Ray Stonada

If we win out, we have a 98% chance of getting in with NYT simulator. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/upshot/buffalo-bills-nfl-playoff-picture.html#kc-buf-14=loss&buf-dal-15=win&lac-buf-16=loss&buf-ne-17=win&mia-buf-18=loss

"They" is the coaches. One of the Eagles said about the Bills D in OT, "we couldn't believe the defense were in. When I saw that I knew we had a TD." Tells you something about McD's defense in crunch time.

This game is there for the taking. Shade coverage towards Kelce, press the rest and let the pass rush feast. On offense, lots of play action, keep running it, grind them down and add a wrinkle--how about a screen pass to Josh with a whole mess of blockers?

THIS. Compare to how Green Bay defended Mahomes with the game on the line. Safeties were back, but CBs were right up on the receivers! Pressing. And it worked. I do not understand how McDermott does not see this!! Instead he plays off and gets shredded, and calls blitzes at the worst times.

I put our problems on playcalling. Mainly Dorsey making us far worse, and McD calling off-coverage every time we need to hold a lead. We would be 10-2 or better otherwise.

Ha. Your late mother sounds very cool. Maybe Josh should play the trombone, with his arm strength? Or, we win the Super Bowl and everyone is happy as clams

Watched the Manning Cast this morning and I gotta say, Tua is a very likable guy. He enjoyed himself and laughed a lot, made fun of his own arm too. Even played the guitar decently. I miss the days (2020) when the Bills were enjoying life that.

Man, I would have loved to be there! Am hoping to try some of @Zerovoltz K.C. barbecue tips if I ever make it there.

Once again, wrong figures. You need to select the Chiefs to win that game, not leave it blank. The correct number is 52%, not 73%. I guess you are trolling.

Only 14 months ago, the Bills played the Chiefs at Arrowhead. Both teams were 4-1, it was a rematch of the titanic 13 seconds game eight months earlier. I rewatched. What I didn't remember about last season's game is the amount of resilience Buffalo showed, how many times the Chiefs had a big play but we just. kept. coming. back. Start of the game, we drove the field to their 14 yard line, when McKenzie fumbled a lateral pass from Josh. Big momentum change against us. But later in the first, the Chiefs drove the field to our 9, where Mahomes drifted, drifted, let fly for JuJu... and was picked off by Kaiir Elam. Second quarter, Mahomes ran around for 7 seconds, threw back across the field for Juju, who broke a tackle and went for a 42 yard touchdown. We fought back: with less than 20 seconds left in the half, Josh Allen threw a technically perfect rainbow for a 34-yard Gabe Davis touchdown, who was one-on-one with a rookie CB. The Chiefs drove the field in 15 seconds (MCDERMOTT! GRRRRRRR), and Harrison Butker hit a 62 yard field goal against the wind, as time expired in the first half. Traumatic return of the 13 seconds problem. No matter. Third quarter, Josh Allen threw a SECOND perfect rainbow, this time from the 17, for a touchdown for Diggs. No one who watched this game could call Josh Allen anything but one of the best and smartest QBs you'll see. Chiefs came right back and got another TD pass to JuJu. We fought back AGAIN: after a clutch drive with a big pass to Diggs, and then a sick Josh Allen power run with a clean leap over the defender for the first down. At the two minute warning, Allen hit Dawson Knox with his third superb touchdown pass of the game. Still lots of time. But Von Miller who had two sacks got a good pressure, Mahomes threw a little off balance, Taron jumped it for the INT. Game over and a great defensive stop to end it. You could see how this team, under Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs, is resiliient as hell. I felt really proud of them. Then thought of all they have overcome since, so many great players going down, a near death on the field, and so much more. Refs who call ABSURD intentional grounding on Allen among many other issues. Most of all, this team somehow keeps fighting hard despite coaches who time and time again put them in bad positions, don't adjust to opponents and make it so much more difficult to win close games. These players can go all the way.

They would also love to knock us out of the playoffs! Even if we win four straight heading into Miami, it’s a huge game for us. Win and our playoff chances are 99% Lose and they are 46% https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/upshot/buffalo-bills-nfl-playoff-picture.html#kc-buf-14=loss&buf-dal-15=win&lac-buf-16=loss&buf-ne-17=win

By not “stipulating” two games as losses you’re just leaving them undecided. So your percentages are wrong. It’s not 50% if they lose two games, it is much, much lower: 3% to 7% depending on which two they lose.

I did. You’re wrong. You’re not filling the form out right.

You didn’t fill in the loss against the cowboys. When you do the chance goes down to 56%. If we lose twice our chance is less then 8%.

I wish McD could show the fire of Sirianni just once.

Would love it if McD stops for a minute and thinks, "F--- it, my style of playing off-coverage and being cautious late in games ain't working. I'm gonna play my regular D late in the fourth. Someone comes up with a long TD, hats off. Trust Josh to get it back!"

I just wish they'd open stores on Sunday

Germany. If we get KC down, I will feel a lot more excited…

Update: these numbers have already changed, for the worse. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/upshot/buffalo-bills-nfl-playoff-picture.html#& Our current overall chance of making playoffs: 15% If we lose to KC: 4% If we lose to KC and then win out: 46% Only two scenarios where our chance is above 50/50: Win out, including KC and four more: 97% Beat everyone except Dallas: 63%

1. With a sample size this small, like 30-40 coaches who have won a Lombardi, I don't think stats about tenure mean much. Hasn't been done until someone does it. 2. This team only loses in very tight games. Bills need someone who has that knack to play chess and be a move ahead. They could be a dynasty. Any coach who has a strategic head on his shoulders during games would be an improvement.

Gotcha. Yeah, been a week... being a Bills fan... it's intense.

This is awesome stuff, thanks. Based on this I'm gonna try to make it to KC a couple days early for the AFC championship

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This one went over my head..

I've been watching on DAZN since October. Suddenly, as of today, it won't let me watch any of NFL Gamepass, it keeps saying "Some streams are not available while you are traveling." (I am not traveling.) Anyone else had this issue?