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While including all turnovers makes sense, any total turnover count still hides some data. Using the same list that you provided, I tried to come up with a fair look at how likely someone is to turnover the ball and view on how likely they are to score a touchdown. Basically, the combination of sacks/rushes/receptions turn into "other touches". Fumble rate is lost fumbles on those touches. turnover rate is ints and fumbles out of all plays where the QB didn't hand off the ball (throw/scramble/rush/receive). touchdown rate is on the same basis as turnover rate. This is still not perfect, as it doesn't account for kneeldowns and arm punts, but more complete then any of the other views bouncing around today. I also wish I could find a publicly available breakdown of fumbles lost on sacks vs fumbles lost rushing, but no luck. Out of this grouping of active players Allen is tasked with the 2nd highest total touch count (43 times per game). Allen is in the elite of the league (Rodgers/Mahomes/Allen) with how frequently their touches turn into touchdowns. Allen's touches result in a turnover 2.4% of the time, which is on the higher end of the 2-2.5% grouping. I ran numbers for a few other active players not on this list and they tend to be 2.5% on average with several in the 3-4% range and a few under 2%. As an example of high turnovers on active players, Winston is at 3.7%. In conclusion, Allen touches the ball more times per game than most active quarterbacks, he scores touchdowns at a frequency that puts him at an elite level, and he turns over the ball around league average but at a higher frequency than many of the other elite players. In short, he is not at all representative of a "turnover machine", but he is also not a role model on elite ball security.

It's hard to upset when you are the favorite, which we've been in most games for years.

I'd agree that under most scenarios McD is still here next year. Losing out is one of the scenarios where he is probably let go

As of today 10 wins is like 50/50 if the loss is against an AFC team and 70/30 of the loss is against the cowboys.

Actually if we go 4-1 losing to Dallas is the best odds of playoffs at this point. With as lackluster as the AFC has turned out this year, we have near a 70% chance of landing a wildcard if we run the remaining AFC games. Beat the chiefs and we'll start doing the math on whether Miami is going to have anything to play for in week 18.

Except we are sitting at 16th on defensive 3rd down % this season, 2nd best in the league over the last 3, and 7th last season. Criticism of McDermott is valid, but commentary like yours that is so far from reality makes it hard for anyone to have a serious conversation. This is far from "anything they want on every 3rd down". McDermott is widely viewed (and backed by data) as one of the best overall defensive coaches in the game. It is well worth having a conversation about his situational play calling or game management, but you have to do it in the context of some pretty successful football.

@HoofHeartedCan you give some education on decision criteria for option routes in our scheme? What are the reads, when do the receiver/QB make the read, and how clearly or how much room for ambiguity are the decisions. On longer option routes the QB has to throw before the receiver even makes his decision. Can they both be right based on when they have to make the decision?

Or it's ***** weather and you don't want to turn it over trying to push it

Assuming that the first one was to get special teams ready for the quick fg attempt. 2nd is the usual ice

There are multiple paths. It's more likely that we win the division than get a wild card spot at this point

Buffalo 29-23

How many more is "lots more"? 2? 5? 10?

He has been playing injured and hesitant because of it. He was "back" the first quarter of the season. Whether it was injury, mental, or a combination of both it's great that he feels he's out of the rutt.

There was a big fat dude in his throwing lane. Romo started to say behind them corrected himself since it was the throw to make and should have been caught

No yards either

Yes, every team scripts their plays to start on the opponent 20

Knox is still by far our best tight end (with respect to all the things the role provides) Edit: Kincaid is a better receiver and should be on the field, but to the OP's point, Knox being injured/out has had a significant negative impact on the O.

Winning the division is still a better path than wild card. Stay one game behind Miami and beat them to get in. Many paths to wild card, but the AFC losses make it a harder road.

This. When we got the ball (4 or 5 mins?) You have to commit. Either play the clock and try to leave as much as possible, or work a 4 minute offense where you don't leave enough time for the other team. The runs weren't Dorsey adjusting to Den, they were him trying to go slow. Pretty sure our odds of winning actually went down on the scoring play, not up. There is no perfect answer in this, but it is an(other) example of Dorsey not understanding when to use what plays. All we needed was 2-3 more plays and we won the game. We have running plays that don't average 13 yards per run. We should have mixed in a few of those and used that excellent running game earlier when it made sense.

Maybe I'm getting old, but that wheel of fortune thing was pretty entertaining

Forward and tipped

Chiefs scored 9, btw

Cook isn't benched due to fumble imo. Gameplan looks like Murray decisive runs and pass protect are are plan with Cook in scat back role.

He had to. The window was closing with the LB coming across. Good throw imo.

Except they don't seem out of it at all. It's just you