So by that logic Beane should let the Colts pick a QB at 4 if they are going to. That will immediately bring the price for Luck down to manageable and then they trade picks to Indy when the Bills have more leverage. They won't keep both and the draft capital to get up to 4 would be too steep. The gamble here boils down to Proven QB when Healthy in Luck or all those picks to get a potential franchise QB but nowhere near a lock.