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100% part of the equation. allen's advanced efficiency metrics, stats i put a good amount of stock in, last yr were all top1-3 due in large part to the historically low negative play rate that you reference. this season they've fallen (some would have said predictably so๐๐) to around top1-8ish range for a variety of factors...the largest of which is most likely due to a combination of mean regression and offense structure full disclosure- i predicted last preseason the 2024 offense had the potential to be poor by conventional standards, due to both lack of faith in brady and personnel. and while on the face of it that was inaccurate (offense was incredibly efficient, allen won MVP, etc) i think there did exist underlying issues that were masked by our negative play% which was bound to return to normal levels at some point. now that it has, we're seeing more of the kind of offense i thought was the likely result of playing this kind of system, w this personnel and coaching staff larger point being...imo we are not being set up for success on offense. doubling down on what amounted to a statistical outlier of a season, offensively speaking, in 2024 was incredibly poor judgement from the FO. allen's play, while not up to mvp levels of last yr, is far from the reason we see such inconsistent results- the margin for error in brady's scheme is too thin when the difference between looking borderline unstoppable/outright lost is a never-before-seen-in-league-history negative play rate
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eh we certainly have before. in this case it's less about Coleman himself, and more about the abject failure of Beane on the WR front, and Keon being the poor moron token WR that Beane clearly had to take but did it through gritted teeth because there were so many oft injured tweener DL that he could have taken instead 3 for 48 implies 16 yards a catch, an implication i cannot realistically broker
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Thomas Matthew Crooks & Ryan Routh
BillsFanNC replied to BillsFanNC's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
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What great news this report is. Probably the best shape we've been in for months. Also good w/ the quick turnaround for the Thursday game.
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I wonโt have a number until I know whether or not he is benched for the 1st quarter for being late to meetings.
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Roy's Mid-Season AFL Power Grouping
Shortchaz replied to RoyBatty is alive's topic in The Stadium Wall
Feel like the ravens are trending up, will be in the top tier after next Sunday -
Bills Utter Collapse-- Jim Kubiak BN
Sierra Foothills replied to Casey D's topic in The Stadium Wall
Jesus H Christ? -
5 catches 83 yards
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Love the optimism but I don't that is very realistic the way we use him. A more realistic optimistic stat line might be more like 5 rec, 77 yards, and a TD. My expectation - 3 rec, 48 yards, 0 TDs. I think this is going to be a big Cook game. Down Palmer and Kincaid, I have a hard time seeing Brady looking to dial up the passing game unfortunately. A guy I do like streaming this week in DFS is Shakir though. I think Shakir ends up with like 7-8 catches, 80-100 yards and a TD.
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Game week thread - Buccaneers at Bills
Kelly to Allen replied to BillsFan619's topic in The Stadium Wall
To be fair Kelly didn't get there until he was 30 Peyton Manning was year 9 But mcbeane is running out of time -
Roy's Mid-Season AFL Power Grouping
May Day 10 replied to RoyBatty is alive's topic in The Stadium Wall
I dont entirely disagree... but time is the enemy of Allen and Lamar, but Jones is 1 year younger, Herbert 2 years? I also do not believe the Colts have staying power. I also feel like the Steelers have their own category between MVP teams on the decline and going nowhere. Its like a Tomlin zombie team who is never bad or good -
Exactly. Anybody who is anybody has the middle initial J. Just as Elmer J Fudd.
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Roy's Mid-Season AFL Power Grouping
DrBob806 replied to RoyBatty is alive's topic in The Stadium Wall
Funny how they have the Steelers in the elite group. It's not the 70s anymore lol. -
I think the bills will be committed to getting James Cook a lot of touches. So Keon may have a stat line like 4 catches 55 yards with maybe a TD.
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Roy's Mid-Season AFL Power Grouping
dorquemada replied to RoyBatty is alive's topic in The Stadium Wall
pretty much still though, if we could trade coaching staffs with KC, we'd 100% be in the super bowl, and if we sent our coaching staff anywhere else, the result would be worse for the recipient team -
lets see, how do we do this again. I think everyone should sit out this week and rest another week
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What? Never recall Davis as immature or selfish? Or lazy by that? Where are you getting that from?
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Life, Life Past the clouds You don't have to come down Life, Life Tell it like it is You don't have to die, before you live
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I am going to try something unique and power list the AFC in 4 groups. Ascending Elites: Patriots, Colts, Chargers, Broncos Each team has good ownership, good QBs on the rise, and great Head Coaches. Any of these four I can easily envision in the Super Bowl. Elite MVP Teams on the Decline: Bills, Steelers, Ravens, Chiefs The last 7 NFL MVPs have come from these 4 teams but that streak ends this year. Each team has above average ownership. The recent success of these teams will keep the GM/HC safe for another year but a cogent argument could be made for any to get fired. All of the QBs have either peaked or at least leveled out and time is now their enemy. These teams will need help or get on a hot streak to make a deep run in the playoffs if not even make it to the playoffs. Going Nowhere: Jaguars, Texans High draft pick QBs that neither team will move on from. The QBs have been mediocre to sporadic franchise players. Both teams with below average ownership with unproven Head Coaches. These teams will need help to make the playoffs/ Chronic Underperforming Teams: Jets, Dolphins, Raiders, Titans, Browns, Bengals Destined for continual turnover of HC/GM, poor QB selection and injury. Losing records and terrible owners are the hallmark of this group. This was the denizen of the Bills from the Kelly Era up until the Pegulas. This group will need a miracle to even make the playoffs.
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Anything less than a J would have been parental malpractice
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NFL filed grievance against NFLPA to stop report cards
dpberr replied to dpberr's topic in The Stadium Wall
Yep, I agree. I think the report cards are interesting to fans, and useful to players. The Bills ranked 23rd in the 2025 edition. Many Bs, one A (for weight room) but a C in Training Staff (surprise!) and an F in Team Travel (Shocker #2). The Bills were ranked 32 out of 32 in team travel. -
yeah we are so spoiled seeing the bills choke in playoffs and not even getting to the Super Bowl... right now they don't hold a jock strap to the Kelly lead bills..I suppose we are supposed to all knee in front of the head coach and GM for failing the last 8 years. Im not a fan of Marv levy but he at least got to the big game. the two clowns running the show now can't even do that with the best player in the NFL at the most important position.
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Frankly, if Gabe is ready, I hope he is inactive. Just for the fact that he has displayed immaturity, selfishness, and loafing. That ALONE should put him on the bench.
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Hello? Sheesh.....signed ... Cole Bishop
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Teams may ho got it more than kicking field goals and you dont get that automatic FG to tie late. Thr yard marks could change yo br where LOS is located to 15/35 Golf is safest for head injuries.
