Kirby Jackson

Yeah, I don’t think it can be right. I thought it was a conversion rate of 80%? My guess is that they are right around 50k of the 62k. There’s a few thousand holds in there. I’d think that there are maybe 8k or so left. I don’t think we will ever see actual data but based on anecdotal stories of what was left for recent visits, that would feel about right. They should be close to through the current people. The ones in our group are entering year 4 or 5 and sit in 335. They went the last week of April. After that would be 300 level with less seniority than that. It can’t be a giant universe. Who knows how long it’ll take to get through that group.

Seriously?!? I’m 44 (today actually) and have been to a few dozen weddings I’d say. That was the 1st that I’ve ever been to without one (at least that I remember). Keep in mind, I grew up in a big Italian family that loves the vino.

I wouldn’t know how many he invites. It’s probably somewhere between like 6 or 7 and 50.

Has anyone ever been to a wedding without an open bar? I once went to one, in fact it was a dry wedding. They are super religious. It was in rural Arkansas. I drove through a tornado to get there. I’d never experienced a tornado prior (or since). I wish it would have gotten us, Wizard of Oz style. Anyways, that was the first time I heard of a wedding without an open bar. If you can’t afford an open bar, invite less people. If your religious beliefs prevent you from serving alcohol, don’t invite me. Don’t invite anyone. No one wants to be there otherwise. Thanks for coming to my Ted Talk. Congrats to Josh & Hailee 🥂

I think that the golf buddy part is certainly right. Those guys were at the bachelor party. We know Dion is invited (he said as much). Knox and Kincaid are two of his closest friends on the team. I’d add Trubisky for sure. I would guess Hyde and Poyer. Everyone else depends on how many Bills he has there.

Ranking the order of extensions IMO: - Benford (best player, premium position) - Shakir (great at his job, great contract, premium position where they’re thin) - Rousseau (good role player, good contract, premium position, still upside) - Cook (best playmaker on the team not named Allen) - Bernard (team leader, knack for big plays, regressed, non premium position, good player behind him)

Fair point but Tom Brady and Alex Guerrero aren’t walking through that door. That team hasn’t been the same since Bob Kraft rolled up to Orchids of Asia with $59 in his pocket and a twinkle in his eye.

I don’t think that 25k number is inclusive. It’s probably missing the premiums which is like another 10k or so. It may also be accounts, not seats. I don’t know the average number of seats per account for the Bills. If it is 2, that could make sense. That would be 80%. The math isn’t mathing otherwise. I think that the 80% number is probably right. My guess is that the Bills current retention is 95%+. I could see a 15% variance with the PSLs entering. Either way, it’ll end up full. They’ll tweak the pricing if need be. They’ll dump large chunks to broker partners at a discount if need be. They’ll sell as many PSLs as they planned to sell. That was never in doubt. That’s easy to do because you can manipulate the inventory in so many ways to get it sold. How close are they to the revenue target is a much more interesting question?

I don’t think he went off the rails. This is who he is and always was. It’s just more public now with Cardi B. There are tons of stories about Diggs off the field that sound like this. He’s an unmarried, rich athlete that parties in the social media era.

Exactly!!! I get the optimism but the lack of knowledge is staggering. For comparison, I don’t think any of us are thinking that we are getting prime Bosa. He’s still been a great player when healthy but he’s rarely healthy. We are all holding out hope that he’s healthy at the end of the year when it matters. Miami fans thought a washed Poyer was going to change their defense, very much like how Pats fans think this version of Diggs transforms their passing game. 🤣🤣

Watching the Pats fans crumble from this on social media has been hilarious. They believed that they were getting 2021 Diggs. They thought they were getting this alpha WR, with a giant chip on his shoulder and in his prime. Instead, they are getting a 30-something Diggs, off a torn ACL, dating a massive celebrity, coming off a Diddy-esque controversy, playing in a place he didn’t want to go, with a young team that gave him the biggest number. This was ALWAYS going to be a disaster. Pats fans all over social media want to cut him. 🤣🤣 They really are the least knowledgeable fanbase in the league. The guy that you signed is not the same guy that the Bills traded for.

https://www.pff.com/news/nfl-linebacker-rankings-top-32-ahead-of-2025-nfl-season

The $2500 PSLs have been available for a while. A couple of people in our group purchased them last month.

That’s a 1/2 truth. The Bills have some large ticket broker partners (as all teams do). They have some people that own hundreds and maybe even thousand(s). I’m confident that they aren’t kicking those partners out. It “technically” isn’t StubHub but there will be a few thousand tickets owned by people that do nothing but resell. That’s their business.

I’d be shocked if that were happening. They could be situations where people were a part of a group and the whole group isn’t returning. Maybe they made some exceptions. I would be completely shocked if they just randomly called people on the waiting list before finishing with the current people. I highly doubt that they will. What they do have are league holds (networks, player additional tickets, league, opposing team, etc). When those don’t get used they can be resold on a game by game basis. That’s usually the Thursday of a game if there are some. There won’t be an individual game on sale though (at least that would be VERY surprising). The tickets available will be secondary market. This makes sense

I didn’t realize that was happening. I was under the impression that they were going through the current folks first? I would have an issue with that too!! The most recent people that I know of that went through April 24th. They are going into their 5th year and sit in 335. I assumed that they were still working through the list but with the end approaching.

So we are 96 pages in and approaching the inevitable outcome?The stadium will be full and all the PSLs sold. That was never the question though. That was always the inevitable result. The questions that interest me are: - What was their original target revenue from PSLs? - How did that target move with the increased cost of construction? - How far from that target are they? - How many times did they tweak / alter the PSL pricing plan to close that gap? There are more I’m sure. The result was never in doubt. They’ll get there because they will just remain nimble until they do. The much more interesting part is the process. I’d imagine that where they are today is vastly different than when they originally started on the new stadium a couple of years ago. There must have been some pretty heated debates, amongst some pretty smart people, to maximize this process.

What are you talking about? No one has overreacted. We’ve finally reached a point where we aren’t overreacting to this stuff. The Cook thing is a non-story and no one on TBD has made it a story. That’s progress

Not sure where this belongs but it is certainly interesting. It looked to me like Hopkins had lost a step. I guess that I hope that’s the case 🤣:

This is the story of OTAs (not Cook). Hopefully it’s precautionary. They need Bosa at the end of the year, not the beginning (even with the suspensions). Get him healthy if that’s possible.

I think Rapp is a little underrated. He’s a solid starter IMO. He isn’t perfect and can be upgraded from. At the same time, it would be easy to downgrade as well.

The year before he put up over 4000 yards with 28 TDs and only 10 INTs. Over the last 2 years he averaged 4,277 yards, 35 TDs and 13 INTs. 8-12 is fair. Daniels is in there somewhere as well. The guys that you named, along with Baker and Daniels is 5 through whatever (Stroud can get back there too).

I don’t think he’s 5 but he’s certainly top 10. He might be more like 7. He had 4,500 yards and 41 TDs last year!!