So assuming the Bills win tomorrow, the team has a 75% chance of making the playoffs and 23% chance of winning the division using Fivethirtyeight. Pats win and playoff chances increase to 79%, while winning division drops to 12%. Colts win, playoff chances drop to 72%, but division chances go up to 35%. Given those metrics, we want the Colts to win. And from all other perspectives, eff the Pats, we want the Colts to win.