yeah Oakland is the dark horse as you state I did add this when I went thru Oakland, Indy and Pitts schedule. Tennessee is out of the convo with the 5th loss. I think Dallas or Pitt will be the games in that set of 4 that will really determine it. I feel good about beating Miami they got lucky that Indy played really really bad at home and Miami stole that victory.
Denver on the other hand I'm glad we get at home vs out in mile high so it has me leaning to a win here as well.
That has at 8-3 going into Dallas on a short week which helps some as Thursday game seem to hurt the offenses a bit more vs defenses (lots of unders on the totals in games on Thursday nights backs this up as well) And they have bad DVOA's Deff/Offensively like the Bills.
Ravens/Pats I have as losses
Pittsburgh will be interesting, that Rams game was the Rams beating themselves without a couple of key players on the line Pittsburgh really did nothing offensively minus Conner and well if the run d is still leaky and in Pitt will make that a very hard match up
Jets at end of year would love to be in the spoiler role and remember the sting of losing a game they should of won to start the year
Any way it goes i had the Bills at 9-7 preseason should finish at 9-7 or 10-6 ...its had to come up with three losses on Pitts schedule so I can see where you have the steelers 10-6 with the Bills and if they win that head to head would bump us.