Jump to content

It Sickens Me To Have To Do This...


Recommended Posts

I have a fantasy football draft on Sunday and have a dilema. I have the first pick after the keepers are chosen. Based on the keepers that the other teams have chosen, the only real choices for my #1 pick are Chris Johnson and Tom Brady*. I can't ever root for Brady*, but he is clearly the best pick available. Do I sacrifice my dignity and morals and pick the antichrist?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I have a fantasy football draft on Sunday and have a dilema. I have the first pick after the keepers are chosen. Based on the keepers that the other teams have chosen, the only real choices for my #1 pick are Chris Johnson and Tom Brady*. I can't ever root for Brady*, but he is clearly the best pick available. Do I sacrifice my dignity and morals and pick the antichrist?

 

Yes

Link to comment
Share on other sites

We had our draft yesterday, I had the 7th pick...exactly one spot later or 5 spots earlier than I wanted...in our draft, Arian Foster, Ray Rice, Aaron Rodgers, LeSean McCoy, Tom Brady and Drew Brees were all off the board when I picked. It came to me, a decision between Cam Newton, Matthew Stafford or Chris Johnson. None was my ideal pick (in our leauge QB is vital), but I picked.Chris Johson, figuring a decent QB would be available when I picked next. You said you are re-drafting your whole team, so figure out, or make an educated guess, as to who will be available with your next pick. My guess is, you will go with C Johnson. If he is the best RB available to you, I would suspect that the top 3 or 4 RB's are already gone (Rice, McCoy, Foster)...if you have to wait until the next round (and you said you had no keepers) you are going to be very thin at runnig back...the difference between C Johnsons (assuming he is as good as advertised by the "experts") and a second tier RB is greater than the differnce between, say Brady and Jay Cutler...C Johnsons is one of only a handful of RB's who, assuming there are no injuries, will be the undisputed featured running back...all starting QB's start every game, unless they just suck. I assume you will know which is which in the QB realm. Go with Johnson!

 

In my league, I really wanted Rodgers, Brees or Brady..but they were gone, so I still ended up with Cam Newton in the second round...I can live with that, and I got what is percieved to be an elite running back.

Edited by Buftex
Link to comment
Share on other sites

how many people kept qbs? Buftex did a pretty good job of summing up what I'm about to say but...

Look at the other teams around you and what there needs are. If all of them kept a qb then you should be good. However I would still take Brady.

Fantasy Football is not a rb driven game anymore. It's all about the qbs and having an elite one is important. Brady is great to own. As someone else mentioned when he does well so does your team - when he doesn't you get to enjoy Brady sucking. I took him 5th overall the year he blew out his knee and I still was excited when it happened (sick bastard that I am) bc i thought the Bills had a shot at the playoffs. Fantasy Football is fun but real football trumps what I root for.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

how many people kept qbs? Buftex did a pretty good job of summing up what I'm about to say but...

Look at the other teams around you and what there needs are. If all of them kept a qb then you should be good. However I would still take Brady.

Fantasy Football is not a rb driven game anymore. It's all about the qbs and having an elite one is important.

 

Though this recent theory is more true than it was, I still don't entirely buy it. The elite QB's last year outscored the mid-tier QBs' by an unprecedented amount last year. It remains to be seen whether that will be the norm. Personally I am a bit skeptical that last year wasn't an outlier.

 

Before Rodgers threw 45 TD's last year he threw 28, 30, and 28.

In the three years before & after Peyton's record 49, he threw for 26, 27, 29, 28, 31, and 31.

 

There's probably going to be some regression here. Plus Rivers for example had a career-worst year and he should be a lot better this yr which will further close the gap.

 

Going QB (this goes for TE as well) first also limits your flexibility of picking your value later on, since you only play one. Like if some QB you like really drops unexpectedly you kinda have to ignore him & look elsewhere.

 

Just something to think about. I do think Brady is a perfectly reasonable 1st round pick because of how safe he is if you don't trust any of the available RB's. I probably would've taken Rodgers 4th in my league if the big 3 RB's were gone but I wouldn't have felt great about it.

 

And yah I never understood the conundrum of taking a player on a team you hate. The simple answer is if you're torn on what to root for when he's playing the Bills, you're not much of a fan.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Though this recent theory is more true than it was, I still don't entirely buy it. The elite QB's last year outscored the mid-tier QBs' by an unprecedented amount last year. It remains to be seen whether that will be the norm. Personally I am a bit skeptical that last year wasn't an outlier.

 

Before Rodgers threw 45 TD's last year he threw 28, 30, and 28.

In the three years before & after Peyton's record 49, he threw for 26, 27, 29, 28, 31, and 31.

 

There's probably going to be some regression here. Plus Rivers for example had a career-worst year and he should be a lot better this yr which will further close the gap.

.

That's some good statistical analysis and logic there :thumbsup:

Qb's just throw so much these days and throw for so many tds. Even in a standard scoring league 30 tds for a qb equals 120 points - you would need a rb to score 20 tds to equal that production and it doesn't happen often especially with the rb by committee these days. The hard part is because of those rbbc it's important to get a good one early eschewing a higher scorer (read elite qb).

 

As for the bolded - man I hope so! Rivers was available so late I snatched him in the 9th round as our starter. 6 qbs went in the first 2 rounds so I knew I could wait but didn't expect to be able to wait that long. I got Peyton in the 9th round as well in another league (as my backup Stafford in the 3rd was to good to pass on). I got burned bad by Rivers last year but I too think he'll have a bounce back.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This topic is OLD. A NEW topic should be started unless there is a very specific reason to revive this one.

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Restore formatting

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
×
  • Create New...