Rew

Balls of steel on this "defensive head coach"

Who called special teams being the difference maker for us this game?

He's been recognizing it all night but the receivers haven't

Or coordinator. No targets in the end zone to throw to

3 dropped tds for cook now?

Strange take this game. All timeouts were used to save clock within the last 2 minutes.

Bills are driving down the field easily and already have 2 defensive stops. How is this your takeaway? They look just as fast and good. They won't win if they turn it over, but what game are you watching?

Davis clearly never recognized the need for hot route. He never even turned around to see how he could help his quarterback. Josh probably shouldn't have thrown off his back foot, but he expected Davis to do something different than what he did.

You don't think it was Gabe missing the hot read?

Except you miss out of the excitement provided by our punt return team

With the premise of gameplan and winning individual matchups having influence on outcomes of games, I would postulate that both are different when preparing to play a team twice. For starters, you may be more likely to hold back on the first game "to not show all your cards". Secondly, the prep for the second game makes you not want to use the same plan. Additionally, the prep for the 2nd game is done with actual tape of the other team against your guys, as opposed to watching them play against other teams/systems. Essentially, decision making in prep and in game is different in both game one and game 2. The result of all of this seems like coaching would have more opportunity to overcome talent differences. The second factor is the player factor. Whether it's your overall emotions going into a game, the feelings you have for the guy across the line, or your ability to adapt to what you went against a week ago. Even the thought of "they're a good team, how can we beat them twice in a row" would have the potential to impact individual performances. All of these factors could contribute to changes in the probability of winning each game vs an isolated game in a vacuum. I have no clue how much or even which direction the impact would go. I'm with you overall on gamblers fallacy being prevalent in most people's understanding of chance. I wish I had enough data to analyze, but some of the fun of watching the games is that it's not all based on chance. If I had to guess, I would postulate that both the first and second games of a known or probable back to back situation move closer to 50/50 than the vacuum odds of the two teams.

That's true for independent events. However, playing the same team twice (especially back to back) are not independent events. Play calling, gameplan, player familiarity, on field drama all play into a rematch. You can argue the extent of the real world factors, but you can't simply treat them as dice rolls.

The queen video seemed to imply it was an actual tell. Really got some perspective for game plans for me. The idea of some coaching aide hitting rewind/play/rewind/play on the same players all week looking for how much weight they put on their knuckles is crazy. It helps understand why upsets can happen that seem incomprehensible to fans.

Probably one of the better links I've found on an opponents forum: They made a really good point that the Bills defense earlier this season already seemed to know what was going on. Really interesting to see if we can reproduce our earlier defensive effort (and Baltimore's). Edit: to be clear, the guy talking in the video turns 10 minutes into 70. But the first 10-15 had good knowledge in it

Fixed for you

I'd rather KC wins. The browns have a better upset chance in BAL. It gives us a better shot at hosting the conference game.

Huge first down pickup by 76

They're not ahead, they are just making stuff up

Playing some teams twice a year is different. Look at NE and NYJ this year. They played us tougher than they played pretty much any other team. Us playing KC as much as we have has been scheduling quirk and competitivness in playoffs. You want larger divisions, fine. Playing teams twice a year home/away is overall good for the league. I know it's not perfect at times in weak divisions, but divisional games are different pretty much across the board.

Sorry, working with a 101 fever at the moment. I guess the sarcasm is too thick. Seriously though, he'll limp around, make a few big plays that move the chains, but otherwise have a quiet day of trying to make it to the playoffs able to walk. His injury is pain management, and the games I saw him he seemed determined that it didn't hurt from snap to whistle.

Division rivalries are part of the emotion of the game and help with parity. The game would be less without them imo.

He got rest last week, he'll come out on fire

Do you see the Steelers scoring with your magic eight ball? The Steelers look real bad as well. Anyone can win this game

I don't know how you can watch this and be confident that the Steelers will win anything, including this game. Of course it's a likely outcome, but this team is not talented.

Thanks for playing along