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Molly Ivans Would Be Smiling About A Democratic Texas


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28 minutes ago, Just Joshin' said:

How to win Texas is not to take your guns, eliminate oil and get rid of cattle.  While the cities are blue the rest of Texas is deep red.

Numbers. The cities have the numbers, just getting everyone to vote is the thing. Trump has helped a lot on that score! 

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54 minutes ago, Just Joshin' said:

How to win Texas is not to take your guns, eliminate oil and get rid of cattle.  While the cities are blue the rest of Texas is deep red.

 

The only way Democrats can win Texas is by cheating, and they are certainly trying... 

 

https://www.katychristianmagazine.com/2020/10/01/alleged-voter-ballot-harvesting-goes-all-the-way-to-the-top-in-harris-county/

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On 10/23/2020 at 1:25 PM, Tiberius said:

Numbers. The cities have the numbers, just getting everyone to vote is the thing. Trump has helped a lot on that score! 

 

 About 80% of Americans now live in areas classified as "urban", which is, IIRC, means a municipal area of 50K residents or more.   Numerous states have traditionally been dominated by 1 or 2 big metros starting in the 1960s when the SCOTUS required apportionment of all local and state representatives be based on one person, one vote.   These include California, Illinois, Minnesota, New York, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Washington.  As population has shifted to the South and the West, these states have also become dominated by their big metros, primarily because that's where the migrants have settled but also because the rural areas everywhere in the country are emptying out.   Now states like Arizona, Colorado, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Texas and Virginia have also come to be dominated by their large urban metros.     

 

This maps shows pretty well where Americans currently live: US Population Density Map

 

 

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8 minutes ago, SoTier said:

 

 About 80% of Americans now live in areas classified as "urban", which is, IIRC, means a municipal area of 50K residents or more.   Numerous states have traditionally been dominated by 1 or 2 big metros starting in the 1960s when the SCOTUS required apportionment of all local and state representatives be based on one person, one vote.   These include California, Illinois, Minnesota, New York, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Washington.  As population has shifted to the South and the West, these states have also become dominated by their big metros, primarily because that's where the migrants have settled but also because the rural areas everywhere in the country are emptying out.   Now states like Arizona, Colorado, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Texas and Virginia have also come to be dominated by their large urban metros.     

 

This maps shows pretty well where Americans currently live: US Population Density Map

 

 

South Carolina too! 
 

Imagine if the court in the 60’s allowed the rural areas all that power? God help us! We the people, not we the cow pastureland 

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1 minute ago, Backintheday544 said:

 

The early vote turnout has me hopeful Texas finally turns blue. We typically know early voting highly favors Dems. Texas already hit 80 percent of the total voting in 2016! Those are insane numbers.

Insane! 

 

When that nut went through a Texas Walmart murdering Mexicans I'm sure he got the message through to Latinos that Trump's message was resonating with the nativists, and has energized their communities to vote. I mean, how couldn't it? 

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Democrats Hope 2020 Is the Year They Flip the Texas House

Republicans have controlled the state government since 2003. An anti-Trump surge could give Democrats a crucial boost.

 
 
 

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BEDFORD, Texas — Deep in the suburbs northeast of Fort Worth, Democrats trying to win the Texas House for the first time in years have been getting help from a surprising source.

Republicans.

For 16 years, until he left office in 2013, Todd A. Smith was a Republican representing these suburbs in the Texas House of Representatives. His district covered a fast-growing hub of middle-class and affluent communities next door to Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport.

When it came time to decide whom he would support for his old seat, Mr. Smith said he had no hesitation — he threw his endorsement to the Democrat in the race, Jeff Whitfield.

“This is no longer my Republican Party,” Mr. Smith said last week while sitting outside his house, which has a “Republicans For Biden 2020” sign on the front lawn.

 

“This is the Trump party,” he said. “If you give me a reasonable Republican and a crazy Democrat, then I will still vote for the Republican. But if you give me a lunatic Republican and a reasonable Democrat, then I’m going to vote for the Democrat, and that applies in the presidential race, and it applies in the Whitfield race.”

After a generation under unified Republican control, Texas is a battleground at every level of government this year. President Trump and Senator John Cornyn are fighting for their political lives, and five Republican-held congressional seats are in danger of flipping.

 

But some of the most consequential political battles in Texas are taking place across two dozen contested races for the Texas State House, which Republicans have controlled since 2003. To win a majority, Democrats must flip nine of the chamber’s 150 seats — the same number of Republican-held districts Beto O’Rourke carried during his 2018 Senate race, when he was the first Texas Democrat to make a competitive run for Senate or governor in a generation.

Mr. O’Rourke has organized nightly online phone banks that are making about three million phone calls a week to voters during the campaign’s final stretch. His organization helped register about 200,000 Texas Democratic voters in an attempt to finish a political transformation of Texas that began with his Senate race.

“I actually won more state House districts than Ted Cruz,” Mr. O’Rourke said in an interview last week. “It’s just that the candidates in nine of those, the Democratic candidates, didn’t end up winning.” Control of the Texas House comes with huge implications beyond the state’s borders. A Democratic state House majority in Texas would give the party one lever of power in the 2021 redistricting process, when the state is expected to receive as many as three new seats in Congress. It would also give them a voice in drawing Texas state legislative lines for the next decade.

Officials from both parties said the difference between the current unified Republican control of the Texas state government and Democrats controlling the state House could be as many as five congressional seats when new maps are drawn.

“Flipping the Texas House this year can be the key that unlocks a Democratic future in Texas,” said John Bisognano, the executive director of the National Democratic Redistricting Committee. “With fair maps, Democrats will be able to compete all over the state and build a deep bench of candidates who can run and win statewide.”

Nowhere in the country has there been a surge of voting to match the one in Texas. Through two weeks of in-person early voting, more than 6.9 million Texans have voted — a figure that accounts for more than three-quarters of the entire 2016 turnout.

The turnout is highest in the state’s biggest metropolitan areas, which are the core state House battlegrounds — and are six of the 10 fastest-growing counties in the country. There are five competitive state House seats in Tarrant County, which includes Fort Worth, five more in other Dallas suburbs, and eight in greater Houston.

“I’ve always been political my whole life,” said Gina Hinojosa, a state representative from Austin whose father is the chairman of the Texas Democratic Party. “Now, suddenly, everybody is so political. The last election has had the result of engaging everyday people in our political process.”

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Officials from both parties said the difference between the current unified Republican control of the Texas state government and Democrats controlling the state House could be as many as five congressional seats when new maps are drawn.

“Flipping the Texas House this year can be the key that unlocks a Democratic future in Texas,” said John Bisognano, the executive director of the National Democratic Redistricting Committee. “With fair maps, Democrats will be able to compete all over the state and build a deep bench of candidates who can run and win statewide.”

Nowhere in the country has there been a surge of voting to match the one in Texas. Through two weeks of in-person early voting, more than 6.9 million Texans have voted — a figure that accounts for more than three-quarters of the entire 2016 turnout.

The turnout is highest in the state’s biggest metropolitan areas, which are the core state House battlegrounds — and are six of the 10 fastest-growing counties in the country. There are five competitive state House seats in Tarrant County, which includes Fort Worth, five more in other Dallas suburbs, and eight in greater Houston.

“I’ve always been political my whole life,” said Gina Hinojosa, a state representative from Austin whose father is the chairman of the Texas Democratic Party. “Now, suddenly, everybody is so political. The last election has had the result of engaging everyday people in our political process.”

 

Suburban voters do not appear to be buying Republican arguments during the Trump era that Democrats will turn their communities socialist. Polling in 10 targeted Texas state House districts shows Mr. Biden gaining an average of 8.6 percentage points, while Democratic state House candidates have gained 6.5 points since March in surveys conducted by the National Democratic Redistricting Committee, which has invested more than $1 million in Texas over the last two years.

The suburban voters of 2020, said Steve Munisteri, a former Republican Party of Texas chairman who worked in Mr. Trump’s White House, have far more in common with urbanites than they do with the more conservative voters who used to populate the outer edges of Texas metropolitan areas.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/25/us/politics/texas-house-democrats-republicans.html

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Texas is changing.  I remember going to the playoff game in Houston.  I was amazed at all the tent cities beneath the overpasses.  The irony is all of the Californians that fled from their high taxes, filthy streets, sanctuary cities and unsustainable programs, are bringing with them the exact same politics that caused them to leave in the first place.  It truly seems to be a learning disorder.  

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