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Everything posted by GaryPinC
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I agree with you about masks, but let's not forget Sweden (though they have not proven anything to me yet) and let's not forget that China, Japan, South Korea have mandatory BCG vaccines at birth though China's is a little sketchy before 1976. Just so much unknown right now, precaution is best. May and June are probably going to be messy here, let's hope we don't regress and overwhelm our health systems.
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Convince me that the 2020 Pats are good...
GaryPinC replied to Kirby Jackson's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Why they could be a good team: defense will keep them in games, can the offense do enough? After looking at a variety of Stidham's preseason games and some of his college film I see why New England got him. Very similar to Brady in making quick decisions and getting the ball out on an Auburn offense that shares a lot of similarities to the Patriots. Stidham's smart, but I'm not impressed by his arm though it may be adequate. Patriots might get over .500 with a solid running game and enough YAC and production from their receivers. They probably need to pull out a lucky win in the first 4 also. Seriously doubt they'll be better than the Bills. So, I do believe Stidham will get his chance to be the man this year. They'll let him learn by doing and hope to coach him up enough to be relevant late in the season. Realistically, I think they'll be just under .500. Stidham's physical talent is more limited than Brady (in his prime) and I think the speed of the NFL will be a problem for him. His velocity really falls off under pressure and after 15 yards. He's going to live for the short passes and NFL defenses are going to figure that out. Definitely a chance the wheels fall off for him but I'm not going to short change Belichick's coaching ability, so I think a mediocre season for the Pats as they prepare for the future. I figure they evaluate Stidham this year, prioritize the need to draft a replacement, and see how things play out next year. -
You can question whoever the hell you want, I don't care about that. Everyone has bias, especially you. I take exception to the fact you think scientists lack integrity. That is very different from bias. Science and research are far more than global warming, but you got it all figured out and blanket-generalized, regardless. Congratulations!
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Your point was about bias by denigrating the integrity of scientists? News flash, those are two separate things.
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I didn't just study science, I am a scientist. I have worked for small biotechs and am currently in academia at age 50. My past companies employed a range of business people. I would trust the integrity of a scientist well before I would trust the integrity of many lawyers and your average businessperson. Any scientist that wants to get rich gets out of basic science. We care about trying to better humankind in our own way. But we are also fallible humans, so skepticism is healthy and most good scientists are good skeptics also. Advocating scientists are not good scientists. Our best advocacy is published results.
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Looking at his preseason tape, his sideline pass is only slightly faster than Peterman's. The guy is a slow scrambler and really didn't display anything other than backup skills (at best). I really couldn't see anything to make me think Stidham is starter material. Should be fun come the fall.
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The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
GaryPinC replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
With the restrictions imposed in most areas it should reduce influenza infections and deaths also. Isolating people limits exposure to more than just Covid 19. Also, we have solid diagnostic tests for influenza so we can at least reliably determine if that was the cause of an illness/death. -
2021 NFL Draft Official Dates Announced
GaryPinC replied to Mark Vader's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
So happy to hear your opinion of my fair city, and please never come here as uber-pricks like you shouldn't poison our happiness. -
Thanks for posting this, OP. The thing I hadn't noticed before but stood out to me is his footwork. They scratched the surface of it with his "karaoke rush", AJ really excels with his multidirectional movement and generating power while doing it. Where someone like Bruce would have a lot of bend but keep his feet pointed and moving upfield, AJ is completely comfortable turning his feet into the Olineman, moving laterally while shedding the OL and quickly exploding forward to the QB. It's part of what allows him to quickly knife to the QB. I agree with others in that he's still a bit raw, but he will be fun to watch grow this season. Probably a situational pass rusher only for a while.
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Epenesa was noticeably dominant starting for the Hawkeye defense last year, both on running and passing plays. He's not flashy and knifes to the ball with a couple of excellent hand moves. He also is hyper-aware of where the ball is and makes good use of his length, especially in finishing. I'm a Penn State fan and he was dominating, but also watched him do it in other games. I think he fell because of the combine and also because he played at Iowa. They don't get on the national radar a lot, especially not playing the Buckeyes the last 2 years. Looking forward to him working with Hughes on moves and if Bruce visits hopefully shares some tips. I don't think AJ will be elite but should be better than Shaq. I expect him to struggle a bit to NFL adjust.
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This is the most critical thing that comes out of this. Global cooperation and at home a US plan with structure, SOPs, adequate supplies, and logistics to monitor. Maybe it takes 100 years for a similar pandemic but with our global population I seriously doubt that. Working at home kind of sucks if the kids are home from school. Companies won't want to spend the extra $ in separating people, PPE, etc so I think it all goes away once Covid blows over. More people will shy away from shaking hands but I seriously doubt social contact goes away. Personally, I will be glad to get back to shaking people's hand as symbolic of the end of this.
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Cripes, you're pathetic. In a receiver-rich draft, in a pre-draft interview Beane explained he hates giving up first round picks and he justified the Diggs trade by considering him our first round draft pick in 2020. That's why some of us choose to mirror Beane's thinking in this instance.
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RD 2, Pick 54: DE AJ Epenesa, University of Iowa
GaryPinC replied to SDS's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Really wanted Dobbins at this pick but Epenesa is a great pick also. He was a standout on that Iowa defense. Deceptively quick, violent with a true nose for the football run or pass. Relentless. He just doesn't have that elite speed. He's definitely NOT Kelsay or Hansen 2.0. He's much more driven, uses his length and has far more range. I'd say 65% Schoebel, 35% Bruce Smith He's got some moves. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
GaryPinC replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I thank God someone like you is not making the call on this also. From the beginnings in China that the hospitals were already overwhelmed and health care workers dying, it was apparent to anyone who took an impartial look at the signs that this virus is super infectious and trouble. It's about saving lives, as in limiting the dead by keeping our healthcare systems from being overwhelmed. This is not your typical recession, I don't expect the suicide, etc. numbers to be typical either. Let us hope and pray. Does your attitude make you a bad person? Certainly not. But what does it make you and the others who see it the same? Most appropriate comparison: Covid-19 is Trump and the underlying reasons that got him elected and supported. You are the far left/deep stater who has no idea the depth and reasons why Trump is here while clinging to the familiar in echo chambers and emotionally clinging to numbers that ignore the reality of the current unique and unfolding situation. What does that make you? -
It seems to me very important the fact that the flu statistics are taken from a full year's worth of stats of an endemic virus compared to a novel one which is only now spreading across the world and has not completely peaked. It's why the comparisons make me bristle. Let alone the extreme measures being taken to control covid-19 compared to the flu. Hapless, thanks for doing all this and you are doing a yeoman's job at it. Great info and discussion. ? ?
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Bills trade for Diggs - jw no discussions on a restructure
GaryPinC replied to Reed83HOF's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Looking at the way Diggs goes about his work, I think the guy is Uber-competitive and wants to win. I think he shares that with Allen and thus they should get along great, especially with McDermott's culture and that should take care of the negatives with Diggs. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
GaryPinC replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
It's not odd to me at all. It's precisely why DeWine was proactive and closed down public gatherings. It's early enough with few enough people infected. I don't know where the 100k number comes from, and it's an estimate, it doesn't sound right to me but there's all kinds of info and misinfo out there. Dear God, do you pull your head out of your rectum ever? -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
GaryPinC replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
No, everything won't work out. It's about getting the virus to extinguish from the population as quickly as possible and that doesn't happen if all the younger people take no precautions and continue to pass the virus between them. This virus is still very much emergent. The steps that have been taken are in hopes of avoiding a total shut down of the country where everyone is stuck at home 30-40 days. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
GaryPinC replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
To the shortsighted. Those who try and compare it to the flu and ignore how quickly it can overwhelm health systems in other countries and the only effective way to stop it has been total lockdown. Here, the smart states like my Ohio will try partial lockdown in hopes of avoiding a full lockdown to flatten the infection curve. Proud of DeWine for leading the way on this. Not sure it's enough but it's early in the infection curve, so it will hopefully work. My ER docs haven't seen an influx of Covid patients, so that's really good considering most times (H1N1, etc) they're treating for a couple weeks before it makes the papers. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
GaryPinC replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
To be clear, I am not a physician and do not work in the ER. I do cardiovascular research, 2 of the investigators in our group are ER docs. No, I do not curtail my parents activities due to the flu, but I am now as this is different. This is not the flu virus where worst case you're looking at an extreme immune reaction with pneumonia and sepsis. Covid-19 in the lungs will directly attack and possibly permanently damage your lung tissue. If you survive, it will be a most painful experience. I think a very important thing to mention is while you quote similarities to flu statistics, Covid-19 is just ramping up and is most likely more infectious than the flu. So statistical comparisons at this point are truly not valid. Covid-19 will undoubtedly be more infectious than the flu and probably more lethal also. But we won't know until it's all said and done. I understand where you're coming from with all the previous viruses, and they have helped prepare us for this one. Isolation and quarantine was what stamped out all those others, especially SARS. The most important problem here is that infected people can be asymptomatic and still spread it. That is a big problem and why for the first time large events are being cancelled and people like Nunes are self-quarantining. We have a novel virus with currently little way of fighting those with severe infections. It's not about an apocalypse it's about limiting or slowing its spread to keep deaths to a minimum while medical science addresses the problem. Hiding? I'll be steelhead fishing, hiking, running, working, doing as much as I can while limiting exposure to others. But if I need to "hide" for two to three weeks to squash the spread of this virus? Damn right I will and I pray you see the sense in that also. It's the intelligent way to be in this case. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
GaryPinC replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
And what would that be? We have a new virus. It spreads quite readily from someone who is mildly or asymptomatic. That's going to be impossible to stop. Only in the last week or so has some hard info become available about it's etiology. Until South Korea it was hard to say if the 3-4% lethality rate was real. It may still be and the Korea data an outlier, predicated on the less lethal form of the virus or a uniqueness in the Korean population. Now we know it tends to target the older population, especially immuno-compromised, hypertension, cardiac disease, diabetes. Got a colleague in her 20's with celiac disease. What's it mean for her? Should be ok, but she is immuno-compromised. I work in MetroHealth hospitals, Cleveland. Primary level-1 trauma ER in the city. They get the worst of the worst and will be slammed now that a few people have tested positive in Cleveland. 2 of my bosses are ER docs and working, just discussed with one of them this morning maybe staying away from research and managing from a distance in case they get infected and I get quarantined at home, stopping our research. I'm a very rational person, but if my parents are infected I may lose them with their health issues. I doubt I'm alone. And I'm going to have to keep on top of them to curtail their social habits as they go out a lot. It's a virus, given the spread in the middle east, I doubt the weather's going to help stop the spread of it. Viruses also can mutate easily, they're funny that way. I am not panicked but I understand there are and will continue to be many people panicked about this virus. I don't blame them, we still don't know that much about it. The panic, and stoking of it, is due to fear of the continuing unknown about the virus. At least among everyone I know and come into contact with. Exactly what alternative reason for the panic do you feel there is? -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
GaryPinC replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Sure. The SARS/AIDs hybrid statement was declared after examining one deceased 85 year old patient. Regarding "permanent" lung fibrosis, I have seen pigs reabsorb a tremendous amount of fibrosis around their heart and pacemakers I've implanted. "Permanent" may mean 1-2 months. This virus is unique in that it's infectious before the host shows significant symptoms. That's virtually impossible to stop IMO. Our isolation bought us some time, but be prepared. On the good side S. Korea has an excellent health system and large scale rigorous testing indicates a fatality rate of 0.6% which is a good bit better than the 3% estimates. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
GaryPinC replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
One 85 year old patient, other mention of apparent fibrosis in some other patients, unsure if permanent fibrosis or not. In my cardiac research I've seen some nasty fibrosis in pigs due to pericarditis resolve itself almost completely in about 2 months. We're talking disgusting thick, white, huge fibers adhering between the epicardial surface and pericardial membrane. -
It just depends on what the customer values. You do your thing and someone else feels more comfortable paying the extra $. The airlines just have to understand they have a complex customer base and how to exploit it for some extra profit. But I doubt they'll hit a cash cow on any of it, they just have to be content to play small ball.