YattaOkasan

Good to know. I don't think I can handle another Mulligan level blocking TE.

I am also pleased with how they have worked FA. In particular the guys we are brining in are young. If one pans out he can get an extension. Hoping we get one 2017 starter from the defensive signings.

I've heard you say you hope your wrong. Were all Bills fans so we should also be a little cynical. However, were also all sports fans so we have to be a little hopeful too. I'm skeptical this team can do much of anything. However, if the 2015-2016 Syracuse taught me anything its that exceeding expectations is sooooooo much fun. I will try to temper the inner fan in me, but he does like to have a little fun.

To me the obvious conclusion of limiting total yards but allowing points says that they are working against a short field. Thus the offense was terrible. I don't know how else you get such a difference in rank for the two statistics. I have read your point of view many times, and you could be right (there is a lot that you say that isn't wrong). However, I think don't think you're always leaning on your strong points, but try to make bold conclusions without having a full explanation of the data. To me, we just won't know until training camp at the earliest. I get it; you think last year was the crash and this is the burn. Others think year 2 in the systems will allow us to compete for the afc east (I'm skeptical). There is a lot of data for both sides, and you're gonna have to be patient. Focus on something else; it'll help my sanity if not yours. I dont know what were pretending now, but without beating the Brady its going to be tough to make the playoffs let alone compete for the division.

Do you disagree that the offense can have a large impact on the points allowed?

Of sub par offense....? I agree last year was disappointing, but you keep saying antiquated. I am not sure how you say that or why you dismiss the rankings of total yards allowed?

I get the joke and disagree with Big Cat for the most part. However, I think turnovers on a short field probably led to easy TDs/FGs. Thus the points was high. Should be easy enough for someone to show the turnovers by their offense.

Points ranking is likely affected by the atrocious offense the Jets had. Now you could say that was because of how they drafted, but it is more likely related to the offense than the defense.

Im rooting for a hidden gem as well. This signing has me thinking Edge Rusher in the first, LB in the second. Certainly a good pick up.

How late does this guy project to go? He seems big and fast. I know his competition was terrible (I saw the video up thread) so its harder to predict his NFL ceiling, but he should be able to take the lid off the defense right away. I'm also guessing he can block well.

I know the fools was played on us, but to continue a previous line of thought... If he competed in Brazil and then was available mid season for us. Is that really a problem? We would get an athlete that has world class ability, character, and knows our playbook. My point is that if pursuing the Olympics, earns Goodwin's loyalty; then who cares as long he doesn't sign with anyone else (I know that can't be guaranteed).

Yeah that's what I got too. I watched tape from the Auburn game and he had 2 sacks (1 was clean up of someone else). He didn't get too much pressure (usually just ran past the QB). In run support he had a couple of nice back side stops, but also lost the edge a couple of times. Throw on top of that the swing he took at someone and the PF that did get called in the 4th quarter for a drive continuing 1st down. I hesitate.

You are reading this backwards (I did too initially). That is the Opponents TOP. So we are 2-0 with opponents low TOP and 1-2 with opponents high TOP.

I was a little confused on this too. But some/most of the schemes I've seen on this site have a NT at 0 or 1 tech, a DT at 3 tech, and a DE at 5 tech (Strong side). It is definitely not the symmetrical NT flanked by two DEs.

Anyone bored enough to figure out how many times we would've been called for the new penalty in 2015? PFF (They like to watch every play right)?

So....Neon Deon.....?

Fair enough. You can buy me a birthday shot to make up for it. PM me for my local pub that I will be doing car bombs at tomorrow.

You linked me to team head to head and it looks like you're right. Since forever, we are not the worse than rest of the league (I assume this is true cause why else would you link it). But I guess I assumed there was some cutoff here. I used Brady's career as the cutoff. These are his splits from the same website. And I was right for my pre defined period (I know it looks bad but I promise this was my criteria in my original post). His winning % against not the AFC east is 75.6% which is worse than 77.9% against the AFC East. Worse (from our perspective), his 89.2% winning percentage is way worse than the rest of the league. Sorry I didn't specify the time period we were talking about, but for the past 15 years, the patriots have been MEASURABLY better against the bills then the rest of the league.

I don't know how but I feel pretty sure you could statistically prove that the Pats are worse against the other 30 teams (particularly the 27 teams outside our division). If that counts as measurable then I guess we could fire up JMP and the wiki on poison distributions (I think that's this) I'm ok with them drafting 5 lineman if they draft no CBs. I have to believe their CB depth bites them soon. If we could keep TEs in to block their good rushers (not so good after losing Jones), then Sammy should be able to beat half their secondary anywhere on a play action. ...? Are you actually happy on a bills forum that the Patriots might layoff a bad contract? I hope Amendola holds out this TC and they have to give the rest of their cap to that guy. Were you upset the Pats signed Hogan for too much when the Bills would have likely not matched a smaller offer? I'm also surprised by the move. I think no matter what TT gets more time which more importantly exposes the Pats 2ndry How do they have so many UFA's....? Is this why they always get an absurd number of comp picks? For this Bennett deal, I am very ambivalent. Sorry for so many quotes (I like to keep my post count low, but the quality high).

Just read about him and seems like a good Roman fit. I don't think we'll reach for him this year because of our defensive needs. Since TE's are not hot commodities and Roman needs so many, I think I would like us to spend a mid/late round draft pick on TE until we have a #2 that we can use in the redzone.

I like the idea of a TE rather than a WR for this draft. Gives us another potential weapon in the red zone and the WR draft doesn't look great (from what I'm reading on this board). Robert Woods is serviceable as a #2 because hes on a rookie contract. Worst case scenario, Woods is awful and we look for a better #2 in FA and/or draft WR in a better year. Most likely case scenario Woods performs as he had and we sign a better #2 in FA and/or draft WR in a better year. Best case scenario Woods excels we resign him (cause that's what we do now) and go BPA with respect to WR in a better draft year. Just behind RT I have TE#2 as the biggest offensive need for the this team because I am of the opinion, "if you can win the last 20 yards then you can win any 20 yards"

I see this as good depth insurance. Worst case scenario we have a big blocker in the redzone and someone who shows he can catch when the defense forgets about him (Also knows G-Ro system so he might be more sneaky now). I like the idea of hunter henry too. What round has he been forecasted to be picked? If we pick him up and wins the second TE position then I would be happy to cut the Dray and Shady rap meme. Until I have at least the meme and a blocking TE. Its the offseason.

Agreed its not a Gaussian distribution at all. I would think its closer to exponential decay.

As has been stated. Its a little late for scapegoating. If you wanted to pass the buck, you do it right away in the offseason; not sit on it for a couple months. Whatever the reason, scapegoating seems unlikely.

I also don't see this happening. Yes hes on a low contract but he still has a lot to prove to us and the league. If he were some sort of proven commodity then maybe he could break his contract, but since he only has a season under his belt, I think the league would want to see a little bit more before he could break his contract for a big pay day.