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Everything posted by Coastie
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What song best describes the Bills at Mid-Season?
Coastie replied to BringBackFergy's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
They so far lack identity and often seem punch drunk like the protagonists actual drunkenness. And this is not a bad summary of the love/hate relationship of Buffalo fans with this team. There's a place where I know you walked The love falls from the trees My heart is like a broken cup I only feel right on my knees I spill out like a sewer hole Yet still receive your kiss How can I measure up to anyone new After such a love as this -
Hope Roman watched tonight's game
Coastie replied to Dragonborn10's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
You know what I want him to watch and figure out is how every time Brady runs a QB sneak he gets a yard. Every single time it seems. Whatever Brady and his center and guards are doing is working to perfection and we should copy it. Not piecemeal, copy it exactly since the entire league has been watching Brady execute it to perfection for 15 years and still can't stop it. I don't know why they do it so well but I am not an NFL offensive coordinator, he is. Don't reinvent the wheel, the blueprint for a great wheel is right there on 15 years worth of film, reverse engineer it. -
I've always wondered if sometimes the referee does not throw the flag until he sees the receiver did not catch the ball. I seem to think they'd rather if he catches it pretend the penalty didn't happen as long as the offense gets what they deserve so to speak.
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The reason this game pissed me off so much was this line 34,0,0,0. Points allowed, Sacks, Fumbles recovered, Interceptions. That stat line from what was last year one of the best Ds in the league, a D that is healthier than most and was a consensus top 10 D this year. At home. That is what pissed me off. As you said, I tempered my expectations for the offense due to injuries so I knew we would need the defense to step it up. I have to think the defense knew they had to step it up as well. And they laid a legitimate doughnut out there. A big fat pile of stinking doughnut.
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Rapid Reaction - 10 Observations About Today's Game
Coastie replied to ChevyVanMiller's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
There is an old saying that says the worst sex I ever had was good. That philosophy applies to today's game, terrible win and it is good. -
Robert Woods Fumble - no forward progress?
Coastie replied to Bills!Win!'s topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Why going out of bounds is being discussed is because of the risk to reward ratio of the decision to cut inside. There was very little reward and very real risk as we saw. The fact the risk does not actualize in the hypothetical you bring up does not make the decision any less wrong. Would it have be as impactful a mistake? No, of course not but it would have remained a mistake non the less. -
NYT: Insider betting scandal in Fantasy Football
Coastie replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Because if you use a player that is 40% owned versus one that is 4% owned, there are ten times as many people you have to beat with the rest of your lineup if you make the right low player usage selection. And usage rates can be surprising sometimes as the contrarian sentiment is very high in DFS. There are weeks marque players are not very highly owned due to other players favorable matchups or injuries to starters and if you know the week Tom Brady is not very highly owned and play him AND he performs well, you get an advantage. Just knowing who is low usage is not enough, they have to perform as well. -
The NFL has changed so much--FIRE ROGER GOODELL
Coastie replied to ThurmasThoman's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
South Park's take on Goodell. Sorry, this was the best short clip I could find. -
I like what I am hearing, I hope it projects onto his team's performance.
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NYT: Insider betting scandal in Fantasy Football
Coastie replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I like actual discussions, they make me sit back and actually analyze my own position on things sometimes. -
NYT: Insider betting scandal in Fantasy Football
Coastie replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I got the impression the employee posted this information publicly somewhere before the game start times (when players find out) and someone else put two and two together after they realized he had the info before the public and he had cashed a big tournament win. Who, I don't know. Oh I have seen the projection algorithms but although the structure is pure math, not all the settings within it are. These guys tweak the variables for points per touch, game flow multiplier, number of touches etc based on information and analysis. They try to be as objective as possible but there is always some subjectivity to it when things like weather and injuries are involved. -
NYT: Insider betting scandal in Fantasy Football
Coastie replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
As a matter of fact, I am cashing $83 dollars on my teams from this weekend, played $80 and I have the Seattle defense on one of my five lineups so if they do well I could increase that. I could also lose about 13 dollars of that 83, maybe a little more if there is a record setting points output from several players. You are right for the most part, the guys who do dozens of hours of research and scan all the news sites and such, they win consistently. For me it is a not too expensive hobby that fills the extra time I find on my hands since I retired. -
NYT: Insider betting scandal in Fantasy Football
Coastie replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
meh, I have put $700 in over the last two years, betting year round on golf, some baseball and football every week and I still am sitting on about $250. I place probably $50 to $150 in bets (and yes they are bets, don't let anyone tell you otherwise) a week for football, half that for golf, maybe thirty bucks a day for baseball if I can build a team I like. So while I am not in the green I am far from throwing money down a well I think. -
NYT: Insider betting scandal in Fantasy Football
Coastie replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The instance here is usage rate of players. It is harder to win a tournament with high usage players so lineups with low usage, high potential scoring players gives the best return on investment and these employees knew the usage rate at their site so the usage rate at other sites is likely comparable with some variation allowed for differences in salaries. -
NYT: Insider betting scandal in Fantasy Football
Coastie replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Aw man, I play on DraftKings, now I know every game I enter I am putting a little money in those jackholes' pockets? That bums me out. -
Hall of Fame is better than good and as to Coughlin being better, I won't agree to that but I will not say you are wrong for holding that opinion. Coughlin made half as many Super Bowls (in 19 years) as Levy (in 12 years) but won two while Levy lost four. And even if I were to concede Coughlin is the better coach, leadership and coaching are not the same. Leadership is a subset of coaching and I maintain Levy is the better leader. As to better overall coach the 2-0 vs 0-4 records in the Super Bowl can not be overlooked, especially since many agree Levy was beaten in the Xs and Os aspect of those games.
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Only six times in NFL history has the losing team in the super Bowl gotten back the next year. Marv coached three of those. I always thought that fact showed how effective a leader he was because those players could have quit anywhere along that run and they didn't and I have put the credit for that in Marv's lap. I just haven't seen anything from Ryan that leads me to believe he is a good leader. Now the situations are completely different of course so that must be taken into consideration in any discussion but Marv is the simplest comparison since most here are old enough to remember him and he is our guy and a Hall of Famer to boot.
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The "can Dan" Carpenter thread
Coastie replied to Pine Barrens Mafia's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I didn't either, I searched but couldn't find anything saying they did narrow the goal posts except an article said they were going to experiment with it for the 2015 Pro Bowl. If they did I am surprised there aren't even more missed FGs, that drastic a change removes 25% of the target area. -
That is my biggest fear. The refs CAN call a penalty on every play for something. Give the refs the belief that the Bills are dirty and undisciplined and there is no reason to hesitate to pull out the yellow hankie. Reminds me of the Raider teams that, while they earned the reputation they had with the refs, it was a dead certainty that every "should I or shouldn't I" moment the refs had was going to go against the Raiders. I hope we don't end up in that situation.
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Robert Woods Fumble - no forward progress?
Coastie replied to Bills!Win!'s topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
My exact thoughts at the time. Cutting back towards two defenders while down two scores and just one step from the sideline is a bad choice. No matter how much you want to make the big play and be the hero, a well disciplined player realizes that choice is rife with tragic outcomes. After getting stopped by the two defenders and not realizing it is time to get down just makes the first mistake all the more painful. -
The "can Dan" Carpenter thread
Coastie replied to Pine Barrens Mafia's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
jumbalaya, on 05 Oct 2015 - 10:08 AM, said Same way when I am bowling I may pick up a 5-7 split then miss a 4 pin. -
Reason For Penalties - Playing at Home?
Coastie replied to HardyBoy's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Would their replacements have won? I don't know but I do know Hughes and Brown didn't get us this win so maybe benching them may help them focus better next time. Does make me feel a little better to know it isn't just our guys doing dumb things, I watched the Saints special teamer dance around celebrating his tackle while the ball lay on the field two feet away. I mean he literally could have bent over, picked it up and taken three steps to the end zone. I laughed out loud when I thought about what they are going to say when they watch the film. But then the Saints aren't my team so it's easy to laugh. -
I know, I was yelling get out of bounds as soon as he caught it. I appreciate the desire to get yards but down two scores you can't cut back into the field of play towards two defenders.