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Everything posted by GoBills808
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"The Best NFL Offense that Can't Score Points" - Video Breakdown
GoBills808 replied to BigDingus's topic in The Stadium Wall
For me the non-analytic part of it is least interesting tbh He is seemingly unaware of our actual offensive line quality re physical ability and misdiagnoses a bunch of our run game concepts -
"The Best NFL Offense that Can't Score Points" - Video Breakdown
GoBills808 replied to BigDingus's topic in The Stadium Wall
Could be but >1ppg is going to probably be significant I think I do not imagine his attempts contributed much to EPA being two of his missed from 50+ yards -
"The Best NFL Offense that Can't Score Points" - Video Breakdown
GoBills808 replied to BigDingus's topic in The Stadium Wall
@FireChans the thing to remember about EPA is it's a model and not necessarily an indicator I will say that models built around EPA like nflELO and similar others show remarkable accuracy in predicting say NFL spreads more accurately than standard price discover...like the majority of models (and this real life example of offense performance vs expected performance) it performs better in regression analysis -
"The Best NFL Offense that Can't Score Points" - Video Breakdown
GoBills808 replied to BigDingus's topic in The Stadium Wall
5th in offensive points scored and 18th in total points is the takeaway Bass w the entirety of his misses in the last 5games contributes I would imagine -
Ben Solak (The Ringer) Analysis of Josh's Decisions this Year
GoBills808 replied to JohnRVA's topic in The Stadium Wall
How would I check out box scores w no eyes -
I've always thought that John Brown and Sanders were underrated cogs in those offenses.. different skillets obviously but both could reliably lift coverages and win downfield
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So against the Bengals it was apparent selling playaction was not effective LBs did not come down on run keys at all...it may still work against other defenses but it really does seem like their defense is perfectly situated to dictate to our offense and imo it stems from how dominant they are able to be w a 4man front seemingly not worried about winning on downs where run/pass are both available to offense
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i dont know if this is correct or not, but there are certain sets we use playaction where Allen is significantly more nonchalant selling the playfake is that due to him reading zone/reduced effectiveness of playaction in man or just sloppiness?
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this is what it looks like to amateurs like me on film we don't have the athletes to consistently win vs man when they decide to bracket Diggs
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I have been banging this drum for 3 years now It's a mini miracle imo a collection of 3rd-5th rounders at skill positions on offense have generated as much production as we have
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I think player execution isn't even the real issue tbh imo we lack offensive players w elite physical traits. OP mentioned it and I have been saying it since week 3 or so that Diggs looks to have lost a half step. The rest of the skill players outside Allen are not physically imposing so scheme has to win too often.
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Ben Solak (The Ringer) Analysis of Josh's Decisions this Year
GoBills808 replied to JohnRVA's topic in The Stadium Wall
No, I do not think Allen played better than Burrow last Sunday. But I also understand offenses play against defenses which is why when you want to compare QB performance it's more instructive to look at a larger sample than 1 head to head game, which is why I gave you those 3game stats. I like to think I am capable of judging Allen objectively. It's not hero worshipping to say that he's at the top of the league in a lot of important efficiency metrics and top2-7 in all the major counting stats as well. No other QB has performed as well as Allen over the course of this season. It's not hero worshipping. It's just facts. -
Ben Solak (The Ringer) Analysis of Josh's Decisions this Year
GoBills808 replied to JohnRVA's topic in The Stadium Wall
not close 😂 Allen last 3 games 84/119 949 total yards 8TDs/3ints Burrow last 3 games 83/111 867 total yards 7TDs/1int -
Travis Kelce on Josh Allen taunting penalty: "So F---- whack"
GoBills808 replied to beebe's topic in The Stadium Wall
Slide tackle was crazy Bengals are dirty af -
I think this is probably right👍 Easier to generate turnovers when the opposing offense needs to put the ball at risk to get back into the game
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Lots of fun🤙🤙
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Ben Solak (The Ringer) Analysis of Josh's Decisions this Year
GoBills808 replied to JohnRVA's topic in The Stadium Wall
dunno if you already heard this or have time but this is Bruce Nolan's podcast, he's a good follow for Bills content imo he has a composite QB ranking called QBSTEW that's an amalgam of a bunch of different relevant metrics spoiler alert it has Allen at 1 as well https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/buffalo-rumblings-for-buffalo-bills-fans/id1260431411?i=1000634221650 -
Both Bengals lines just look stronger and faster on tape I don't know how much of that is due to scheme but it's like they knew they were going to win
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Ben Solak (The Ringer) Analysis of Josh's Decisions this Year
GoBills808 replied to JohnRVA's topic in The Stadium Wall
Don't act.like you wouldn't like it -
ty I thought that was especially jarring from Hyde and judging from McDermott's reaction on the sideline he did too lol