Really, the loss to Miami puts the Pats in a deep hole, along with being behind in the loss column. The only way the Pats can win the division is to sweep the Bills. Lose one and you are at 5 losses and lose the tiebreaker. So you need the Bills to lose 6 games. The Bills will be prohibitive favorites at home against Carolina Jets and Falcons. One win against the Pats and Bills are at 10 wins. Bills then need just one win from TB Pats2 Colts or NO to get to 11. You will need 12 wins. That means you have to win every other game to get to 12. Not gonna happen IMO. Pats have no edge. Pats can win it, but odds are roughly one in five. I know you have homer glasses, but math is math.