I don't think there is a can't miss qb prospect this year, they are all flawed. Allen played for Wyoming and completed 56% of passes for the last two years, yet teams will mortgage their future because of his prototypical size and potential. Some people seem completely clueless about what it would cost to move into the top 5, and which guy is the absolute lock? As for that chart of Super bowl qbs, 26 out of 40 were drafted outside the top 10, including 13 of the 20 winners. Even if Brady had lost every SB it would be 11 out of 20 and it would be 3 udfa winners.