On the first one, yeah you are right. Its so late in the season that I keep forgetting they haven't had a bye yet and I looked at the win column but not the loss column. Thats my bad.
Second one, Im not going to give you. IDGAF if some simulator says we can lose any 2 games and still have 99% chance to get in. We aren't even 99% chance now. Losing to Pitts gives them a tie breaker. Just this week alone, if we lost to Pitts and the Texans win, we would be pushed to 9th in the playoff picture. Yeah yeah, teams play other teams this and that, but overcoming 2 places in the race isnt easy to do in 5 games. Much less if we lost another one. They'd be relying on specific losses from other teams. No f'in way that puts us 99% chance to get in.