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Matt_In_NH

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Everything posted by Matt_In_NH

  1. I was thinking about the PS the other day. Since practice squaders count on the cap and are UFA's (can be signed to anyone's 53), why does there need to be a limit? It does not seem like a competitive advantage/disadvantage...if you want 25 guys, great you have to pay them all. If it was unlimited how many do you think teams would sign? 16 is a good number but clearly teams would more if they could get more, they could opt to have less than 16 but I think everyone uses the whole thing.
  2. I can't read this cause the sky has fallen on me
  3. TO these two statements.... first statement: if you objectively look at the last 4 meetings, 2 regular season, 2 playoffs, they all came down the the end of the game, a play here, a play there, a bounce of the ball, etc. Very evenly matched teams where each team has won 2 of the 4. It is also true that the playoffs is what matters but I do believe there is some amount of "luck" in play here. Imaging we flip coins 4 times, you have heads, I have tails and we decide to call the 2nd and 4th flip "heads". The flips go tails heads tails heads. You won the two "playoff" games.....was there really anything different about the 2nd and 4th flip or did it "just work out that way". A football game is much more complex than a flip of a coin but my point is the teams are evenly matched and because they lose in the playoffs it is perceived a certain way. Second Statement: The Bills are one of 2 teams who have won a playoff game each of the last 4 years and by doing so they have advanced past the wild card in each, I assume you meant Divisional Round. As far as the whole post, we have seen this before in various forms, if you look at point differential over the last 4 years the Bills are a huge outlier, if you look at offensive and defensive rankings in yards or points over that same span they are an outlier....the bottom line is they have not been able to finish. DVOA is fancy stats but the conclusion is the same. The NFL comes down to a single elimination tournament. The sample size of playoffs is actually very small, none of that matters because the only thing that matters is if you win. Von MIiller kinda summed it up, keep swinging and it should happen. It does not have to but this organization has a good shot every year with the staff and QB they have.
  4. Even though that is true you probably want the player to assimilate to the team, learning what he is good at/not good at. Work with the holder, on sides kicks, different kickoffs, etc. There has been a fair amount of poaching the last few years, I think you are better off this way, let the rookies figure it out and grow into it. In the past I thinkt hey Bills have kept too many lower level vets
  5. So all the guys people thought would be poached magically made it through?
  6. He look its Dr Hindsight!
  7. He is a JAG/NAF.....people like the name, the player is not very exceptional.
  8. I know he was a gamer vs the Bills but he has a total TD-INT ratio of 9-13 with a 3.9% int rate and 5.8Y/A.....not sure it is an upgrade. Bolded is key for week 2.
  9. I like Evans over Gore, I know he is on IR designated for return. Gore is fine for the PS but I can go either way I think there might be better options of guys you don’t know who their father is.
  10. Does he play special teams? Not sure he is the same type of WR but maybe he is a better option than MVS but MVS has a guaranteed deal so you would just be adding cap, not clear that is an upgrade or worth the extra money.
  11. 8.8 million in 5 years. I think that is better than a scratch off.
  12. On the practice squad? Pretty sure any team could have signed him at any point last year.
  13. How many catches does Davidson have in the NFL? Just wondering how you know he catches everything. You really think something you make up in your head is more “forward thinking” than an entire organization with a lot of resources that uses data and AI to make actual informed decisions? Just realize the bills are not on par with your smarts.
  14. No, I just poked fun at you name and how it related to your post .........
  15. Staying true to your name......
  16. Just win the SB please.............
  17. Nope, just that there are a lot of factors and the 53 today is just the 53 today, it will change dozens of times throughout the season and there are many reasons for that including cap considerations.
  18. Shavers got manhandled as a gunner on the one play they highlighted him.... Fans are obsessed with 5th 6th and 7th WR who might be "weapons" If they sign him after week 1 his salary would not be guaranteed, as a vested vet it would be guaranteed if he is on the roster week 1...........
  19. Some would say all folding tables are built to collapse!
  20. I am usually the one saying that same thing. Let me ask you a question, who fumbles more per snap, Allen or Lamar? I don't know the answer but if Allen has 6 more fumbles than Lamar, I believe he has a lot more volume in terms of snaps. What are Allen's turnover stats in the postseason? Are they the same or different than the regular season? Josh's INT% is 2.5%. Tom Brady is at 1.8% career as is Mahomes. Brett Favre was at 3.3% Lamar is at 2.1% Burrow 2.0%. Stafford is at 2.4% Tua 2.3%, Rodgers is the gold standard at this at 1.4%. Is Josh higher than his peers? Yes, is it astronomical? No, I wish he would just correct it by 25% and be in line with his peers. Josh has 78 INT's in 6 seasons, Tom Brady had the same number, 78 INT's in his first 6 seasons starting. OK, I did the math on fumbles, Lamar fumbles at a rate of 1.77% of passing attempts plus rushing attempts, Josh's rate is 1.55% so Lamar has a bigger "fumbling problem" than Josh. The difference is similar if you do fumbles per snap, Lamar fumbles more, not sure what the best metric is. My point is not that Josh should not work to clean up turnovers, it is that it is overblown......because it is.
  21. With the supply of WR's coming out of college, I dont see why the market is growing so fast.
  22. WHatever they have at the Bills backers bar in Charlotte.
  23. Earlier in the offseason I looked at various QB power rankings and almost every single one had the same top four. All of them had Mahomes 1 and then some combination of Allen, Jackson and Burrow for the next three. I don't see the love affair with Lamar, understand he is really talented but he has had availability problems and has not done well in pressure situations. I am biased but Allen is clearly above Lamar for those reasons. Burrow has a stronger case to me as he has performed well in the playoffs but he is not a running threat and has had his own availability issues. Allen is an enigma due to the perception he is a turnover machine.....it is true he has led the league in turnovers and INT's over the last 4 years but it is also true he has led the league in TD's. If you look at his INT% which is how you should look at it, he is not that out of whack, his number is high but not off the charts high like is perceived.
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