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Polls Are Basically Useless


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Just now, Doc said:

 

That's some incredible analysis right there...

Do you think polls are still accurate? Since cell phones, they are basically useless. Remember the poll of Trump losing Wisconsin by 17 points? 

 

They are obsolete 

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8 minutes ago, Tiberius said:

Do you think polls are still accurate? Since cell phones, they are basically useless. Remember the poll of Trump losing Wisconsin by 17 points? 

 

They are obsolete 

I'm a fan when they show info I like.

 

😀

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How about an aggregate of many polls that show 🇺🇸🇺🇸President Brandon, a good American president 🇺🇸🇺🇸, underwater on job approval by -16. Is that basically useless too? If not, why do you think so many disapprove of his job performance?

 

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/joe-biden/approval-rating

Edited by JDHillFan
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4 minutes ago, JDHillFan said:

How about an aggregate of many polls that show 🇺🇸🇺🇸President Brandon, a good American president 🇺🇸🇺🇸, underwater on job approval by -16. Is that basically useless too? If not, why do you think so many disapprove of his job performance?

 

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/joe-biden/approval-rating

Believe them if you want. Maybe its true, maybe wishful thinking. 

 

You MAGA people always discounted polls that showed Trump unpopular. But this is ok? 

 

Polls are obsolete, IMO 

 

Land lines to cell phones made them useless 

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7 minutes ago, Tiberius said:

Believe them if you want. Maybe its true, maybe wishful thinking. 

 

You MAGA people always discounted polls that showed Trump unpopular. But this is ok? 

 

Polls are obsolete, IMO 

 

Land lines to cell phones made them useless 

Any thoughts on why The Big Guy has such wretched approval numbers?

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56 minutes ago, B-Man said:

 

 

No they're not.

 

dis4230-georgia-tent-awning-co-gp-medium

 

 

 

 

 

* I am having a difficult time believing that Tibs would start this thread if Biden was ahead

I’ve been saying this for years. Did Trump lose Wisconsin by 17 points? 

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That was easy.

During the previous campaign

 

 

On 1/21/2019 at 2:53 PM, Tiberius said:

Good to see that in poll after poll Trump is losing support as this shut down drags on and on. 

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/17/trump-loses-support-among-core-voters-as-the-shutdown-drags-on-polls.html

Trump loses support among his core voting groups as the shutdown drags on, polls say

  • President Trump is hemorrhaging support amid a political standoff over his proposed border wall that has resulted in the longest government shutdown on record, recent polls show.
  • The president even appears to be losing favor with his core constituents.

 

On 1/21/2019 at 3:00 PM, Tiberius said:

Even Rasmussen Reports' measure of Trump's overall approval, a number that has generally skewed more favorably toward the president, has slid 7 percentage points to 43 percent from a Dec. 5 high. 

 

 

 

 

.

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National polls are as helpful as breasts on a bull because we don't have a popular vote.

 

You have to watch the polls in each swing state to have any predictive value. How are the voters in PA, MI, AZ, GA, NV, NC, and WI. Those states are where 2020 played out, and 2024 will play out.

 

Too bad state level poll data isn't published. It's held internally by the campaigns.

 

While we're talking, here is the latest national poll data that you can take with a grain of salt: CNN Poll: Trump maintains lead over Biden in 2024 matchup as views on their presidencies diverge

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Polls are insightful in the sense that they give you an idea of the mood of the country and/or individual states - but they don’t mean anything.

 

Republicans are still running 1990’s campaigns and until that changes to match the legal ballot harvesting efforts of Democrats, they’ll stay at a disadvantage.  …..and polls dont account for that. 
 

That being said.. Democrats should worry that Trump seems to be getting more support as time goes on.  The trials aren’t damaging him, yet.   We’ll see if they do.   
 

Edited by SCBills
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1 hour ago, B-Man said:

 

 

That was easy.

During the previous campaign

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

.

Five years ago? lol, ok

 

BTW, you are defending the main stream media. You are! 

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Posted (edited)

Who can forget Hillary being the presumptive favorite the day before the election 2016?  Or Steve Kornacki standing in front of his board a week before the election saying Trump has no path to victory.  And the 2022 mid terms. All based on polling.  

 

I think in the current political world some people don't like to tell pollsters they are voting for Trump.  

 

The election is 6 months away.  Lot of crazy stuff gonna happen before then.  I'm with @Tiberiuson this one Looking at polls now is useless. But what are polling companies gonna do? Poll.

Edited by reddogblitz
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On 4/28/2024 at 1:31 PM, Tiberius said:

 

Another lie.  Trump is gonna kick Demented Biden/Third Term Obammy's ass.  Time to end this f*cking joke of a presidency.  What a mess.

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Generally agree with the premise of the thread but let’s see what kind of bounce, or drop, comes after Brandon dropped a load in his pants this weekend. 

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