thewookie1

Another day another Chiefs pulling a game out of their ass

Unless he’s taking the Frank Gore, Letavius Murray contract I can’t see it

I wouldn’t trade into the top 10 but if one of the Top 3 start falling into the range where we wouldn’t need to trade next year’s 1st than I’d be game.

I’d break down that final set of plays as such. 1st & 10 - run the ball and get to the two minute warning. Failure to accomplish much. 2nd & 9 - the play was likely Shakir is the go route, although unlikely, if he gets open throw to him. Diggs is your underneath target if Shakir is covered. Shakir was open and thus Allen went for the TD. 3rd & 9 - Allen likely rebels or the plan was to roll out right. In my honest opinion, I think Allen knew McD had no intention of going for it on 4th down and was purely looking for a few more yards and let his defense pull off a miracle. However Allen has been burned by this too many times and effectively decided it was 1st down or nothing. He had no intention of making a risky triple coverage pass but hoped rolling out might cause the D to break a bit and allow him to either run or pass to the chains. Kinkaid was the open man but was short of the sticks with little chance of reaching the 1st since he was surrounded and his back was to the 1st. He however had faith Bass could kick it from 44. It wasn’t like we were at a 52 yd kick distance and thus need some extra yardage regardless. When it didn’t work he tossed out of play to assure the FG seemingly. Having to at least assume he’d get to pray the D pulled it off. Personally I would of ran Allen on 1st down, then used 2nd down for something underneath, I wouldn’t have guys going to the end zone unless KC goes pure man which potentially would open up run options for Allen again. Then depending on that result you’d either pick up an easier 1st or be in prime real estate for a win or tie.

My only full disagreement is with the 2nd & 9 play analysis; otherwise I feel much the same.

This view tells me three things 1. Diggs wasn't the 1st option as he could of gunned it to him as he came through the 1st hole. 2. He was hit and impeded on is throw just enough to make it fall short on Shakir who had come open like Allen had read 3. While Diggs, later on, was still open, that throw would of required him to put the ball over Dawkins + the DE while also not hitting the LG and the DT which would of been in his direct path. All this while not exactly being able to step up to throw and seeing 2 Chiefs in and around Diggs. (Essentially his throw would of had to been a floater which means the LB or Nickel 7 yards up field would have Diggs dead to rights potentially)

Shakir is a gamer and a great #3. In a way similar to Gabe’s big game history and solid 3/4WR play. Neither are #2s however. Gabe is so inconsistent game to game and Shakir is served much better as a slot receiver since he doesn’t have the great speed a solid WR2 would need to compliment Diggs. Shakir actually has a lot of Beasley qualities when it comes to his lower speed yet high end shiftiness.

Allen does early jukes all the time; he's a big enough guy that if he can get the defender to make one wrong step he has the power to drive through an arm tackle.

The first pick was plain miscommunication and Davis having serious issues with quick decisions on option routes. If you notice, he’s effectively zigged for every Allen zag this year on those plays. This time he went in where Allen thought he’d stay there. The Chiefs game he went middle thinking he’d go middle and he went short when Allen saw long in the Bengals game. Gabe should be banned from option routes, let him run a route or scramble drill but not choose options since he doesn’t align with the QB. 2nd pick was more of just a bad play by Allen but Davis tripping made it far worse looking. The fumble was just a good play by Wilkins.

Dorsey could call plays, Brady can call games it seems. It’s the difference between being capable of writing and being an author. Both can play in the same sand box but only the latter will build a castle. Daboll’s offense was the basis to Dorsey’s offense to which he modified from there to include more 21 personnel and less Josh runs. The issue seemed to be that no matter how good one play could be in a vacuum; they all were individual plays. There was no setting up for later or meaningful misdirection. The offense had to play each play perfectly to achieve the intended goal. Brady is likely using much of the same plays but stringing them together into a story. The motion isn’t merely for show, it actually affects the play. That misdirection means even if the Bills have 1 of 11 slightly off the play, the misdirection will give the needed grace period to create the play anyway. The other thing Brady showed against Dallas, was a willingness to pound a weakness mercilessly and wait for the Cowboys to change. I’d safely assume had they started putting another LB out there and played to stop Cook that we would have pivoted to the pass. But since all they did was some minor window treatments, we just kept going with what worked. This being an issue even Daboll had.

Honestly this has been his most valuable contribution. Teams still fear his possible impact and thus play him like he’s prime Von instead of the facsimile of a unguided rocket going 10/15 yds behind the line of scrimmage

QBs will forever be restructured in the NFL now; there really isn’t anything else you can do when a player makes 1/5th of your cap otherwise. Mahomes does it every year and I’d assume Allen will as well and then eventually extend further to push money into a pit in the distant future. Teams always figure out ways to clean up their cap issues, the idea we are going take a step back for a year is completely absurd from both a competitive angle and a sales angle. As most NFL teams do, they’ll keep pushing money into the future until their team literally bottoms out and then they’ll eat it. Unless the NFL quietly eliminates some of a dead cap in the insuring years

The D had literally no one center of the field from what I saw on the replay. Gabe got past the DB who had stumbled and due to the blitz, the Eagles had 1 guy spying about 2 yards off the line.

I don't think its fixed but rather has an agenda. There are certain teams week to week/season to season they want to see succeed and the refs are given the tools to manipulate. This year they want KC and Philly to have a Kelce Rematch with Taylor Swift there. Now if KC or Philly fails even with friendly officiating they'll likely move to different narrative to play with but there's certainly some bias.

Was a bad pick but a great DB play primarily. Allen shouldn't have to play a flawless game to win and the throw was solid to Diggs. The DB just timed it well and jumped it.

Frankly I wish they'd stop doing any choice routes with Davis. Allen and him don't see the game the same way and it costs them far too often with picks, "intentional groundings," and now a surefire touchdown. It's very easy Gabe should of been able to see that there was no one over the middle and taken the space as he did against KC multiple times. Instead he chose to actively make it a tougher throw for Josh by going to the pylon which meant he'd have to float it over the DB.

Mahomes played 80 games. Allen took 87 games to pass him. While definitely slower, still nothing short of impressive. Especially seeing as how awful his support was in his 1st couple years.

https://twitter.com/danorlovsky7/status/1724393205796352195?s=20 The video is good Additionally I want to add if you pause at :07 of the video; Allen is quite literally looking at a receiving group that has three guys lined up in a row and both outer routes running deep. The scheme in of itself seems to look and make Allen make split second decisions as well trying to make it as physically difficult as possible. Gabe Davis having option routes being just an example of there being too many extra permutations. Effectively Josh is in his own head because the staff had beaten him over the head with not running and forcing him to both predict where the defense will go as well as his own receivers. To this point a guy could easily be open but Allen may not notice because he has so many other thoughts being processed. Far too much is schemed to require specific circumstances to play out or Allen, "Save Us." 2 weeks in a row he was baited into trying fades to the left; part of me wonders if they were the Option #1 and if Allen doesn't feel he has the time or good routes elsewhere to the point that he almost feels like he has to throw there. Then he just prays it works.

Feels like they’ve neutered Josh to the point he’s more confused than anything else.

So we are just supposed to be content with playoff berths and no Super Bowls because he got us out of the drought? Since :13, McD has doubled and tripled down on conservative game management tactics and upon Daboll's departure the offense has become less of a cannon and more of a water gun. Daboll and McD didn't get along because Daboll wanted to have a strong offense that drove down the field and scored every drive. McD, for as good as he might be as a manager, and even tactically on defense, has far too much bias towards helping the defense and catering to the defense. He'd never say he wants the offense to sputter but he likely sees value in long tenuous drives regardless of result due to it giving his defense time to recuperate. A 4 play 68 yard drive done in less than 2 minutes is terrible for the defense akin to that of a turnover. Part of it is coming from his desire to help protect the defense that is literally held together by gum and tape. But he needs to swallow his damn pride and let the offense steer the ship. If we have to win 38-35 and the defense is gashed, so be it. We don't need good complimentary football; we need to win by whatever means we can.

Frankly sounded like McD was okay with the offensive scheme but not it’s execution even though the scheme was primarily what sunk us. That is extremely concerning. He seems to value his defense getting rest over actually scoring. It feels like punts are okay and the occasional 3 and out or 6 and out are fine as long as they eat some clock and don’t turn it over. Which inherently wrong; you play to win not to not lose

I'm finally just done with McD, that challenge was completely idiotic from every angle you can look at it. It was a 9 yard incompletion, not a 45 yard play. He quite literally burned a timeout for an attempt at getting 9 ***** yards! It feels like the offense has a firm leash on it and it has greatly impacted Allen's throwing. He has a shoulder ailment so why are we attempting to have him go long constantly. Davis should never do any option routes; he is literally horrid at them. He and Allen never guess right and it shows up far too often. It feels like the entire offensive game plan is to eat clock, and hope to generate steady drives while simultaneously telling Allen he must play like Brady in the pocket. Then we fall behind and they suddenly yell, Allen save us! Our defense is cursed in regards to injuries.

Elam and a 2nd/3rd feels fair

What differs between the Patriots game and the Bucs game is how effective the offense played and how it looked play by play. Against the Bucs every drive felt like it could get somewhere, even if they stalled it still looked clean. Against the Patriots the offense looked as if it were running through quick sand and every play was like pulling teeth. It felt like Allen was walking up a downward escalator. The two exemptions are the two hurry up drives that gave them 15 points in 4 minutes. When Dorsey doesn’t keep Allen waiting until the last second for calls and they spread the defense; he can accurately dissect a defense far better than when he has 10 secs to read, adjust and snap.

Part of me would love to blame his wrist injury but Knox has dropped far too many passes over his career to get that benefit of the doubt.