BADOLBILZ

The opener of last season might have been the most impressive "quick game" performance of Josh Allen's career. And Dorsey was the play caller. They just didn't have the personnel to execute the style all season. McKenzie had clearly outplayed Crowder in the preseason and then McKenzie was a roller coaster with all of those opporunities in the first month of the season and the beaten-out Crowder got injured. So they played much of the year without the talent to consistently execute the quick game. I think Dorsey has to be given a pass on whether or not he can coordinate a short game because you can't expect your QB to keep feeding a block-headed slot receiver with a 9% drop rate.

Which is like Beane saying that a David Edwards injury would hurt a lot because he was supposed to be a starting guard. They've invested very little in Edwards just like they invested almost nothing in Crowder and they knew he was damaged goods. The reality is that McBeane decided to swap out Darryl Williams for Rodger Saffold and Beasley and Sanders for Crowder and it backfired. I believe they figured that the offense had finished the season so hot that any drop-off in offense at any point of the season because of accepting lesser talents wouldn't matter because the defense was going to be outrageously good. But the defensive side of the ball is too hard to predict from year to year and come playoff time they weren't a very good defense.........and of course, because of their decision to cut corners on offense, they then didn't have the offensive talent available to pick up the slack.

But fans don't have to come to terms with anything. The Bills just have to prove themselves right. I said last offseason that they were making a mistake by not prioritizing offense over defense and letting their WR corps go to camp in the shape it was. Defense is simply the harder side of the ball to predict results accurately from season to season......that's just the reality. You have to remain measured when investing on that side of the ball. It wasn't impossible for the team to ride the defense to a SB championship in 2022........but it really put the onus on McBeane to make it happen........because the predictable aspect that they were more likely to be able to make GREAT was the offense.

Right @Warriorspikes51........because Beck Water is former moderator Happless Bills fan. The mod who issued 90% of the boards hater points in it's entire history in just a handful of years. She tried to hide in plain sight as Beck.......but it didn't work. Wawrow wouldn't hide well either. Too obvious.

Pretty simple.........Dorsey was more consistently good than Daboll. I totally believe that McDermott and Daboll didn't see eye-to-eye because Daboll had weeks where he just coached with his head totally up his own ass. His squirrely, inconsistencies in 2021 season cost them home field advantage. And the 6 point performance against the worst team in the entire NFL, the then winless Jags, was maybe the worst OC'd game in Bills team history. Dorsey was a first year OC. He had notably less talent to work with than Daboll had the year before and his QB was injured in the second half of the season. He did well but anyone who was paying attention knew that first year OC's don't win SB's. He got shown up by Anarumo just like Daboll got shown up by Spags in 2020.........but if Dorsey had more weapons around his QB the result might have been different. The Bills D couldn't get off the field against those Bengals weapons. Beane let the WR corps deteriorate and it cost them dearly.

I coined it.........and I couldn't even reduce it down to a narrow definition. If you knew the Ralph C Wilson Jr. Buffalo Bills...........you just knew.

Perhaps they grossly underestimated Diggs conviction on the subject matter because they really, really can't relate to his point of view.

The Giants weren't a good team last year. They made the playoffs with a negative point differential in a weak conference. Their QB threw a pathetic 15 TD's. The "Daboll is great, we blew it letting him leave!" faction is a real grass-is-greener group of screwballs.

Yeah I felt strongly at the time that something was up with Allen that was leaving him distracted and unfocused. I thoroughly remember being in that state in my early 20's and what it was about. I really didn't see that coming with Allen. She wouldn't have been my cup of tea in his situation but he sure seemed pretty settled in with his GF. If the rumors are even remotely true what was going on was even worse than I thought. With all the life and death sh!t that happened in December and January it kinda' got lost in the shuffle. It very well could have something to do with this Diggs situation. Diggs has a baby mama and unabashedly juggles multiple women at the same time and still is the same guy on the field every week. So maybe he has lost some respect for JA considering how compromised Allen was over some female related drama. I can see Diggs brooding over this with the like minds he probably surrounds himself with all offseason and just getting angrier over how badly Allen handled himself and questioning whether he deserves the say in the organization that he has while Diggs opinion isn't taken into account much as a WR. That macho BS would track with Allen's language about the situation and McDermott's frustration about having to listen to Diggs telling him his rationale at length and not having some sort of resolution still.

Like I said........Ben McAdoo also took over a "perennial losing" NY Giants team..........and went 11-5 in 2016. And Daboll "resurrected" Daniel Jones from a guy who threw 10 TD's in 2021 up to a guy who threw all of 15 TD's in 2022. Can you see how that modest improvement of Daniel Jones from bad to "meh" might not sound like it should be compared bringing the dead back to life? I didn't leave out those facts........I thoroughly addressed them..........you just don't like that I'm right. As for the "coach of the year".........roughly every other year somebody wins that award who in hindsight was clearly nowhere near one of the better HC's in the NFL. Jason Garrett won it in 2016(Adam Gase finished 3rd). Matt Nagy won it in 2018. Seriously, he did. Kevin Stefanski in 2020(15-19 since). It's not a who's who of great coaches it's more 1 hit wonders than great HC's. I mean.......it looked good on Dick Jauron's transcript after he won it but he wasn't very good now, was he?

Let's not get carried away now LOF'nL! Kyle Shanahan was the Peyton Manning of HC prospects. Son of a HOF'er and SB champion. Brian Daboll was fired at his first 3 NFL offensive coordinator jobs and then had to kick around as a TE coach for another 8 years or so before his coach helped him get an easy job at Alabama and when he left Nick Saban was none to distraught to see him go. He comes to the Bills and produces the worst scoring offense the NFL had seen since the merger thru the first half of 2018. Then after a tremendous 2020 he shat himself enough in the 2021 season that he'd never have gotten an NFL HC gig in that cycle if Joe Schoen wasn't at the front of the package. Plenty of bums have had a good first season as an NFL HC. NY Giants Ben McAdoo ring a bell? McDermott might not be the answer but just because Daboll caught some teams by surprise and got Daniel Jones to throw double digit TD passes I wouldn't be expecting that success to continue as the bar raises.

That's just a lot of jive comparing apples to oranges. Diggs gets matched against CB1 and/or doubled all season long and he still produces big numbers consistently. Gabe never gets doubled. That would be stupid of the opposing DC. Because one player is great and the other player is Gabe. They aren't running routes against the same quality of CB. Talk about "leapfrogging" over a point.........again, Davis has proven that he needs to be facing nickel/dime coverage players to shine. That was the case in that divisional round game in KC. Diggs runs wide open against those looks too........but he'd never get them. Your attempts to compare Davis to the likes of AJ Brown and Diggs are totally absurd. Get in the same ballpark, please.

What's your argument? He had 3 excellent playoff games where he's put up around 400 yards and 5 TD's..........3 BAD playoff games where he totaled just 2 catches on 11 targets and 0 TD's.........and a 41 yard game against the Patriots which was neither dominant or particularly impressive but didn't need to be. He's been better in the playoffs but he is still "inconsistent" Gabe. He gets too much of his production in bursts over a game or a few games.........and then has his stretches where he is lousy.........like the dreadful 3 catch on 14 targets game versus the Jets just 2 weeks prior to his greatest game ever versus the Chiefs in the playoffs. Top receivers don't have the peaks and valleys like Gabe and that's why we hold our breath when the ball is thrown to him and why his overall numbers aren't where they should be.

I "leapfrogged" the 149th rating for AJ Brown versus 186th for Gabe because there are like 80 players in the 60-69.9% catch rate. That's the median range for NFL receivers for catch rate. It's not a negative for Brown. Yeah if Gabe Davis also caught over 60% of his passes it would be a VERY different story......but he isn't anywhere near that. And there are other very good players with lower catch rates than AJ Brown...........like Davante Adams for one..........but those guys weren't dropping 1 out of every 10 catchable target.........they just didn't have an elite QB throwing them the ball. When Adams had an equivalent QB to Josh Allen his catch rate was in the 70%'s the prior two seasons. Comes down to this: Gabe Davis has the benefit of playing with one of the best but he has the lowest catch rate and highest drop rate of any heavily targeted NFL WR. The above is the point. He's in a class by himself wrt the combination of opportunity and inability to come down with the football. And yes, when you are targeted over 90 times.........that's a lot. He was tied for 48th most targeted receiver in the NFL. Tied with much more accomplished guys in Mike Williams and Brandin Cooks. Can he improve? I sure hope so. In the 2 obvious respects of being dead last in catch categories there is nowhere to go but up. And they need him to improve because after him it's a rookie TE and a bunch of journeymen lined up to contend to be the second receiving option for the Bills offense.

If you don't know that MVS is a tall boundary receiver who specializes in deep routes and produces very high yards per catch and very low catch% you don't know your NFL players. He's been doing the same thing for years. Which did you think he was? A slot receiver or a "short" receiver? AJ Brown is a 61% catch rate guy..........he and Gabriel Davis aren't comps at all. An utterly ridiculous comparison by you. The drop-off to Gabe's 52% catch rate is precipitous. Brown had just a 3.4% drop rate. Gabe had a ridiculous 9.7% drop rate. The potential to be a superstar like AJ Brown is not obvious. It's really not. As for his ankle injuries........he's had them in all 3 seasons. Sprained ankle/foot Gabe is regular Gabe. That's him until he has a season where it's not. As for "playoff Gabe"........he's had 3 excellent playoff games and 3 bad ones. His great game in KC was at the expense of a very depleted KC secondary. That's what Gabe needs.......matchups against 3rd, 4th or 5th CB options. Combine that with Allen's arm and that is the potential for big plays. Last season however, without the depth at WR they'd had in the past, opposing teams were able to put CB1 and CB2 on Gabe and he wasn't up to the task against that level of CB talent. They get in his pocket and he can't shake them.............and his suspect hands and inexplicable "clapping" technique make it very difficult for him to win contested catch situations. He needs to be running free, deep with those long strides against marginal NFL CB's to really be in his comfort zone.

Damian Harris - average RB Murray - old, average RB Sherfield - undrafted nobody who has never done much as a receiver Conor McGovern - paid very good money for a guy whose never been a full time starter Edwards - damaged goods Torrence - rookie and built for different scheme than rest of Bills OL Broeker - late round rookie Shell - washed up vet who spent part of last season on practice squad until injuries forced him into action Hardy - undrafted, very undersized, has produced little as a receiver and missed most of last year injured Shorter - special teamer That's the outside opinion of the Bills offensive acquisitions. Every team has a bunch of these rando's who they hope will be better than they've been recently or ever. Kincaid is the only one whose potential is very intriguing.........but he's a rookie. I do think that that they threw enough chips at the OL that it should be improved even if a couple of those guys are failures. If Kincaid turns into a star, then the WR corps could be good enough........but it's a big ask for a rookie. The WR free agent additions are just shots in the dark. Hopefully they produce but we thought that about OJ Howard and Jamison Crowder as well. Heck, you might be one of the Tavon Austin-believers from when he was "electric" in OTA's last year.

Health is a big key for sure...........but I think the Bills had the deepest defensive roster in the AFC last year and their defense was still bad in the playoffs. Depth is more important for the regular season, IMO. Having your stars available is what is most important at the end of the season, IMO.

Gabe Davis was 186th in catch % in the NFL last season.........he lead NFL WR in drop % and was second in overall drops among WR to the more heavily targeted Zay "Drop Zone" Jones. But the near exact comp for Davis is Marquez Valdes-Scantling...........you'd be hard pressed to find 2 players at any position who are so close in style and performance in the NFL. And not surprisingly MVS was 185th in catch %. MVS is settled in as a 3rd option receiving target in the NFL.........his free agent contract signed last offseason was 3 years $30M..........that's the market for that level of talent. So if Gabe doesn't sign with the Bills........yeah, obviously he will sign with another team.........you aren't saying anything by saying that..........but you seem to be presuming that he's going to get "paid" a $90M-$100M contract or something. That ain't happening if it's more of the same this season.

Or...........

Yeah the same amount of teams make the playoffs regardless of how many talented teams with top 10 QB's there are. But the concern with that many teams is the wear and tear of a tough schedule and the seeding. People are making light of the need to have the #1 seed because the Bills lost at home to Cinci.........but they didn't get a first round bye last year. That might have helped a lot for a tired, stressed team. Only having to win 2 games to reach the SB is better than the 3. If the Bills can't get the #1 seed the best case scenario from the Buffalo/Cinci/KC perspective, based on offseason outlook, would be the Jaguars getting the #1 seed. If you gotta' go there it's not a tough venue to play in and the weather is likely to be mild.

I suspect that the belief is that Kincaid will catch around 80% of the passes thrown to him and drop basically nothing.............because at worst, that's his rep. Lil' Dummy dropped a ghastly 9% of the passes thrown his way in addition to his general stupidity and lack of range/catch radius and accountability etc..

That would be an excellent outcome for Kincaid...........but that largely just replaces what Beasley was doing from the slot in 2021..........and it still leaves Davis as the second option. Which is not good unless he improves dramatically at catching both contested and uncontested passes. I'd say the over-under on Kincaid should be: 38 catches 420 yards 4 TD With rookies, how quickly they adapt to the league is always an unknown but the receivers don't tend to start producing until the second half of their rookie season. And I am always a bit more concerned with injuries to rookies..........learning to stay healthy in the pro's is a skill that has to be developed, IMO. Like I said with Gabe going into last year.........they need their second option to be an efficient receiver who can average 65-70 yards per game. They can do it a different way and have a bunch of guys putting up 500+ yard seasons or split the WR2 like with Sanders/Gabe in 2021(though that still wasn't ideal production). To expect to beat the teams with two WR1's at the top of their depth chart I think you at least want a defined, highly efficient, high producing #2 option.

Davis had "some drops"?? In other news Rodger Saffold "had *some* poor games". Davis lead NFL WR in drop % and was second in total drops by a WR. With 9 drops in only 93 targets......Gabe was basically outright DROPPING catchable balls on 1 of every 10 passes Allen threw to him. Overall........he was 186th out of 197 players in catch % at 51.6%........and everyone that was worse than him had a fraction of the targets he had. He was the worst high volume receiver in the entire NFL at coming down with passes.

I'll help you out on where @Nextmanup is coming from with his takes here........he is one of those people who is a fan of New England pro sports teams like Red Sox and Celtics despite claiming to be a Buffalo sports fan. New England sports teams are Buffalo's #1 geographic rival........Bruins, Celtics and Patriots because Buffalo plays or played them(or their owners traded franchises like Braves/Celtics). Red Sox because most WNY'ers are Yankees fans. But he feels that he can play both sides of that fence. He even had a detailed post here trying to shame Bills fans for having a negative opinion of his fellow New England sports fans. He has a problem with borders and fandom. If state borders matter.........it undermines his view of his own fandom.

I actually think the bar for an AFC contender is significantly higher this year. All 3 other teams in the AFC East are likely to be better.......the AFC Central personnel is improved across the board(though some may say Cinci is not).......the AFC West can't be any less competitive........and the Jaguars are in contender mode now with their elite young QB so the AFC South now actually has a legit chance to reach the SB for the first time in a long time. You aren't likely to have an AFCCG with some overmatched team versus the Chiefs like the 2019 or 2020 games. The playoffs are going to be a dog fight, IMO. Without that extra weapon or 2 that they've been lacking the Bills can play down to the level of some of the wannabe contenders like they did against the Dolphins in the playoffs last year...........or won't be able to match up with the Bengals/Chiefs.........so the Bills really need the additions to be A LOT better than what they had, IMO.