 x .6 x .45)

I think the purpose of this site is to look for meaningful and predictive tools at determining point spreads and looks for value vs. the "Vegas" number. This says that Josh is the most valuable point spread QB (MVPS.) I like many of the other things at the website. It has the Bills at #2 That is a classic. It should be mentioned by Josh's presenter at his Hall-of-Fame ceremony.

Ok. I haven't thought I could add much to this discussion other than there is no other QB I'd rather have for the Bills than Josh. This is true in most every way conceivable. He has exceeded all reasonable expectations in almost every way possible. But, I was doing some self educating and found the NFelo website and took this snip. I tell my kids that math is beautiful because it is the basis of science and science is the best hope of humanity. So, I rest my case.