There's a clear front line that has formed along the Dnipro river where Russian troops control most of the four regions they now claim as there's.
I don't think either side is willing to negotiate in good faith, but the rational thing to happen is to declare the area east of the Dnipro a DMZ. All Russian troops out of Ukraine, no Ukrainian troops or weapons east of the Dnipro river.
I do think the nuclear rhetoric has calmed down, mostly due to a show of US strength. The 101st Airborne Division is in Romania on the Ukrainian border. The USS G.H.W. Bush is somewhere in the Adriatic off the coast of Croatia.
But how this plays out is entirely up in the air.
Can Ukraine press east and send the Ruskies back to Moscow? Is Russia just waiting for the ground freeze to ceize an advantage and push Ukraine back?
How will the lack of electricity and water effect the Ukrainian population as winter approaches?