Not to turn this into a PPP thread, but Hochul's opponent Lee Zelden is Pro-Trump. There are bigger fish to fry than our stadium deal. But he is from Long Island. He may cancel it to please his local supporters.
But the bottom line is, most of the state may go Lee Zelden's way, but New York City and the surrounding area (save for a couple of districts) will be overwhelmingly Hochul, which will carry the election in her favor.