Jump to content

The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19


Hedge

Recommended Posts

1 hour ago, spartacus said:

More fun with testing

 

The Coronabros will swear up and down that the PCR test is highly sensitive and accurate.

The process may be foolproof- but GIGO still applies "garbage in garbage out"

 

https://vaccineimpact.com/2020/censored-covid19-pcr-tests-are-scientifically-meaningless-everything-weve-been-told-about-covid-is-a-hoax/


summary from the article

 

 

I'm usually not one to crap on the source but c'mon dude. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, OldTimeAFLGuy said:

....LMAO...how shocking....as soon as GOP Gov Kristi gave the green light, I NEVER anticipated such researchers' (COUGH) objective findings......now if it was renamed the "Sturgis BLM Peace Rally", over/under on cases is six..............

 

Sturgis Motorcycle Rally linked to 20% of US coronavirus cases in August: researchers

More than 460,000 people attended the 10-day rally

By Evie Fordham | Fox News

 

Nineteen percent of the 1.4 million new coronavirus cases in the U.S. between Aug. 2 and Sept. 2 can be traced back to the Sturgis Motorcycle Rally held in South Dakota, according to researchers from San Diego State University's Center for Health Economics & Policy Studies.

 

That's more than 266,000 coronavirus cases attributed to the 10-day event, which more than 460,000 people attended despite fears it could become a so-called super-spreader event.

"We conclude that the Sturgis Motorcycle Rally generated public health costs of approximately $12.2 billion," the researchers wrote in a paper. "This is enough to have paid each of the estimated 462,182 rally attendees $26,553.64 not to attend."

 

The event took place from Aug. 7 to Aug. 16 in the town of Sturgis, which has a population of roughly 7,000 people.

 

The researchers said the rally increased coronavirus cases by approximately six to seven per 1,000 population in Meade County, home to Sturgis.

 

"These results suggest that in contrast to prior large gatherings that have been studied (i.e., Tulsa and BLM protests), in the case of Sturgis, the local resident population appeared to participate in the events," the researchers wrote. "This raises the possibility that the local population may be at risk for COVID-19 spread, especially if mitigating strategies (i.e., mask-wearing, interacting closely with only household members, avoiding crowds) were not undertaken."

 

 

https://www.foxnews.com/health/sturgis-motorcycle-rally-coronavirus-cases-south-dakota

 

 

 

Nice work, Trumpers.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 hours ago, Deranged Rhino said:

 

 

His latest executive order is pretty funny.

 

Quote

WHEREAS, the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) arrived in New York predominantly from Europe, with over 2.2 million travelers coming in between the end of January and March 16, 2020, when the federal government finally implemented a full European travel ban;

https://www.governor.ny.gov/news/no-20260-continuing-temporary-suspension-and-modification-laws-relating-disaster-emergency

  • Thank you (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, Big Blitz said:

I know I know Fake Covid "tracking project."  The New York Virus takes off on Holidays.  Wait till Thursday!

 

Fyi we're approaching the supposed national I'm sure the goal post moved on that one to % positive number where we should be full open.  

 

 


Why “fake”? They do great aggregation work. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, OldTimeAFLGuy said:

....LMAO...how shocking....as soon as GOP Gov Kristi gave the green light, I NEVER anticipated such researchers' (COUGH) objective findings......now if it was renamed the "Sturgis BLM Peace Rally", over/under on cases is six..............

 

Sturgis Motorcycle Rally linked to 20% of US coronavirus cases in August: researchers

More than 460,000 people attended the 10-day rally

By Evie Fordham | Fox News

 

Nineteen percent of the 1.4 million new coronavirus cases in the U.S. between Aug. 2 and Sept. 2 can be traced back to the Sturgis Motorcycle Rally held in South Dakota, according to researchers from San Diego State University's Center for Health Economics & Policy Studies.

 

That's more than 266,000 coronavirus cases attributed to the 10-day event, which more than 460,000 people attended despite fears it could become a so-called super-spreader event.

"We conclude that the Sturgis Motorcycle Rally generated public health costs of approximately $12.2 billion," the researchers wrote in a paper. "This is enough to have paid each of the estimated 462,182 rally attendees $26,553.64 not to attend."

 

The event took place from Aug. 7 to Aug. 16 in the town of Sturgis, which has a population of roughly 7,000 people.

 

The researchers said the rally increased coronavirus cases by approximately six to seven per 1,000 population in Meade County, home to Sturgis.

 

"These results suggest that in contrast to prior large gatherings that have been studied (i.e., Tulsa and BLM protests), in the case of Sturgis, the local resident population appeared to participate in the events," the researchers wrote. "This raises the possibility that the local population may be at risk for COVID-19 spread, especially if mitigating strategies (i.e., mask-wearing, interacting closely with only household members, avoiding crowds) were not undertaken."

 

 

https://www.foxnews.com/health/sturgis-motorcycle-rally-coronavirus-cases-south-dakota

 

 

 

So now the Rona is retroactive and has no incubation period.... Carry on..... 

  • Like (+1) 1
  • Haha (+1) 2
  • Thank you (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, BeerLeagueHockey said:

 

I heard Cuomo is also considering a ban on boats and motorcycles. Can never be too safe when it comes to covaids.

 

And i'm sure it's all Trump's fault because he called it the China Kung Flu virus.... 

  • Like (+1) 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, shoshin said:


Why “fake”? They do great aggregation work. 

 

 

The editorializing when it fits the Atlantic's narrative.  The use of "new record!" at times as if this thing has been around as long as Major League Baseball.  

 

 

Yes, they do a good job updating the numbers (although that guy that provides 7 day rolling averages updates and by region and he's now doing hospitalizations is better).  And while I obviously follow them like everyone else, I also think the daily counting the 24/7 death reports has been one of the most detrimental endeavors of all time.  Especially since the numbers are useless when goal posts keep moving and they've essentially told us there is no going back to normal and we need to live in harmony with nature.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 hours ago, Chef Jim said:


Most everything his posts is met by crickets.  Gee...I wonder why?  

 

Yup, cause if anyone thinks that Pelosi is going to allow a vote on anything that might make Trump look good is doing some really good hallucinogenic, illegal drugs.

  • Like (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

17 hours ago, Taro T said:

 

Calling BS on this one.  3 months of protests cause ZERO spread of the virus per our political class and these researchers (per the article) but the Sturgis Rally infected ~1/4 of a million people?

 

All because ~150 people from near Sturgis tested positive for it?  

 

Something doesn't add up.

 

Usually things that ignore math do not add up.

 

There are serious gaps in logic and statistics to arrive at their conclusion.   If Sturgis was a super spreader event, the numbers would be clearly evident in the daily case numbers.   Let's ignore the fundamental error of the dates used in the sample, which pick up higher daily Wuhan counts in the first week of August, before anyone associated with Sturgis got infected, but more importantly started the super spread.

 

No, no, the main problem is extrapolating 266k cases nationwide from the event, which defies basic trend analysis.   At the start of the rally, US was reporting about 63k 7-day moving average, which was about a week past the national peak of 68k.   You can make an argument that Sturgis lead to the slowdown of the accelerated decline that was evident in early August, as in the 2nd week of August 7-day avg case counts plateaued at about 55k, when they were dropping by about 1.5k per day in the first week of August.  But, in the following week, the cases resumed their previous downward trajectory.    If Sturgis was truly responsible for 266k additional deaths, the trendline would have looked completely different, and you would have seen an increase in the 7-day moving average.  Instead, the cases continued to drop at the previous pace from mid-august to the end and then plateaued (but was still on a downward trend).

 

Sturgis can be the cause of SOME increased cases, but that number is nowhere near 266k, and more importantly, there wasn't a commensurate increase in hospitalizations and deaths.

 

But great headline, though.

  • Awesome! (+1) 1
  • Thank you (+1) 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 9/8/2020 at 8:12 AM, shoshin said:


So wait, a candidate admits he was wrong about some dumb “mandate,” and he’s not given credit for showing an ability to listen and change course? The horror of trying to set good examples. 

 

You have a knack of completely missing the main point.  The illegal part wasn't a specific dumb mandate, but any mandate from the federal government absent some kind of an emergency powers provision.

 

You can make an argument that trump & admin didn't set up better procedures for the states to acquire the needed equipment early on, but his quip to the states that "you are on your own" was following US laws.  It surely sounds cold-hearted  and insensitive, but that's how the US laws are set up.

  • Like (+1) 4
  • Thank you (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

×
×
  • Create New...