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What I haven’t seen from Peterman


Buffalo716

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From the site I posted above - Game Charting (where attempts are thrown):

 

Tom Brady:

Game Charting
Year Team Pos G GS YAC Rank Short Mid Deep Bomb
2017 NE QB 16 16 5.0 21 51% 29% 12% 8%

 

Phillip Rivers:

Game Charting
Year Team Pos G GS YAC Rank Short Mid Deep Bomb
2017 LAC QB 16 16 5.9 5 52% 29% 11%

8%

 

Matt Ryan:

Game Charting
Year Team Pos G GS YAC Rank Short Mid Deep Bomb
2017 ATL QB 16 16 5.4 15 51% 30% 12% 6%

 

I sort of randomly picked these QBs for comparison.

 

Note - almost everyone is living in the Short game here.  In fact, Peterman's attempts were more in mid-range than short range.  His attempts downfield were much lower.  And these were also lower than Tyrod (same team, same WR, same OC).

 

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26 minutes ago, Kelly the Dog said:

Why would you say that about the push off? It was blatant, about five yards away from where the ball landed. The DB would have been right on him and could easily have shoved him OB before his feet came down.

 

I almost noted that if Streater handn't pushed off it would have been short because the DB was right there.  But since it didn't happen and I was trying to be nice I didn't mention it..  I said it wasn't a TD because of the push off because it was actually called.  So no TD.

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On 9/7/2018 at 12:04 PM, reddogblitz said:

 

KB is plenty fast enough to get open long. As is Zay Jones.  He got open long a few times last year.

 

I think it's a myth that you have to have Bob Hayes or Renaldo Neimiah types to go long.  I've seen bombs caught by guys that you needed a calendar to time. 

 

If you send guys long and actually throw it to them some, the safeties will respect it. they'll have to.  Nobody wants to get beat long.  Could have heavy impacts on the pocket book come contract time.  And you'll look like a fool on Sports Center.  Nobody wants that.

 

Josh Allen's first pass as a Bills was a bomb.

 

The "we don't have WRs that can get open long" sounds like an excuse before the season even starts.

Well we don't have receivers that can really get open period, a la yesterday. 

 

But to keep this in relation to when it was posted, is KB able to stretch the Defense? Absolutely he can. Is that the type of receiver he is? Not really. Any receiver can get behind the defense, that's not the point here. KB's exceptions lie with size and hands, not so much route running or speed. He can get behind defenders, but he isn't a constant deep threat you need to constantly honor or plan for schematically. It's not so much speed as it is equally route running as well.

 

I hope Zay can be that guy, but right now he seems better suited for the slot role. I also fail to see how saying we have Zay constitutes any kind of confidence - I think this guy could be a great addition long term, but he isn't anyone that can be used in an argument saying we have deep ball weapons, much less a solid WR corps.

 

The real issue though, coupled with the lack of open receivers (which we've seen the past two seasons), is our OL. We can wait for the All 22 to see how many plays actually lined up where both instances occurred, but what can a QB do when the OL has glaring issues, and his receivers don't create enough separation?

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On 9/7/2018 at 12:07 PM, Buffalo716 said:

 

I already explained that yes he can only run what Is called. But I also explained that most plays (around 70%) have someone stretching the field deep. Whether a 9 route or deep post... sure they aren’t the primary, and are used to stretch the defense BUT it’s always up to the QB to make the decision , especially if their open

 

I’m not knocking Peterman I’m stating facts. Josh Allen has gone deep More in 3 preseason games than Peterman in 7 preseason... who is he throwing it too deep? The same people 

 

and Brady still tests people deep a few times a game... I’m not talking 65 yard bombs... I’m talking 30-40 yards downfield on a post or 9 route. A play a good NFL QB should make

 

and yes we have deep threats. Kelvin Benjamin is a legit deep threat. You don’t need 4.4 speed

 

He is 6’5 240... he is a nightmare 35 yards downfield. Bring in some extra blockers, go PA, and dial up a shot play

To be honest, I think our OL has made this conversation moot - but while KB can be a deep threat, our overall WR corps doesn't really give secondaries much to worry about. When a defense can provide safety help for one guy (KB) for an entire game because no one else demands the coverage threats, exactly how is he supposed to contest throws? I agree, he's ideally fitted for the jump ball at 30-40 yds and has proven to be that guy at times. But how many throws can you expect to be made into double coverage 30-40 yds out when the OL gives us two seconds to throw?

 

You need the 30 yd throw to keep a defense honest and out of the box to expand the run - but the Pats have been winning games the last two seasons with a shorter passing game.

 

You'll see the deep ball when we have more than one WR threat in the corps, and an actual OL to allow deep ball plays to develop. For now we have to work with what we have, and hopefully use more of our TE's moving forward.

Edited by ctk232
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On 9/6/2018 at 5:27 PM, OJ Tom said:

He blows.

He's the kind of guy that wins the job by  posting himself next to the new OC's office to help him move in, and making sure to leave the practice field last so the coach says "wow, this guy is just so dedicated!"  

 

I'm quoting myself. I was only half joking.

 

This is how Peterman got the job. He did all the right things, and convinced the coach that he was the perfect guy to develop as a backup. Unfortunately, he belongs in the CFL.

 

It really makes me wonder about McDermott's ability to assess players, like he might get too caught up in idealizing guys with "character".

 

Edited by OJ Tom
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5 minutes ago, OJ Tom said:

I'm quoting myself. I was only half joking.

 

This is how Peterman got the job. He did all the right things, and convinced the coach that he was the perfect guy to develop as a backup. Unfortunately, he belongs in the CFL.

 

It really makes me wonder about McDermott's ability to assess players, like he might get too caught up in idealizing guys with "character".

 

 

I think you are missing a real key point in WHY it was NP and NOT AJM and Allen who started week 1.

 

Simple really...no one was willing to give the Bills a 5th round pick or better for Peterman, they did however get one for AJM.  Its that simple.  AJM did not really cease the job, but he also still had trade value given there was already interest in him previously, and the Bills OL and WR situation is so bad that he gets a little benefit of the doubt still.  Not as much as he did before where he was about to fetch a 2nd and 3rd round pick, but he still had SOME traceable value.  Peterman did not.  

 

And with Allen, the team just wanted to keep Allen on the bench longer for his development, and NP took advantage of some soft opportunities in preseason to be given the nod week 1.  

 

I dont think it has anything to do with McD's ability to evaluate actually, I just think it was a Beane decision to get something of value for AJM since neither Peterman nor AJM were anything more than a temporary seat warmer and they didn't want to carry 3 QB's.  Had someone been willing to take Peterman instead of AJM for a 5th, I think he would have been traded just like AJM was.  

 

Now the time is for Allen, its clear NP cant start in the NFL and simply benefited from a real soft situation in preseason...starts versus partial starters playing a vanilla D that is no where near the level of D he will face and back up scrubs the rest of the time.  Had he started in game 2 or 3, he would have been bad just like how AJM and Allen struggled.  He just got the luck of the draw and never was put in that situation.  

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