Jump to content

GoBills808

Community Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    17,575

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by GoBills808

  1. GoBills808
    I don't think converting 4% fewer third down throws than Mahomes means you are not a good passer on third downs, looking around league at third down success% on career splits (🤙for that tip btw) I think he looks pretty good...I mean Brady is only at 42.9%, Rodgers around 44%, Stafford 42%
  2. GoBills808
    You use it to determine performance as is the intention of most statistics. This particular one has very little to do w probabilities
  3. GoBills808
    sorry I think I misunderstood what you were referencing then where did you get this data?
  4. GoBills808
    No Don't know where you got those numbers but they're not close https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/A/AlleJo02.htm
  5. GoBills808
    passer rating is a poor measurement for how good a QB is on third down imo, too heavily weighted toward completions that don't necessarily pick up a first down success% is what you are looking for
  6. GoBills808
    It's calculated by taking the win probability of a particular down wrt historical averages (similar to EPA) vs the difference positive or negative of the play's result. It's not predictive nor is it meant to be as there are better metrics for that.
  7. GoBills808
    lol Allen's playoff performances are some of the best of all time he averages more TDs and fewer INTs in the postseason than Mahomes
  8. GoBills808
    I would have made a change already McDermott is already the 4th longest tenured HC in the league and out of the top 10 (certainly the top5) has the least to show for it
  9. GoBills808
    i agree 100% Allen is (at current pace) unfortunately going to end up being the Allen Iverson of the NFL absolute unicorn in terms of offensive production but fated to be largely ignored by history because his style was too unorthodox and lack of championships
  10. GoBills808
    I think it's more out of necessity than by design tbh like all things being equal I'm sure the Niners would like to have a great QB, they've just been making do w out like 90% of the rest of the league...the difference is they're still contending for championships. That's why I give them so much credit
  11. GoBills808
    yup it doesn't tell you that if the QB play contributed negatively early on which is important context but really any way you slice it Allen reliably comes through in the big moments
  12. GoBills808
    they got to a Super Bowl with Garoppolo i think they would have been ok
  13. GoBills808
    yes that's what they call the garbage time filter if you crank it up the whole way you can disregard everything except when the game is within 30-70% WP...helps to eliminate noise from blowouts i don't think this is very surprising however, considering Allen finished second in WPadded to Prescott and Allen played well in a ton of close games
  14. GoBills808
    'divisional losses w Josh Allen>Super Bowl losses w Purdy/JimmyG' McDermott Beane 2024 lol i certainly never said he was a 'nothing', he's just not very good.
  15. GoBills808
    Shanahan is doing it w out a QB is the very obvious difference
  16. GoBills808
    you can input those same parameters they used for QBs to get an idea
  17. GoBills808
    and 1 receiving TD
  18. GoBills808
    Get out of here w your nuance and context! I got mine jack now you go get yours
  19. GoBills808
    We didn't have the ball last, KC ran the clock out on us Just like we didn't have the ball the last 13seconds of the previous playoff game Allen would have won If your expectations are that he also call the defense and kick the FGs then sure he could do more
  20. GoBills808
    The point is it's about doing less w more Harbaugh was able to parlay a Joe Flacco run that wasn't half as good as Allen's 2021 performance into a Super Bowl...ours ended in the divisional it's just wasteful
  21. GoBills808
    yes correct, Mahomes is outstanding in the playoffs
  22. GoBills808
    i get the rationale behind not listing Allen tbh look at his playoff stats. He literally can't do any better and the Bills haven't even come close
  23. GoBills808
    We literally just watched Mahomes throw a horrific pick in his own half to swing momentum the Chiefs however are actually able to play complementary football and his defense forced a punt after holding the Niners to -1 yards on a three and out
  24. GoBills808
    of course it is Allen on the Niners would have two Super Bowls by now in 2020 and this most recent one McDermott on the Niners and I'm not sure they're even winning their division
  25. GoBills808
    well since you asked lol pegula and his kids should quietly concede the next 3 seasons to the Chiefs, form a committee w the intent of trading Allen for multiple firsts+dumping McDermott and Beane in one fell swoop and pray Reid decides to hang it up after getting to 5 Super Bowl wins
×
×
  • Create New...