Capco

Most if not all Democrats do not worship the state as if it were infallible. Rather, it's that they tend to have faith in democratic government when it represents and serves the needs and interests of its citizenry. Autocracy by definition is rule by autocrats, a small, elite group that serve their own needs at the expense of the rest of the citizenry. Autocrats maintain their power with openly overt coercion, not subversive Big Brother ideology. Conflating being pro-government with being autocratic is an incredible false equivalency, and a pathetically simple-minded one at that.

Even if the Bills had rotated their decent stable of pass rushers with perfect timing, I don't think they could've gotten sufficient pressure on Burrow with just a 4-man rush vs the Bengals offensive line. The defense did get several batted passes at the line and sacks during these blitzes as well. That part of the game plan was working at times, and had the defense been playing with a lead it probably would've worked even better. Alternatively, if the Bills had abandoned pressuring the QB entirely and went to a 2-man rush, the Bengals would've simply turned to their running game. The defense got out-muscled in the trenches in the playoff game last year, and that was probably on McD's mind for this game given how gut-wrenching it was to endure. Rushing 5-and-6 in relatively broad, nonexotic blitzes has the added effect of beefing up your rushing defense at the point of attack. So schematically I do understand the approach, all things considered. It just didn't pan out.

According to the first five pages, there seems to be an even number of folks blaming the offense or the defense. Based on that, I think I'm gonna blame both lol.

What about which side of the field to take? If wind is going to be a factor, it might be better to have it at our backs at key times.

Backwards incomplete passes count as fumbles.

Interception coming?

That’s probably game.

Belichick can be very good at scheming for Josh. Play contain on your defensive line with a pressure look pre-snap, and all you need is for 1 guy to get close enough to Josh to start him running into the containment lol.

When they said NE hadn’t scored off of a turnover, I already knew they were gonna score 😂

Think Peppers was playing the underneath flat and Josh didn’t see him, but he closed the distance fast. As I was watching the play, I figured Josh would hit the RB underneath.

Awesome. I know this little tidbit you mention might seem obvious to folks who bet regularly, but for me this clarified a lot. I instinctively knew the purpose of oddsmakers was to craft the odds so that the house always wins regardless of the outcome, but the overall principle that guides the oddsmakers in this process was eluding me. Thanks a bunch!

If that's the case, then that's fair. But when I first asked, you did say that the decision making to responsibility ratio was worse for your college experience than it was before, so I had to press the point.

Gotcha! The +/- thing makes sense now with both the $82 calculation and the "easiest way" numbers. Thank you.

Thanks! Do you know how the "+150" and "-180" numbers in your example would be determined? Additionally, from the thread title's use of the word "early", I assume these numbers change over time. How and why do they change leading up to the game?

So if I bet on the Jags to "win", and they lose by 4 points IRL, then I've won my bet because you subtract -4.5 points from the Bills score to determine the "betting score" (I'm making up terms so sorry if I'm massacring the lingo lol). But let's say I bet $100 on this outcome... how much do I win? How is that part calculated? With the over/under thing, does that only affect the bets on the total points scored by both teams? Or does it affect other types of bets too?

I still have no idea how betting works, what these numbers mean, who gets to come up with them, or how they do it. So thus far, bangarang's comment is (ironically) the only one that makes sense to me lol.

Perfect post. Let's go Kaiir! We Billieve!

Did you not grow up around other children? Someone died in my neighborhood where I grew up because they decided to run after a ball and got hit by a car. Children have near-zero responsibility (babies probably have zero, period), so even if the decision making abilities of children was the same as college students (it's not), then the sheer difference in responsibility levels alone would produce different ratios. I *think* what you're trying to say is that college students tend to have that sense of invincibility that comes with youth, which in turn leads them to make poorer decisions than they would have otherwise made without that sense of invincibility.

Really? Do you not have any memory of your life before college? Because I can say with absolute certainty that my life before college had an even higher "terrible decisions to responsibility" ratio amongst the people that surrounded me day-to-day.

So first... it was the college educated, holier-than-thou liberal elites cramming their out-of-touch ideology down blue-collar Common Joe's throat. But now... it's people with only a high school diploma or just starting college that don't know jack who are cause for concern. ... Lol

That's fair

Idk what to even say to this lol.

What is it with corner injuries and this team?

Tre knows it's not good...

Obviously woulda liked a TD, but 3 on that drive is fine.