JohnNord

I think that Josh has a legit chance at MVP but a few things will need to happen: #1 Miami will have to lose their last two. #2 Buffalo will need to win their last two and secure #2 in the AFCE #3 Josh will have to have 2 monster games in the process. If these happen, and I think there’s a decent chance, I think Josh has a chance to win MVP. In this scenario of course, the biggest completion will be Lamar, CMC, or Hill. Any of those three can also have monster games over the final two and steal MVP.

Hill goes before Tua on just about everyone’s list.

Baltimore’s defense is really good too. This is a great team

Yeah what people are going to look at first is Baltimore’s records which probably will be the best in the league. From a statistical standpoint, he doesn’t really compare to the others. He has played awesome and looked like an MVP tonight, and sometimes the last thing you see sticks with people so we’ll see if he can replicate this next week

Lamar is playing really well. One thing I notice is that he seems to be eluding just about every defender near him in the backfield and making a great throw to an open WR. It makes me wonder how sustainable this is, because at some point he’s not going to be able to escape

Good point. After watching the Chargers put up a fight and the Raiders beat KC, nothing is a given. New England’s defense is pretty good and Barmore and Uche are two game wreckers. The Bills can’t sleep walk through this game and expect a victory. If they do, NE can find a way to cause turnovers and help put points on the board. The NE offense in the other hand is pretty depleted. If there aren’t any turnovers I don’t see them scoring enough points to win…but who knows? Yeah but it really took a lot. Some really bad penalties and terrible times. 3 turnovers - 2 inside the Bills own territory and one at midfield, 50+ yard field goals, 0 defensive turnovers. With that being said NE is still hard (to the detriment of their draft pick) and can’t be overlooked.

Baltimore was always the more important game. Dallas was so close to a win but it was a lot like a Bills loss this season. I wasn’t overly impressed with the Dallas offense or Dak Prescott. Much like last week when Dak was rushed he became rattled. Sometimes the Dallas OL was so bad at communication they simply forgot to block the open rusher. Other times, Dak had time and didn’t know where to go with the ball. You could see him think about throwing and double clutch, only to throw to a receiver short of the sticks. In the 4th quarter he lead a really nice TD drive downfield to put Dallas ahead by one point. The Dallas defense perfected the bend by don’t break defense and held Miami to long FG’s all day long. Usually things a recipe for success. Of course on the final drive after the TD, the defense couldn’t get a stop allowing Miami to run out the clock and score the winning FG. Bad complimentary football! Much like the Bills you can fault both the offense and the defense, though both played well at times. As far as Miami, I thought the defense played really good though I don’t think they were challenged by a hesitant play caller. They are a good team, but they are far from unbeatable. AFC literally is wide open .

I think Miami finally beats a winning team today

Yeah, I’ve known this stat for a while and it is completely maddening. It’s not just the fact that they’ve been near 100%. So many of these attempts were longer, lower percentage kicks. Also not like teams are stalling near the goal line and making chip shots. Also wasn’t the one miss a block or deflected ball at the line?!?!? The full list is below and surprisingly there are two teams with a lower percentage. Not surprisingly, Cleveland is #1 and a team like Jacksonville which has been inconsistent is ranked fairly high as well. But if you look at the list, most of the top teams are toward the middle or higher. You have to think at some point things change a bit. https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/opponent-field-goal-conversion-pct I knew when Dicker lined up for the 53 yard FG it would go right through the uprights. Injury luck ✅ Fumble luck ✅ INT bounces ✅ FG bounces ✅ Basically unlucky across the board

I can agree with that. But if you are introduce luck as a substantial factor, then you can easily say the reason the Bills 13-2 is because of “luck.” And you can’t discount luck as a factor in why some teams win the SB and why other don’t. The problem is that Bills fans want it both ways. The Bills are lucky when they win a game versus a bad opponent but when they lose a close game it’s their own fault.

He put a giant target on his back as a Running Back you can get to fumble. Teams are going to specifically be strategizing ways to rip the ball out. Cook needs to be ready.

I have a sinking feeling Miami is winning the next games. Also I don’t see Kansas City losing…. But who knows?

It’s just that Chargers played tough, the Bills had a ton of penalties and turned the ball over twice in the own territory and once near midfield. Still the result of those turnovers were 13 points. My concern is that the offense looked very disjointed again. Bad performance by the OL and Diggs just doesn’t look the same.

I agree. I think they want to give Ty a week off and see what they have with Lenny. If he shows out there’s a chance he could a regular roster spot

That was a really good interview. I have to say Josh seems pretty relaxed and positive.

No one knows… this was a rumor on Twitter by someone who later deleted their account…so what does that tell you?

A lot of people have made that Josh - I just feel that in his film analysis Warner advocates for Josh to take the check down quite a bit. That’s the type of QB Warner was - so he’s partial to that style of play. If Josh followed Warner’s advice you’d see a higher completion percentage, less INT’s, but also more drives that end without points. In fact we saw this style a bit this season in the Dorsey offense and that’s exactly how it played out.

Somewhat probably = 0.01% chance.

Yep it’s ok to see things differently. We tend to forget that here.

The problem was never the metrics, Peter. The problem was the offense wasn’t sustaining drives and more important wasn’t scoring points. I feel that Ken Dorsey was the problem as a play caller. Explain this to me, if Dorsey was doing such a great job and running an effective offense then why did a relatively healthy Bills offense average a pedestrian 18.5 points over his final 6 games? Including struggling to break 20 points when facing lesser completion? Meanwhile under Brady, the Bills have faced 3 highly ranked and 1 mediocre defense (PHIL) and averaged 29? That’s an 11 point difference against stiffer competition. Every time I bring this up to a Dorsey supporter, they never have any response. Also we’re talking a sample size of 6 games and 4 games. So to say their either is a fluke is probably not honest. IMO it’s faulty logic to think Dorsey would have done the same given more time. It was the same story every week - we waited each week for improvement and it really never happened. The Bills are 8-6 and might not make the playoffs. There’s a lot of criticism you can point to. Firing Ken Dorsey should not be one of them.

I wouldn’t put Tampa on this list as the Bills offense completely stalled in the second half. They had a few nice drives and did a good job getting Gabe and Shakir involved in the passing game but the end result was 24 points. Barely enough to win.

The Cover 1 crew did a great job challenging Warner’s criticism of Josh. The problem with Warner’s criticism is that he doesn’t completely understand the style of play from of non-conventions QB’s like Josh. Warner tends to be partial to QB’s who play the same way he did as a passer - which was throwing with timing and anticipation. He constantly advocated for Josh to check the ball down in his analysis. Josh largely did this early in the season and it essentially neutered some of the things he did well. If anything Dorsey’s offense showed us this season, it’s that Josh isn’t meant to be the type of QB that takes three steps and checks the ball down to the receiver 3 yards away. Like Mahomes, part of his game is playing off schedule. The problem last season is that it seemed like everything Allen did was off schedule resulting in a boom or bust result. Obviously, the key is finding balance between moving the sticks and taking a deep shot. Allen never found that answer with Dorsey, hopefully it something Brady can bring out of him.

This I agree with…

Would've been a great pickup before they signed Linval. Now with Jones coming back they would just have too many DT’s especially considering Phillips injury doesn’t seem to be long term

There may be some truth to this, but I just don’t see any way how McDermott suddenly says “ok forget it, we’ll let Josh run” after firing Dorsey. If this was of his strategy you’d think he’d double down after firing Dorsey. we’ll probably never know either way, but in my opinion that theory doesn’t make sense I think there’s a lot of truth to this. But Brady didn’t really “cut Josh loose as a runner.” The difference between Dorsey and Brady have been 2-3 rushing attempts per game. It’s not that drastic. I’d agree that the difference is the play calls.