Thurman#1

There's a guy lives near my house looks mean as hell. Snot's always flying, drool's dripping. Turns out he's just a messy eater without great hygiene. Runs away when threatened by little girls. That stuff means nothing. It's kind of a nice add-on in that it can put a bit of a chill down your enemy's spine, but that's about it. From what I saw, Bishop looked like a good tackler who wasn't yet sure where he was supposed to be. Once he does, IMO he'll be fine.

The Colts game just before the Taron pick six game. Bills up by three and we get the ball back with 6 mins left in the game and the offense can't do much. The Colts get the ball back with 2:30 left and the defense strangled them slow, the drive ending at the Bills 47 as time ran out. In 2021 both units just dominated the Pats, but that certainly included the defense holding the Pats to three points till very late in the 3rd quarter. The 2022 Fins game where we won by three with the D stopping them on the last two drives. Our offense was great the first 33 minutes, but after that it was mostly up to the defense, and they came through. In the 2023 game against the Steelers, both sides of the ball looked terrific, defense just as much as the offense. In the Broncos game last year the D was every bit as good as the offense. The Baltimore game last year also. The pick and the three fumbles, two of them lost to the Bills, were huge in winning that game. The offense was also good, but not beyond the D. Outside of the Chiefs games, the D has mostly been a very good playoffs group. The Bengals game the whole team was running on emotional vapors. That certainly included the D, but it's not like the offense was good.

Mr. Rezhevski? It's been 17 weeks, sir. I know you're in there. Do I have to knock all day?

You might be right when you say, "I don't believe for one second that in stable organizations like the Baltimore Ravens that Eric Decosta has to sit down with Steve Bisciotti to for 17 hours, and watch every single snap from a QB prospect right before the drat in order to "get ownership behind" the GM and HC's pick for the QB position. " You might also be wrong. But you might be right. But nowhere did it say that the Bills did what you said they did either. It's you, not them, saying they "had to" sit Terry down for this. Nor did it say that the reason they did it was to get him behind their pick. That's simply your take. It could easily be that they wanted him to be behind their decision, whether or not he agreed, having seen that they spent a ton of time and thought on it. Wanting an owner to be behind your decision doesn't mean that you have to force the owner to have the same opinion. Could mean they just wanted him to see that they could defend their opinion. You're making your own happy assumptions here and treating them as fact. Also nowhere does it say that they had "to change Pegula's mind." Another belief by you with no particular evidence whatsoever. I don't know that you're wrong about any of this, but I don't see any evidence that you're right. So yeah, maybe the Ravens don't have to do that. But neither did the Bills. Did McBeane sit down with the owner and go through their decision-making process? Yeah. I'm betting the Ravens do that on their most important decisions as well.

This could really have some significance. Or not.

I like the Tasker and Chris Brown show when they have good guests, particularly Greg Cosell, weekly, "You know this, Steve," being his constant refrain, and a few other knowledgeable folks.

Nah, you're allowed to worry about it. Sensible people worry about everything on the team outside of QB1. It's the "the sky is falling" panic because we don't have a #1 that doesn't make sense. I'm not sure that 13 WRs implies an awareness of deficiency. But if it does, it's probably a deficiency at #4 and #5 and #6. Nobody thinks the last 6 or 7 of those WRs are going to become #1s.

May have been over-evaluated. May not. We just don't know yet. Overhyped? I don't see it. He really was terrific in college. Some guys start fast. Others don't. All of them are in different situations, and "situation" does not refer just to QB talent. It's way way more complicated than that. Aiyuk didn't do as well as Harrison his first year. Pretty good player, though. Yup. This.

Taron Johnson is elite, and terrific. So yes he has drafted an elite proven player besides Allen. Benford could indeed become elite soon. Same with Spencer Brown, really. And yeah, Benford is maybe arguable right now as well. With where they pick, that's a damn good record. Not the best in the league or anything, but damn good. If fans are losing patience, that's more on them.

A candidate? Without question. Certainly a reasonable possibility, if he doesn't start playing more like the old Daquan. But keeping him is also a very reasonable possibility.

I get that this is probably a joke about how people used to talk about how young he was, but at this point he's 27. Just sayin'.

I'd agree with all of that. Worth noting that Philly has had a few of those too. Jalen Raegor. Marcus Smith. Andre Dillard. Arcega-Whiteside. Sidney Jones.

That's nonsense. You're not 100% luck just because they didn't draft you in the first round. If it were luck, this would happen in a roughly even distribution between all teams. It doesn't. It was a damn good pick. Was some luck involved? Sure. Same with nearly every pick. But 100%? Um, no, not even close.

Um, no. First, Taron Johnson and Milano are All-Pros, that's fact. Josh Allen is also, not a first-teamer, but not because he isn't dominant or doesn't change games. Benford appears headed in that direction. Barkley was picked first overall and Jalen Carter 9th. How does that compare with Shakir, Cook and Oliver, you ask? Unfairly. Philly got them in trades, not drafts outside of Carter, and spent more resources on them. We have a ton of guys who are "A" types, including three All-Pros and two or three more guys who are in spitting distance. You don't have to be the best in the league at your position to make a difference. You just have to, well, to make a difference.

No, but he isn't a burner and that's what most people wanted. A closed mind is a terrible thing to try to change.

So, a different receiver, who is a different type of receiver, runs different routes, is used differently and was healthy last year, performed well? Well, you've certainly made a point there. But not one that has much of anything to do with Kincaid. I like Hollins. Was disappointed to hear they hadn't re-signed him. You too? Is that your point?

First, catch rate is NOT a receiver stat. It is a stat that takes a ton of different things into account, QB, weather, defense, on and on and on. Receiver too, don't get me wrong, but a whole ton of other things as well. I mean, if the QB misses him by 30 yards, it's still an attempt and an incompletion, in other words, it causes the numbers to slip. If the pass is perfect but the DT knocks it up in the air and intercepts it ... still an attempt, still an incompletion, still lowers the numbers for that receiver. Second, he apparently had several injuries, not just the one. So that could help explain why it wasn't only after Week 10 that he was underwhelming. Third, as pointed out above, he had one of the lowest catchable target rates in football, 36th. If your catchable target rate was 36th and your catch rate was 31st, you're actually over-performing.

I don't think we need an elite pass rusher. Just a very good one. Von wasn't an elite guy anymore when we got him. But IMO if he'd stayed healthy we'd have a Lombardi or two right now. What elite pass rushers have the other teams being compared here drafted? Chris Jones came on a trade. All depends on your definition of elite, but generally elite pass rushers go in the top ten, and many years the highest part of it. Some elite guys do go later, no question. But there just aren't many elite pass rushers, period. Much less elite pass rushers drafted later.

This!!!

Never. I respect you, Richard, but it doesn't sound like my cup of lemon ginger kombucha.

6.5 yards of YAC per reception just last year? He absolutely has produced YAC on short passes. No, he's no James Cook in pure speed or avoiding tackles, but yes, even injured he ran up YAC. 23 1st downs last year? 29 the year before that? He's run up a bunch of them. I think it's fair to say he hasn't put fear in defenses. Will he in the future? Hard to know. Maybe. Maybe not. "... shown nothing so far that we couldn't get out of a typical Day 2 - 3 pick"? Um, I'd have to totally disagree with that. 10th in the league in receiving yards? As a rookie? That's nothing you get out of a typical Day 2-3 pick, it simply isn't. "Show me that many of his passes were uncatchable," you ask. Fair enough. There's no official stat like this, but I did find someone charting it. https://www.playerprofiler.com/nfl/dalton-kincaid/ They say that in 2024 his catchable target rate -- just what it sounds like -- was 65.3%, only 36th best in the league. You asked, I provided. Is this set in stone as an exact stat direct from God? No, but again, you asked. He took a major step back last year, and it does appear that the injury was responsible for an awful lot of that. But he still has a lot to prove, no question.

Can't speak for him, but no, not I really don't think it's particularly warranted. He had an excellent rookie year. He got injured and had a much less good second season. He was a very consistent weapon that first year, so we know he can do it. There should be angst for nearly anyone, to some degree. Kincaid hasn't proven himself yet, so he certainly deserves a certain amount of it. Again, most of the team also. We know he can do it. But we don't know he will do it. Seems pretty likely but yeah, some worry. But worry this early in the off-season that he hasn't put on noticeable amounts of weight so quickly? When recovering from injuries? No, that doesn't seem worth any concern to me. If he still looks slender as camp approaches ... that would be worth some worry, I think. At that point he'll have had about eight months to get the weight on. That's enough time. Three months, without drugs, not so much Can't say I've noticed Kelce's body composition lately. He's simply a guy who performs well, damn it. What he looks like has never much attracted my interest.

Strength of schedule matters big time, but strength of last year's schedule is far less indicative of actual strength of schedule than what we'll know about how hard the schedules were by the time we reach the end of next year's slate.

I absolutely do believe it matters. But it's not something that can ruin a season or anything. It's just an advantage or disadvantage. IMO nearer the end of the season is generally better, allowing a rest nearer the playoffs.

He worked his ass of and was a good player for us. Best of luck to him.