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Billl

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Everything posted by Billl

  1. What is the second round average you’re referring to? Last year, 40 WRs had 750 yards receiving. 750 plus would put him as a high end number 2 WR. Coleman was the first WR taken in the second round and the 8th overall. Last year, the first WR taken in the second had 43 catches, 418 yards, and 0 TDs. The 8th WR taken had 22, 377, and 1. Penciling Coleman in for 750+ is extremely optimistic.
  2. Why should that count? Beane had a chance to take the 5th WR in the draft. Worthy, Pearsall, Legette, Coleman, McConkey, and Polk were all on the board at 28 and wound up going in the next 10 picks. Beane clearly didn’t have a strong feeling regarding who would be the best of that bunch, so instead of picking at 28, Beane elected to move down twice and drafted at 33, sacrificing the 5th year option in the process. The net return he got amounted to a late 5th round pick equivalent. He didn’t trade back 5 spots in a vacuum, though. He traded with the Chiefs. Now Beane may not have had a strong opinion about who the best WR from that group would be, but clearly Andy Reid and Brett Veach did. They are the best front office in the league, so you pretty much have to assume that they weren’t after a dud. So however many of those 6 WRs in that pool are actual studs, there’s probably going to be 1 fewer after the Chiefs picked. But that’s not all. If you listed out the top front offices excluding Buffalo’s, most would have (in no particular order) Kansas City, Philadelphia, San Francisco, and Baltimore. In trading back four spots with KC, three of those four elite front offices got to select their guys before Buffalo. Those franchises are routinely competing for championships because they consistently draft top talent. Hoping those guys get it wrong seems like a huge risk. And even if they do, it still doesn’t guarantee that the guy Beane picks is going to be a hit. I’ll concede that Beane knew who Carolina was picking, or they wouldn’t have agreed to that swap, but there’s no way they knew who KC, Dallas, Baltimore, or San Francisco were after. Short of getting a king’s ransom, which clearly didn’t happen, there’s no way I’m letting my biggest rival guarantee that they get their top target.
  3. If there’s one thing that middle aged white dudes love, it’s finding stupid BS to get outraged over.
  4. No no no, you’re thinking of the guy who sang Brown Eyed Girl.
  5. He allegedly pumped his own gas in New Jersey. Repeat offender…
  6. You seem like the kind of guy who likes watching Joe Lunardi, driving a Lamborghini, and dancing the Lambada.
  7. It gets you $1000. The numbers are based on betting $100.
  8. Who is your favorite NCAA bracketologist? What’s your favorite super car? What’s your favorite forbidden dance?
  9. How is it dumb for him to hold out when he’ll never have as much leverage as he does now? He’s on the last year of his deal. If he gets hurt, they can cut him loose and he never sees another dime. Dumb would be playing out the last year of his deal and letting Miami run him out there not really caring if he gets crushed or not because they have no skin in the game.
  10. Did you read the articles you linked? The league scheduled games around the dates that the stadiums were booked for shows. They didn’t schedule games based on making them easier for Taylor to attend.
  11. I’m literally saying the exact opposite. The top few picks are all about the players. Any idiot can draft MHJ. By the end of the first round, the GMs matter much more. Beane let the best of the best pick ahead of him. He let the fattest guys at the buffet cut in line. It doesn’t matter as much where you’re picking once the blue chips are gone as it does who you’re picking behind. I’m not interested in letting elite GMs take their guys first and hoping they get it wrong.
  12. And if the Ravens had taken Coleman, you’d have made this same post about whatever player Beane took instead.
  13. It’s literally their job to figure out which of those players is better, though. “I’ll take whoever DeCosta and Harbaugh and Shannahan and Lynch and Reid and Veach don’t pick so that I can try to pick a 25 year old backup RB” doesn’t seem like elite GMing.
  14. It has nothing to do with what his draft board looks like. Allowing teams to take 3 WRs ahead of the one you pick is of consequence. Beane traded from 28 to 32. He let Dallas, Baltimore, SF, and KC cut in line. You really want to hope those front offices miss?
  15. Yeah, it’s probably a lot easier for her to attend a game that’s a 3 hour bus ride away. She wouldn’t even know how to fly to a different city.
  16. Beane traded out of the first round and wound up picking the 8th WR in the draft when he could have had the 5th. His compensation was moving up from the 4th round to the end of the 3rd. What’s the point of acquiring capital in that section of the draft if you’re just going to use it on a backup RB who might start in years 3 and 4 and will then be 29 years old?
  17. Beane drafted 3 24 year olds and 3 23 year olds. It’s worth mentioning. Kincaid was the second oldest first round pick last year, and Torrence is only slightly younger. There’s a clear strategy of picking older players.
  18. The Chiefs took a swing at a starting RB. It was a massive failure because he wound up being a backup RB. Buffalo just spend a 4th round pick trying to get a backup RB. That makes sense to you?
  19. Literally any of them. Beane used a 4th round pick to draft a guy who turns 25 in November to be a backup RB. I have no idea how good he will be as a player, but how do you defend the thought process that led to that decision?
  20. This is about as backwards of a take as I’ve ever seen. If anything, WRs are the new QBs. Their value is skyrocketing.
  21. Question of the day: What is a WR1 and WR2? Just for reference, there are 32 teams in the NFL. 34 WRs had 800 or more yards last season. 54 WRs had 600 yards. 27 WRs had more than 5 TDs. The WR with the 64th most yards had 525. The WR with the 64th most TDs had 3. With that said, what is a reasonable expectation for a WR1 and WR2?
  22. He’s not going to take up that much of the cap. His average salary is 20.7% of the cap, but the cap keeps going up so that percentage will decreased substantially over the lifetime of the contract.
  23. It is true, as I used the qualifier “as of June 1st”. Also, the post literally started with the words “fun fact” and not “crucial data point”. That said, it does speak to the misconception that many have regarding how easy it is to find premium pass rushers. They are very rare commodities.
  24. Fun fact: On June 1st, GR will have more career sacks than any player in the NFL under 25 years old other than Aiden Hutchinson.
  25. He does have a knack for making incredibly awkward looking but effective plays in the clutch. I’ll give him that much. He’s a very poor man’s Gabe Davis.
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