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Everything posted by K-9
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People who mock and belittle the modelers don’t know much. The single most difficult aspect to model was the voluntary participation of the American people to heed the advice of governors that locked states down and demanded social distancing. That speaks well of us as people. The modelers needed to make prediction ranges based on varying degrees of participation none the less. But blaming modelers, China, or the WHO is so much easier than actually trying to understand things on a deeper level. My main concern continues to be our continued vigilance. Good news often leads to complacency. We simply can’t afford that.
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Better Call Saul: Season 5 Trailer - 23 Feb
K-9 replied to /dev/null's topic in Off the Wall Archives
That explains a lot of the aesthetics of the episode. Definitely had a Gilligan vibe all the way through. -
The Swannie House has its liquor licence suspended
K-9 replied to PromoTheRobot's topic in Off the Wall Archives
Never go to AJ’s and now never will. Swannie House has lost a long time customer for good. -
God bless the modelers. I can’t think of a more thankless job. They are tasked with forecasting futures based on current data sets and their primary job is to forecast ranges, including worst case scenarios in order to maximize preparedness. And for good reason. I’d think it was plainly obvious to their biggest critics that it’s always best to prepare for a worst case scenario and end up not needing that level of preparation vs. under preparing and being caught short. It’s like insurance is a foreign concept or something. I’d rather be informed by models based on data sets than a bunch of yes-man sycophants too afraid to tell me I have no clothes on.
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Better Call Saul: Season 5 Trailer - 23 Feb
K-9 replied to /dev/null's topic in Off the Wall Archives
Great epi! Reminiscent of some of the better two man episodes in BB with Walt and Jesse. Several parallels between the characters, too. -
Unless you count the daily exhibit of that laminated “presidential guidelines” poster, there has been no semblance of a centrally based plan since day one so it’s hard to imagine that coming now. It’s been on the individual states from the beginning. That said, I’ve been impressed with the work of several governors; governors of both political stripes who’ve been able to put aside petty partisan politics and focus on the work at hand. Governors like DeWine, Newsom, Inslee, Hogan, Wolf, Pritzker, Cuomo, and others made tough calls to shut down their states and enact strict social distancing measures to try and get ahead of this thing. I applaud that courage.
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Buffalo Bills worst draft choices.
K-9 replied to BuffaloBills1998's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Beware WRs from Clemson? Jerry Butler says, “Hold my beer.” Seriously though, can’t argue anyone on that list. There are just so many names to choose from. -
Sammy Watkins restructures contract - Will Return
K-9 replied to Virgil's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
What criteria are you using to determine that? Cornerbacks are definitely the best athletes in the league, but their portion of the playbook is the thinnest for any position, especially for CBs who play man coverage predominantly. The material that other positions need to master, like OLmen, for example, is exponentially more complex. -
Diggs vs the WR field in the draft
K-9 replied to John from Riverside's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
So much depends on the QB and surrounding cast and coaching situations where these rookies end up. History is filled with great receiver prospects who never got into the right situations.