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Everything posted by DCOrange
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Can probably cross DK Metcalf off the list. He's out for the year with a neck injury.
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Depending on who declares for this year's draft, I think Lock ends up going top 10 when it's all said and done but we'll see. Grier I do believe has a solid chance of being there in the 2nd. I don't think Buffalo even considers taking him or any other QB though. At best, maybe a Day 3 pick to groom as the backup, but the team has so many other positions that I'm sure they'll view as bigger needs than backup QB.
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I think they can take him in the 3rd or 4th if they want
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NY Post - Eli Manning on the Block
DCOrange replied to Bill Murray's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
To be clear, he isn’t actually on the block according to this article unless I missed something. It’s just Matt Hasselbeck saying they should trade him. -
Didn't he do the same thing against the Chargers too?
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This makes sense in theory, but: 1. Buffalo has so many needs right now that they really can't afford to sacrifice a draft pick every year like this on guys that ideally won't even play a snap for them. 2. Buffalo specifically drafted a QB prospect that they knew would be bad Year 1 in the hopes that he'll be good in Year 3 or maybe Year 2 if they're lucky. It doesn't really make sense for them to draft another QB early this offseason because they almost certainly will still believe Allen is the guy by the end of the year.
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If you want the next Derek Carr, you could probably just trade for him based on the reports out of Oakland. At any rate, I give it about a 5% chance that this front office drafts another QB in the first two rounds this offseason (unless Allen suffers a catastrophic injury).
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#Receipts on the Chris Ivory signing
DCOrange replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I will admit Ivory has vastly exceeded my expectations after how bad he was in Jacksonville last year. I still think you could find a player his level for like 1/4 of the cost though. But he's at least playing well on the whole this season, which is more than I can say for a lot of the offensive players. -
Joe B: Zay Jones is the Bills #1 WR at this point
DCOrange replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
DiMarco was definitely called for one as well, though I think it was because of the way someone else was lined up in that case. -
I still wish they had fought the urge to trade up. I would have been happier staying put, taking Lamar Jackson, and using the extra picks to acquire some offensive talent so whoever the QB was would have a fighter's chance. I still liked Josh Allen quite a bit and was happy to have him though. Having weapons in place or at least young talent is the major regret IMO. Choose Josh over Lamar is just a minor one.
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I don't mean to poo poo Zay, who has looked pretty solid the past couple weeks, but to be clear, 2.4 yards ranks him 112th out of 131 WR/TEs. Having said that, his true catch rate (catches/catchable targets) is 81.2% this year, which off the top of my head (I can confirm this in the morning), I believe is roughly 24% higher than it was last year. He was pretty much the worst in the NFL last year, whereas 81.2% ranks him 58th in the league so far this season. Edit: For those that are curious, Charles Clay ranks 40th in the league at 3.3 yards of separation and 2 of the 19 WR/TEs that are worse than Zay are his own teammates.
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I can assure you they 100% will pass on a QB because they have Allen. You're kidding yourself if you think there's any chance of it. The only way a new QB is drafted in the 1st round this year is if Allen suffers a career-ending injury.
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Supposedly he and the Bills WR coach hate each other.
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Why not just sign him in the offseason and keep your 3rd round pick in the process? I just don't see the rush personally; this team isn't going anywhere this year regardless.
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He's a free agent at the end of the year anyways. There's no real point in trading for him now. Some of the WRs that I think could possibly be had via trade if we chose to pursue are: DeVante Parker - though I'm sure Miami would prefer to trade him outside the division Travis Benjamin - though do you really want to take his contract? Amari Cooper - there's been speculation that Gruden would consider trading him rather than paying him his next contract Nelson Agholor - $9.3 million cap hit next season and he hasn't done anything this year
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Drake Dixon Kamara Hunt Conner Cohen Jamaal Mack Freeman Hines As I said, all 10 have either been starters already or are more like Cohen where they’re playing a lot of snaps and playing well but aren’t technically the starter. Are all of these guys as good as Prime McCoy? No. Are they as good as Current McCoy and Next Year McCoy? Not all of them, but for the money, I’d rather have a committee including guys like this than to spend $9 million on McCoy, who’s arguably a below average starter right now and in the very least, could realistically be below average next season.
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To me, I think it makes sense to cut McCoy in the offseason, so getting a 3rd round pick for him now would be very nice. A 4th round pick is just enough that I think it's worth moving on from him a little early. An extra 3rd or 4th round pick could potentially be a McCoy replacement, could be a bonus chip to move up for a prospect that the team especially likes, etc. 3rd and 4th round RBs between the past 3 drafts: Kenyan Drake CJ Prosise Tyler Ervin Kenneth Dixon Devontae Booker Alvin Kamara Kareem Hunt D'Onta Freeman James Conner Samaje Perine Tarik Cohen Joe Williams Donnell Pumphrey Jamaal Williams Wayne Gallman Marlon Mack Royce Freeman Nyheim Hines Mark Walton Ito Smith Kalen Ballage Chase Edmunds Obviously it's still early, and in some cases, extremely early, but of the 22 guys listed here, 12 of them already have a fairly sized role on their NFL team. Of those 12, 10 of them are either starters, or play roughly starter's snaps and grade out very well. So we're talking almost a 50% chance that a RB you take there can be a potential McCoy replacement and they'd be paid roughly 9% of what we're paying McCoy.