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plenzmd1

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Everything posted by plenzmd1

  1. hers is everything you need to know about Hammers https://docs.google.com/document/d/1F9yhWkCZkeTFX_6yagiiwCPu-JUnhBAxuPILxW8U438/edit
  2. @Dante you planning the parade now ??? Who are those guys Dante...your take appreciated!
  3. will continue until Snyder either sells the team or passes on..and he is kinda young! He took over for the mosted hated owner by a fan base when Wertz died in Chicago. The whole Redskins game experience is the antithesis of going to a Bills game..people are angry there. They don't want to be to give Snyder money, but they love their team..makes em even angrier when the Skins are losing. And getting in and out of that place is just insane even on Sunday..night games are just about impossible. BTW, the Bills are not sold for Sunday either.
  4. Thx, I just bought a small gas one. Not ideal, but will get the job done on game days!
  5. Agree 100% entitlements hurt the very people they are designed to help...problem is until you change them they still need to fund. I am all for tax cuts..trust me I probably pay as much or more of a percentage of our family income than 98% of Americans. Has always pissed me off, but that is another discussion. The problem here is if you are going to cut taxes, there needs to be a corresponding cut in expenditures. And unfortunately, the Republican crew we have in office now does not have the stones to make the corresponding cuts.
  6. that's the problem with these storms..while I am happy it is going to miss Richmond, I have relatives that have houses on Wrightsville beach, relatives in New Bern, relatives in Charleston...someone getting hit and hit hard,,wish the damn thing would just take a hard right and miss us all
  7. Hi all, Have a pair in section 335, row 4. Dude who has seasons with me last minute cancel. $130 /per ticket best part is you get me and @Augie sitting next too... that alone is worth a buck thirty!
  8. I have a pair, but section 335..row 4..great seats..best thing is you get to sit next to me and @Augie
  9. Hi all, will post elsewhere as well..but the guy who has seasons with me just found out he cannot attend. anybody need a pair of tickets..let me know 335, Row 4..$130/ticket
  10. agreed..all good points. However, i do think that this particular round of stock buybacks and increased EPS are a direct reflection of the tax cuts, and are just not sustainable from of growth and rising EPS
  11. i think the idea is that somehow we as a nation have to pay for all the things the federal government funds..the military, entitlements etc. To do that, the country needs to raise revenue somehow, plain and simple. For the last 100 years, that's been through income taxes...and there is no arguing that corporations and the rich saw the biggest reductions in tax burdens with the latest tax bill. not quite sure what that has to do in a thread about the economy and in specific about deficits recently. I agree 100% with your statment..but the reality is today we have entitlements that need to need to be funded somehow..and right now that is through tax revenues..and increasingly under this administration through deficits. Stock buybacks are real simple equation..most C level execs have bonus payouts and LTIPs(long-term incentive programs) related to EPS. Buying back stock reduces float, therefore increasing EPS without really growing the business, or inflating growth...increasing comp to upper management, and especially C level.Problemis that growth is not sustainable. Just so's we clear..Republicans control the House and Senate now correct? This is concerning...https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/government-borrowing-soars-despite-robust-economy/2018/09/11/09a85554-b5eb-11e8-a7b5-adaaa5b2a57f_story.html?utm_term=.e4d6a72600ca This money does need to be paid back at some point..and the money needs to come from somewhere...for all of you that pro-Trump and pro-Repunlican...pre Trump did you not think bigger government and large deficits were bad? When did conservatives and the Republicans move to the deficit loving party.
  12. yea baby...missing Richmond completely now! Course we have school systems that are off starting today..and every school system is closed Friday..wonder if they reverse course now and open on Friday
  13. Hey quick question...anyone have a smoker they are bringing than has room for a couple chuck roasts? I have some sous vide chuck would like to throw on smoke for about 3 hours and make sammys, but I don't have a small smoker Looking more and more positive for me being there on Sunday..prolly 60/40 now.
  14. did someone take the bait? Andddd..there it is!!! My hot take is someone will fall Fergy's dad jokes at least once a day
  15. the only thing I will say was I had this same sinking feeling last year when we scored 3 points against the Panthers, and then Watkins and Woddy went off on a Thursday night game. Just that sinking feeling of "why does this always happen to the Bills" have that feeling right now. Playoff game was fun though...
  16. we know where you are sleeping..Augie is fretting all week about what he is going to wear on Saturday night! BTW, if this storm hit Richmond I am not gunna be happy..can't leave if it does
  17. thx for this..i dont track NCAA as much..as you know just love that first week FCS action!!! Could be..I dont care if they have 100 tickets and on team and 30 on the other..i care about how much money is wagered...tracking # of tickets..WTF cares?
  18. I think we are reading different articles LOL.No worries. Maybe these quotes sum it up best Books make their money gambling against the public...not on vigs alone. They don't want 50/50 action, they want 75% action on one team ..they look at "squares" ( you and I) and say they will lose more than they win..and they take advantage of that. Another good example of that was the Pats-Atlanta Superbowl. The public was hammering the Pats..but the books would not budge that line from 3 to 3 1/2 cause they knew that half point hook would garner them an avalanche of sharp money on Atlanta...and they thought they had a winner already betting against the Pats..and that sure as hell looked good! Man, I got crushed on that bet as well..playing you guessed it the money line on Atlanta!!!!! Also, I agree with your analysis on the takeout at the track. I used to play the horses pretty hard..but back in the day when a trifecta on a race was a big deal..amazes me that tracks get higher handle when they reduce takeout, but they refuse to do so cause it hurts em in the short run. Now I play for fun and play numbers and names as much as I handicap..
  19. The thinking that Vegas Makes a line to get 50% on each side and only makes money on the vig is just wrong. On certain games, they do have a pretty even amount on each side and as , you say, make their money on the vig..., but many games they "fade" the public pretty freaking hard. Yesterday, for instance, Vegas was betting hard that neither Cinci or Baltimore would win and cover..just about 75% of the money bet on those games was on one side(Ravens and Bengals). Vegas got beat in those games As a rule, the public bets favorites and "name " teams..Packers, Steelers, Cowboys..etc. Vegas tends to take the other side in those games. On weeks where lots of favorites cover, Vegas gets beat. When lots of underdogs cover, Vegas tends to win. ( btw, need to make a distinction here..Vegas should be "books"). So they lose a little money on Cinci and Baltimore but win big on the Bears last night. Most likely way more money bet on the Sunday night game than the other two games combined. Here is a good article to give yu a feel for what i mean http://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/18836496/nfl-was-cause-rough-stretch-las-vegas-sportsbooks-nfl-season If you read the thread, you noticed common and myself discussing what teams all the public money were being bet on..and staying away from those games or going agsint the public. That's usually a decent strategy..over a long period of time. Like hitting 16 in blackjack..its the right move over time..but any individual case can vary. Cinci taking all the money as a dog was EXTREMELY rare..and why I wanted no part of that game. When I started looking at the slate of games, Cinci was my #1 pick..but that money flow scared me off. This time it hurt me..but I will continue to use money flows as I make my bets every week. Where Common and I differ is in the use of points..I never use em, he likes them. Does not mean one is right or wrong, just where you feel comfortable. Historically, in only 20% of games in the NFL points come into play..meaning the underdog loses but covers the point spread. 80% of games, whoever wins the games, wins the bet. So far in week 1, 3 of 14 games the points came into play.. .so right at the historical average of 21%. So my betting strategy over the years had evolved to where I only play dogs on the moneyline...and a lot of times I am getting 2 to 1 on my money or better. Now if I went 50% on my picks..I would absolutely crush it and have an outstanding year. If I pick 40% winners...that's a really good year and I have done that several of the last number of years. Last year it all went south on me... I picked a ton of dogs that covered but did not win games..some of them getting 8,9, 10 points. That's when people told me I was an idiot for not taking the points...but I will live with that? . Last word..if someone picks 60% winners consistently, they prolly lying!!!! BTW, if you want to follow "sharps" ..watch what happens when the following week's lines come out on Sunday night. Bills opened +9. for the Chargers.already down to +7 1/2. That ain't JoeQ public betting and moving a line ..that is guys(sharps) who live to spot lines that are wrong and jump on them.
  20. Can I cancel my tickets and just come to tailgate? @Hammered a Lot , you need security during the game...I am your man! I will work for a decent 6 pack!
  21. This is as wrong as wrong can be
  22. hmm, that interesting.. Initial answer is "hopefully soon at the OTB and on your phone" try betonline..think i heard Shopp mention the other day that is who he uses why, why do you persist in ruining my day!!!! What really pisses me off is I could not get a moneyline on the Temple Nova game. Nova was +15...that would be at least 400...and I am telling you I would have put the same amount on it as i did taking the points... BTW, did you watch the game? Temple will now be perceived to be the worst team in FBS..and may be some opportunity to jump on them if underbet..did UB dominate or was it close and just a few plays decided the outcome ? UB was certainly undervalued going into this game..and beating Temple won't do much for them either in the betting public eyes.
  23. Kirby, not to be a jerk( but its what I am good at) why did you take the Bengals money line? I play teasers very rarely so this may not make sense...but hear me out I lay pretty low first couple of weeks, especially last 4 years or so. The one game that caught my attention early n the week was the Bengals..thought it would be the play of the day. However, so did the rest of America so i am not playing it now. the thing that caught my eye, however, was the money line..was 110 at Bovada. At that low number, I would just take the points...the extra 10% not worth giving up what is now 2 1/2. I know too late now, but did you run payoff with just the Bengals covering? Would be interesting to see how it affected that bet...all this assuming i read your post correctly (edit) and please for the love of all that is holy do not tell me there was juice and a decent moneyline on UB yesterday. Freaking Temple lost to Nova the week before...and truly got outclassed and was overmatched. I am going to look now..but you are on my all time chit list if you did not post in the college gambling thread this play...as I mentioned in there, I had no time to look at college game this week and asked for a moneyline winner...you are DEAD to me? (edit2) oh my freaking stars..the Bulls opened at +6.5?????? my retirement staring me in the face and I missed it! Holy hell, how did that line get posted???? UB has 3 NFL caliber players..Temple was whooped by team not even ranked in the Top 10 of FCS...I HATE YOU KIRBY!!!!!!!
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