Chaos

His offenses have helped post a lot of wins a few times. I realize some prefer yards.

Bills finished 6th in the AFC this year. Five teams did better, 10 worse. Bills have a QB who should get better, and it generally feels like the team should get better next year. But the 2020 Bills won't be competing against the 2019 Bills, they will be competing against the other AFC teams. Which ones do you think are going to improve next year, and which ones decline. AFC East Pats - maybe the hardest one to gauge. But seems to be in decline for now. Bills - Ascending - QB should improve. In game coaching has a lot or room for improvement. Jets - I think Gase is a wheel spinner, and that the Jets are equally likely to go up or down Dolphins - Dolphins really have almost no where to go but up. But they seem like a low ceiling team. AFC North Ravens, - ascending. Same dynamics as the Bills but starting from higher ground. Steelers - ascending. I hate the Steelers. But their defense is solid, coaching is solid, and their QB situation almost certainly has to improve. If rudolph and duck are they only choices at QB, then this arrow turns sideways Browns - ascending - hate Mayfield, I think he sucks. almost anyone they hire for HC has to be better than the clown they let go. arrow may be up, but ceiling is still low. Bengals - ascending - no where to go buy up. Also low ceiling AFC South Colts - Sideways to down. Love their head coach. But they look to be in QB hell to me with Brissett. I think they are close to looking at a full rebuild. Texans - Sideways to down. They gave up a lot of draft capital to get where they are. Despite his stunning return, Watts is on the decline. playmakers have all peaked. They needed the refs to cheat to win a playoff game. Jaguars - Down -- Marrone means always expect to go down Titans - Ascending - Tricky one. If Tannehill is born again, its an up arrow. If he simply played way over his head this year its a down arrow. AFC West Chiefs. ascending. Same dynamics as the Bills but starting from higher ground. Chargers - declining - key players have peaked or are on the declin Raiders - ascending. I think low ceiling though. Carr is not likely to get better, which keeps them from moving much Broncos - wheel spinning until the QB issue is solved. NFL always changes, so past is not necessarily prologue. For 15 years the Pats, Colts and Steelers were the only AFC Champs, save for one appearance by the Flacco Ravens. The Chiefs and Ravens, seem built to be part of the championship mix for a long time. They are already the 1 and 2 seeds. Have proven coaches and two QBs widely accepted at the best young QBs in the game. Mahomes and Jackson may very well recreate the Manning-Brady rivalry along with Reid and Harbaugh. I am not sure if the Bills have the coaching/QBing to become the consistent third team in the mix. If Tomlin and Belichick cannot create past magic, I think the Bills are positioned to be the next best consistently after the chiefs and ravens. Unfortunately, I don't see any obvious moves that will allow the Bills to propel past these two teams on a consistent basis. To be clear on any given Sunday most any team can win. The Bills can beat any team on any given Sunday. But in 2019 against teams with winning records, the Bills did not win very many Sundays.

Your conclusion that having more passes being due to overtime has any relation to impact the likelihood of turnovers was inane.

You don't really understand how statistics work do you?

guy was asked to pass 46 times and run a bunch more. 1 turnover is actually phenomenal ball protection given the burden placed on him.

Do any other teams get to add fill two major holes in these hypothetical games, or just the Bills?

2019 Bills were better than the 2018 Bills

Green is a HOF WR. Who is he proving what to on these "prove" deals?

Based on Twitter, more Bills fans want Daboll on the Browns, than Browns fans do.

Would had a 20 point lead, get over it.

I like Josh Allen. I do not think he has plateued and will improve. Every single other position on offense has room to upgrade meaningfully. Compare the Ravens RBs to the Bills Rbs. Or even the Patriots. Then move on to the Ravens oline compared to ours. Then compare the Ravens pass catchers. Then compare OCs. If you swap Lamar and Josh, then the media would be losing their minds over how Josh is revolutionizing the game.

Yes to one and two

Why do you have to?

Derrick Henry.

AFC East played the NFC East this year. Neither conference has a team in the final eight teams. The results for all the teams in those two conferences are skewed by having so many games against bad teams. Bills and Pats were the best of these teams. Which is something. Kind of like winning the cotton bowl, while the top teams are playing the FBS playoff games. Its better than nothing, but still on the outside looking in.

Sadly, the bold part was not true yesterday when it mattered. 19 points given up in 20 minutes (including drives of 75 and 69 yards) is the definition of "not a shut down D"

Viewing the results against coaches shows that the Bills played 9 Games against teams with either first year HC's or coaches bad enough to be fired. The Bills went 8-1 against these coaches. In the seven games against good coaches, the Bills went 2-5. One of those wins was the Steelers, who started their third string QB. Next Season, the Bills face this coaching lineup. Chiefs - Reid - Good Coach Chargers - Lynn - meh coach Rams - McVay - Good coach Seahawks - Carroll 0 Good coach Steelers - Tomlin - Good Coach Dolphins - Flores - second year coach, appears to be a good coach Patriots - Good coach Jets - bad coach Cardinals - meh coach Broncos - meh coach Raiders - Good coach ( i know many disagree on this) Niners - Good coach Titans - Good coach Dolphins - second year coach, appears to be a Good coach Patriots Good coach Jets - Bad coach It does not seem likely the Bills will face any coaches who are first year coaches next year. Nor is it likely they will be facing any coaches who will be fired at the end of the year (possible Gase or Lynn) To go 11-5 next year (likely needed to win the division). They will have to win their games against all the less than good coaches, which is only 5 wins, and win 6 games against the other teams. That is a big step up from the 1 quality win against a good coach with a real starting QB this year. If the Bills do this I offer McDermott a five year extension. If they perform against good coaches next year as they did this year, the team is looking at something like a 6-10 or 7-9 record. If that happens, not sure where I would stand with this coaching staff.

Do you have a specific reasons why the Bills will pass the Ravens , Chiefs, Titans, Patriots and Texans? As best I can tell those teams have good coaches with their own processes that have proven pretty successful. Regarding rebuild. McDermott has three full seasons under his belt. This regime chose to pass on Watson and Mahomes. That does not mean we through out the first season. Great job on defense seems to be a stretch. Against teams with winning records, the defense did not produce at a level one would call great. Maybe "good", but that is a lot different than great.

I think the Daboll / Allen combination is not working out. One part of that equation needs to be changed. So I ask myself this question, which fake headline would be the most disturbing: "Daboll Fired, Named by Pats to Replace McDaniels" or "Allen cut, signed by Pats as heir to Brady". I am pretty sure the second headline troubles me more. So the move that is a potential game changer is changing the OC. All the other moves are incremental, and probably don't move the dial enough. In terms of incremental moves, I would look to sign Derrick Henry in free agency, and I would draft the best Oline or WR available with our first round pick.

What you describe sounds eight and eightish

Our poor record against teams with winning records this year. And a schedule next year that includes far more teams with winning records.

A play that had zero impact on the outcome of the game.

Dick Jauron was not wrong when he said it was hard to win in the NFL. The bills finished 6th of 16 AFC teams this year (give the tiebreak to the Pats, since they beat the Bills twice). Advancing to the Super Bowl requires getting past those five teams (plus holding off other teams). The Bills have completed three full years of a rebuild. The have draft picks and cap space, and appear to have a stable coaching staff. Lets take a quick review of the five teams ahead of us. 5. Patriots. As long as Belichick is there, the Pats will have a coaching edge. Pats may lose Brady (or Brady has declined to irrelevance) and Josh McDaniel . Pats defense is on par with the Bills. Their non-QB offensive play-makers are on par or slightly better than the Bills. All in all, it does seem possible, but not a given that the Bills move past the Patriots 4. Titans. Titans seem fluky. Vrabel seems to be the real deal as a coach. If they retain Henry, their play-makers on offense definitely are better than the Bills. Hard to tell if Tannehill is born again, or having a fluke season. If Tannehill is born again, the Titans are ascending. Will not be easy to catch. If Tanehill is a fluke we should get by them. 3. Texans. Texans just beat us. Their is no reason to expect them to decline. They will be tough to pass. 2. Chiefs. Chiefs have a better head coach and a better QB. They have better play-makers, and are a pretty young group. They will be tough to be pass 1. Ravens. Ravens have a better head coach, a better QB, and a better O line. They are also a pretty young group with no imminent salary cap issues. Other teams. Chargers seem on the decline. Colts have a stable coaching situation, but no QB. Jacksonville seems to be pretty bad overall. Jets seem awful. Raiders have stable coaching and some pretty good pieces. Held back by mediocre QB play. Broncos seem to be spinning their wheels. Bengals are lost. Steelers are without a QB, unless Ben surprise me. Browns will have a better coach most likely . I think Mayfield sucks personally, but if others are right about him, the Browns could turn things around. Flores has impressed me with the Dolphins, but without a QB, they should remain mostly not a threat. The 2020 Bills won't be playing the 2019 Bills. My question is NOT what will the Bills do to improve vs themselves. My question for the TBD world, is what do the Bills have to do to beat the Pats, Titans, Texans, Chiefs and Ravens, and hold off the others?

His players seem to play hard for him. That is pretty important. But he really lacks accountability for his own errors. He was very public about telling his players, especially Allen, to play fearlessly. Then after the refs stole the game, and he made multiple coaching errors during the game, blamed the loss on Allen "trying to do to much". I thought that was a real ***** move.