BillytheKid

I think the Chargers will push them as well. Harbaugh is a great coach. In his 2nd year with the 49ers he went 11-4-1 and went to the Super Bowl. 2nd year at University of San Diego 11-1. Second year at Michigan 10-3. Took him 3 years at Stanford to get going but he didn’t have nearly as much talent there to start as he did in other places and with the Chargers. He has done great every where. Think the Chargers will be the sleeper team that could give teams trouble. Their defense will probably be really good this year. Running game you would think would be even better in the 2nd year of his scheme.

He is more accurate than a lot of people seem to think. He has the most big time throws of over 20 yards in the league. Completion percentage doesn’t really tell the whole story. Think it’s way overblown on this board. I watch every single snap of every single NFL game every week of the year and every quarterback misses plenty of deep throws. Most of you guys don’t watch enough of the other QB’s from week to week. He was ranked as the 3rd best in the league last year according to PFF Highest Deep (20-Plus Yards) PFF Passing Grades in NFL in 2024 QBDeep PFF Passing Grade Russell Wilson97.3 Derek Carr95.6 Josh Allen95.4 Geno Smith95.1 Bryce Young94.6

Bills offered Cook 12.5 million and he didn’t want it. He has the same agent as his brother did and it’s also the same agent that the rookie in Cincy has that is holding out from what I heard. So he is getting bad advice from his agent it seems to me. Sounds like every guy that has him as an agent it takes forever to get their deals done. Bills won’t pay him over 12.5 most likely, so if Cook wants paid from the Bills he will have to come down from his 15 milly wants. I guess maybe if he has another good year he may be able to squeeze 13 from them but I wouldn’t think he could get anymore than that. We shall see. He may end up not having as good of a year and end up hurting himself pay wise. Im not foretelling anything on the day 1 of camp. Apparently you have never heard MOST football coaches say that the defense should always be ahead of the offense at the beginning of camp because usually if the offense is ahead then your defense ends up not being good. Which is what usually ends up happening. Hopefully you learned something today.

Which is why the defense basically ended up sucking last year. Well it’s not the reason but my point is that if the offense looks better than the defense early on in camp, chances are your defense isn’t going to be very good. Offense tends to get better as camp goes on. So I’m happy that the defense is looking good to start.

I think other than Shakir that Moore will be the best receiver on the Bills this year. My opinion of course. We shall see what happens.

Most big time throws are over 20 yards or on deep balls and also tight windows. It’s easy to throw the ball to the most wide open receivers in the league also like Lamar had. Not saying Lamar doesn’t have nice touch but some people in here don’t know enough about advanced stats and think completion percentage on throws is what makes someone have the best deep ball accuracy and that is the farthest thing from the truth.

There is no bias in the stats. They are what they are. Allen leads in 31 stats and 7 for Lamar. Allen leads in 11 per game stats Lamar leads in 4 per game stats. (I counted completion percentage in per game stats and Lamar got that one as one of his 4 even though it’s close) Josh Allen has the most big time throws in the league over the last few years including last year. So saying Lamar is better than Allen at deep throws it isn’t correct. (How Big-Time Throws Differ from Other Passes: While many passes are considered routine, big-time throws stand out due to their combination of difficulty and potential impact. They are not simply based on completion percentage but also take into account the context of the throw and the potential consequences of success or failure. For example, a 50-yard completion into a tight window is more likely to be considered a big-time throw than a 5-yard completion with a wide-open receiver.) In the 2024-25 NFL season, Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills led the league in Big Time Throws, according to Pro Football Focus (PFF). He had 43 big-time throws, six more than the second-place player, according to PFF So if you are mean what people are saying in here is Bias, maybe , but no bias in the stats, they are what they are.

I would love for him to have over that amount this year and to let him throw the ball more this year. My opinion. I guess he would have had more stats last year if he didn’t miss out on playing 2 full games because of not playing in 4th qtr’s and missing the last game. Still would like to see more touchdown passes and yards this year compared to last and him be able to keep the turnovers down. One thing about last year is Buffalo only had 8 turnovers all year and all 8 were from Josh. Not one other player turned the ball over between running backs, receivers, special teams. Probably not going to be as lucky this year in the turnover department. That’s a crazy stat. Be wonderful if Buffalo could do that again.

The main reason Lamar passing numbers looked better last year were because he had Henry in the backfield and that gave him the most wide open receivers in the league. That has already been shown with advanced stats. If you take Henry away Lamar will go back to the passer he was before Henry and his numbers won’t look near as good. I would say if you gave Burrow, Mahomes or Allen , Henry in the backfield all 3 of them would throw for more yards and TD’s then Lamar did.

Career wise Mahomes has better numbers than both Allen and Jackson and everyone else ever. If you do regular season by itself and then regular season plus playoffs, Mahomes is the best. Just playoffs then Josh has him beat in total yards per game and touchdowns per game. Mahomes has the 4 Superbowls though. Regular season though career wise Mahomes out does everyone in most categories.

This guy does a good job in my opinion at least of showing how Josh Allen has played against Mahomes in the playoffs after Nick Wright tries to say Mahomes has outplayed him in every playoff game. Has some great stats and info in it.

On a per game basis Allen has been just as good as Mahomes stat wise in the playoffs. I can show those side by side. Both are other worldly elite in playoff stats. obviously the biggest difference in those would be Mahomes 4-0 record against Allen. Just stats though Allen is ahead of him in a few categories on a per game basis. I used Microsoft Co-Pilot and then had it quadruple check itself getting the stats to make sure they were correct. Then also checked it myself to make sure. It extracted them from espn, stat muse and pro football reference. I knew a lot of the stats were correct also because I have done comparisons so many times.

Yes, I already know all of that and agree for the most part, but I like putting things side by side to show the differences. Burrow actually looks better on a per game basis career wise than Lamar does. Other than the rushing stats but total yards per game and other areas.

Images of Career stats total and per game averages for regular season, playoffs and combined regular season plus playoffs. I tried to use per game averages also, so that way no Baltimore fan or anyone else can use the excuse Allen has played more games cause Lamar got hurt. Next images are what records each has broken or has so far in the league. Without being Bias, which I know would be hard, who looks like the better career QB using stats?

You can’t be on the pup list unless it is due to football related injuries from what I understand and they can’t practice at the start of training camp, so he will not be practicing next week when camp starts.

Not sure how you exactly got those numbers but I did total passing attempts, total rushing attempts for regular season and playoffs. Didn’t do receiving because the QB would have touched it on those attempts anyways. I did it without including sacks and also with including sacks. In both cases Allen is far above Rodgers. without Sacks Allen score points every 14.87 touches Rodgers without sacks included is 16.72 with Sacks included Allen is at 15.60 with sacks Rodgers is at 17.69 The reason I did it with sacks and without was because I wasn’t sure if they count sacks as a passing attempt or rushing attempt already, so I did both just to make sure. Allen has better numbers even if you add his sacks to it and leave Rodgers sacks out. Allen still scores more often per touch. Mine are for regular season and playoffs but Allen would still be higher just on regular season alone also. So again I am not even sure how you came up with your numbers???

Since it was an eye wouldn’t it be 1 800 SEE YOUU … in court

I was just making a video about how Allen is also the ALL Time leader in most Touchdowns Per Game in the regular season and Playoffs. 2.36 per game regular season Mahomes is second at 2.31. Josh is at 2.53 I think it is for playoffs with Mahomes 2nd. Lamar is all the way down at 11th place all time regular season touchdowns per game and even farther down in the playoffs. Good post and somewhat similar to what I have been thinking about lately.

Your argument that if they don’t “do this play” or they “don’t do that play” is a horrible argument. Every team can say that about every single game. Every QB has games, especially the good ones where they pull crap out of their butts half of the game for their team to win. I could go back and watch the Denver game and that Pittsburgh game and do the same exact thing for those two teams vs Buffalo and say well if Denver doesn’t do this and Pittsburgh doesn’t do that then they would have been down by even more points than they were and they shouldn’t have even scored. That’s a ridiculous argument. The fact is Buffalo did make those plays just like plays are made in every game. Buffalos offense was good now matter how much you want to disagree with it or not. Your argument is horrible.

Let’s make this easy. The Bills drafted some players just like the other 31 teams did. The Bills picked up some free agents just like the other 31 teams did. No one knows how any of the teams will look with their new players until the games are played. Some of the teams with their drafted players and free agents will have a good year and some won’t. Saying any one team won’t be good or bad before the season is just talk like every other off season. Just an article that was written so he could collect his paycheck showing he did work for that week.

I disagree. The Bills would have played the Eagles a lot closer than the Chiefs did. The Eagles defense wouldn’t have stopped the Bills offense. The Bills offense was number 1 in EPA last year. Nobody in the NFL stopped them last year once they got Cooper at Wide Receiver and everyone was healthy. The Chiefs offense overall sucked last year. The Bills would have scored plenty on the Eagles no matter how good their defense was. The Bills offense scored on everyone. The problem would have been the Buffalo defense. The Eagles would have scored also. So it would have come down to which defense could get one more stop than the other and that most likely would have been the Eagles. Also the Bills didn’t turn the ball over last year at all. The Chiefs had two costly turnovers to start the game which put them behind. That wouldn’t have happened most likley to the Bills since they didn’t turn the ball over and the Bills offensive line was far superior to KC’s O-line last year. Would have been a one score game either way. The difference in the Eagles game vs KC compared to the Bills is that their d-line was more capable of hurting KC’s crappy O-line and Buffalo’s d-line wasn’t.

Hilarious take. You may end up being right but you seriously can’t say whoever wins a week one match up will end up being the Super Bowl Champion because of the week 1 game between 2 teams. I mean… you can say it….and you just did but that’s not a serious take. Too many more things go on during a 17 week schedule to come to that conclusion. Too many other teams and who knows who could get injured on either Buffalo or Baltimore and many more. Also because one team wins week 1 that means the other team can’t beat them in the playoffs? Could it end up affecting seedings? Sure. That’s as far as I would go with it though.

Yeah I thought about that. lol… would have 100 pages of hate. If I posted it on the Commander’s site would probably have 100 pages of how correct this is. 😁

I guess go look it up for yourself then. I’m just telling you what the advanced stats said. How would Mahomes get robbed? He got scored the exact same way as everyone else? He was the best Passer beating Burrow out by 1 point in that category. Josh beat out Mahomes and Burrow because of his running score. I weighted all of the passing and running to make sure each person got weighted more if they were a pass more of run more QB and based it on how much they did of each. Not saying you are wrong just wondering how he would be robbed. Also like I mentioned in there, if it was only running and passing put together and no sacks or turnovers were included then Lamar beats Josh out by 1 point as the top QB.

Appreciate the feed back. Actually it wasn’t. I was trying to not come to any specific conclusion. I used a bunch of advanced stats and tried to find who was the best. Allen didn’t finish first in anyone category. I tried to use a point system that was fair. I also weighted the passing and running based on what percentage of time each QB threw the ball vs ran it so that way there wasn’t a giant one size fits all which would be unfair. I tried to make it well rounded. Obviously you could exclude certain things and get different results. I could take out everything and just use passing and Mahomes would be the best QB last year still. Because he had the best all around advanced passing stats even though people thought he wasn’t good. He actually was good overall outside things on his offense that weren’t related to him caused his regular stats to not be as good. If we just did running, Jayden Daniels was actually better than Lamar overall. So I guess it’s how you wanna look at it. I was just trying to see what the advanced stats using many of them would find with the help of AI and that’s how it worked out. Agree with you but that’s why I used advanced stats because they tell a better story in my opinion compared to just using regular stats. Anyways was a fun and interesting exercise.