jwhit34

So for all that want them to make a change: 1. Give us the names of 3 people who are or would be available that would be a head coaching upgrade over Sean McDermott. 2. Give us the names of 3 people who are or would be available that would be a GM upgrade over Brandon Beane. Any highly successful, well entrenched coaches or GMs are not an acceptable answer (so no Andy Reid, Sean McVay, Kyle Shanahan, Dan Campbell, Howie Roseman, Brian Gutekunst, Brett Veech, to name a few).

Check in again at this time in 2027 and see how they are all doing. Evaluating draft picks 4 games into their pro careers in a waste of time.

Hill's contract makes it almost impossible to trade him. Per Spotrac, Miami would have a dead cap hit of $57 million and they currently have less than $2.5 million in cap space. The only player in their top 14 whose dead cap number is less than their 2025 cap hit is Alec Ingold ($4.8 million cap hit, $3.1 million dead cap or a savings of $1.7 million). By the time you get to #15 (their punter), the '25 cap hit is $2.5 million. So I am not sure how Miami stays cap compliant without the trade partner taking on most of the dead cap money. In looking at some of their top guys there aren't a lot of restructures possible, they already have a heavy dead cap number. Tua's dead cap is already $137 million, so they're not going to take most of his $25 million salary and convert to bonus so they now have $150+ million in dead cap. If they wait until after the season the dead cap goes down to $15.5 million. And KC can't do it, they are only $3.6 million under the cap. Hill's base salary is only $10 million so they could probably make that work but they are not going to want to take on $30 million in additional dead cap $ to get him. They already traded him away because they didn't want to have him comprise a big % of the cap, I don't think they reverse field now.

So both teams: Have picked 5 WRs Had 3 not work out Still have 2 of the 5 on their roster The relevant question to ask is: Would you trade Coleman and Shakir for Rice and Worthy? I don't think I make that trade.

Cody Ford has played over 80 games in the league, most of them as a starter. He also was a key component in the trade up for the 2018 draft and that pick was then packaged in the trade up for #7 which resulted in Josh Allen. So that wasn't too bad. Singletary was a mid round 3rd who has over 5,700 career yards from scrimmage. Epenesa was #54 overall and will probably play 10 years in the NFL. Solid player, not a waste. Basham is the worst pick. Moss was 86th overall. Not the best pick but still in the league. I'll give you that one. I still say that's an excellent track record.

Agree with other people on: Epenesa - not a wasted pick, he got a 2nd contract and is a productive player. Singletary - was a good player for Bills and continues to play in the league. The Douglas trade was a 3rd for Douglas and a 5th. Don't remember who they got with the 5th. Douglas was good, he was a player rental for '23 and that worked out well. His play fell off last year but that was a "trade for now". Cooper - Everyone loved it at the time, maybe it didn't work out as planned but also a trade for now and they did get to the AFC Championship game. Basham didn't pan out, Moss either but in 7 drafts if you have 14 picks in the 2nd and 3rd rounds (they may have had more) there's only 2 that didn't really work out (and Moss has played 4 years in the league) that's a very good track record. And there have been some really good ones: James Cook, Spencer Brown, Terrell Bernard, O'Cyrus Torrence, Dawson Knox, and the McDermott year it was Dion Dawkins. All core players.

No surprises this year - I picked other.

at least 1 year too early to even have a clue on how good the 2024 draft class will be. Check back this time next year and see how the 5 mentioned (Coleman, Bishop, Carter, SVP, Grable) are doing. No one knows at this point including the Bills coaches and Beane.

Two things: 1. preseason football is brutal. 2. If the rest of the league watches this game film, the Bills will not have any problem getting players back on the practice squad after cuts to the 53.

I think 51 are locks: QB - Allen, Trubisky RB/FB - Cook, Johnson, Davis, Gilliam OL - 5 starters, Anderson, VanDemark, Grable, TE - Kincaid, Knox, Hawes WR - Shakir, Coleman, Palmer, Samuel, Moore Offense locks: 22 DL - Rousseau, Bosa, Jackson, Epenesa, Solomon, Oliver, Jones, Sanders, Walker, Carter LB - Milano, Bernard, Andreeson, Williams, Thompson CB - Benford, White, T Johnson, Hairston (don't think they IR him), D Jackson, Strong S - Rapp, Bishop, Hamlin, Lewis, Hancock Defense locks: 26 Special teams: Bass, Robbins, Ferguson ST locks: 3 That leaves 2 spots. One will go to OL, if Van Pran Granger comes off PUP it will be him, if he starts on IR it will be Lundt I think Shavers is #53.

Fun to watch. Loved: 1. The Russell Copeland TD they show the graphic that Kelly is 1-14 for 4 yards and 3 Ints before that play. 2. Ditka disgusted and spitting after the TD. Allen's throws are effortless. Fergy - underrated. Lofton - probably the best pure athlete that ever played WR for the Bills. So smooth. Honorable mention to Jerry Butler. I think I was 10 when they drafted JD Hill. I thought he was going to be the next Paul Warfield.

Preseason record in Kelly/Super Bowl era: 1988: 1-3 1989: 1-4 1990: 0-4 (best chance to win it all) 1991: 2-3 1992: 2-2 1993: 2-3 Totals: 8 wins, 19 losses. Regular season record over those 6 years: 70-26 And the starters played a lot more back then than they do now. I vaguely remember talk that Gale Gilbert was looking better than Jim Kelly one year (Art Wander comment?). In the Super Bowl years they didn't run no huddle in preseason. As McDermott said in presser, on a scale of 1-10, how much game planning did they do? 0-1. Amazing reaction over the weekend.

Probably as close to 0% chance of this happening and for good reason: Start with who is better. I can think of 4 probably for sure: Reid, McVay, Shanahan and Kevin O'Connell. Then maybe most would say John Harbaugh and Sean Payton, though McDermott has as good or a better track record over the past 10 years. Both of them have Super Bowl wins over 10 years ago, but how relevant is that? I'd say push to slightly better. There would be a couple, like Dan Campbell and maybe Sirianni, that some would favor but I think those are a push at best. Common thread with all of the above? They aren't going to be available probably ever. So if you could upgrade that would be good. Otherwise you're taking a shot with a hot coordinator or a retread or a college coach and hoping for a better result. All of those would be a crapshoot. The Bills are arguably the 2nd or 3rd most successful team in the past 6 years (KC, Philly). McDermott and Beane are going nowhere and that is the right thing.

So reminiscent of Brandon Reilly, Da'Rick Rogers, Naaman Roosevelt, _____________ (fill in name of WR camp darling of past who never really made it). The Bills historically keep 5 WRs, there are 5 that are pretty much locks given their skills and contracts. It's much more likely that Shavers, Virgil and Prather are on the practice squad and they each get 3 call ups to play special teams or cover a WR injury. That covers 9 of 17 games.

It really comes down to the 4th year. A 2nd round pick is not getting released in year 2, so more than 50% is guaranteed (signing bonus + first 2 years). There is probably a very low percentage released before year 3 so with salary escalations and bonuses, realistically around 80% is essentially guaranteed. It's the last 20% that is up for discussion.