
BrooklynBills
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I'm not comparing these players right now but if you can recall the 2017 - 2018 NO Saints when they had both Ingram and Kamara (which I think is somewhat of the high level of what they want this running game to be), they would often switch up the backs mid series. This is just my guess but I would think that alot of that is going towards establishing tendencies and getting a fresh guy on the field. BTW, those were Joe Brady's 2 seasons in NO. Ray Davis is equally adept at pass-pro and catching out of the backfield so I think it is just a matter of time before we see some of these 2nd and shorts going PA or passes IMO. But I agree that putting Davis in there mid series is doing him a disservice right now. A more experienced RB could handle that role probably. I actually like the way Davis has run some when he has gotten consecutive touches.
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Their best case scenario is that these new charges somehow void his future salaries (which there is a mixed opinion about that as apparently there is language that protects his $$$) and even then his dead cap is 80M if they release him this offseason (i guess they could post june 1 release him and it would be a more" manageable" 26M dead cap in 2025 and 53M dead cap in 2026. They simply cannot get out of any dead cap stuff for things already paid to him and I think the rest of the owners will make it very hard for them to get out of this contract because they were all so pissed about it.
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Dak's contract has functional GTDs of 231M (out of 240M total for the contract) but almost half of that is just guaranteeing his salary from year to year. He was only GTD 129M at signing. If he turns into a complete pumpkin (unlikely), there's a practical out in 2028 where he only costs 34M in dead cap but they could even still cut him in 2026 taking on a 62M dead cap Watson's contract was fully GTD at signing meaning they owe him the 231M no matter what and his dead cap number in 2026 (the last year of his contract BTW) is still 99M. Its just structured in a way that they cannot really cut him (unless the new suspension/charges/accusations voids his GTD salaries). Even if his future salaries are voided, he would still be a dead cap of 80M next year if they cut him based on bonuses already paid.
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Random talking head says something about the Bills
BrooklynBills replied to Simon's topic in The Stadium Wall
Yes, but once the league got film on that offense other teams were able to better gameplan against it and the Bills didn't have an adequate counter-punch other than designed Allen runs and scrambling. The offense had major dips in both 2021(under Daboll) and 2022(under Dorsey). -
Random talking head says something about the Bills
BrooklynBills replied to Simon's topic in The Stadium Wall
Colin has been a big Allen supporter mainly though and his main take is that the Bills have failed him with making him do everything and giving him no OL and running game to support him, which is 100% true. So I think when he's saying that he's "OC dependent" he's saying that you can't just put him in a system that where he has to constantly throw the ball 35-45 times a game (again, true). Having Allen dropback and throw 40 times a game worked in 2020 because no one had seen it and they had just added Diggs which unlocked some of the deeper throws. Once teams got a full year of film on it (and the league moved to a more 2-high safety look overall), that gameplan just didn't always work and the Bills had no counter punch other than Allen running. It got worse under Dorsey and really cratered last year. -
Long-term future of the Bills defensive backfield?
BrooklynBills replied to GASabresIUFan's topic in The Stadium Wall
Barring a completely unforeseen scenario where Elam becomes the starting CB this season AND plays at an elite level, there is zero chance that the Bills will pick up the 5th year option on Elam - its a fully GTD $11M+ cap hit on the books for 2026. Next offseason is the first real opportunity to trade him and actually get some cap savings so I imagine that is what is going to happen. -
Came here to post this too. Rumor was he was let go in WWE because of some the potential legal stuff happening (combined with the already bad WWE stuff that was coming out at the time).
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Tim Graham article on Kim Pegula and Bills ownership
BrooklynBills replied to Buffalo_Stampede's topic in The Stadium Wall
So he gave his oldest child who is the only family member with any C-suite level experience a small percentage of equity for taking on more managerial roles? It's interesting for sure but i'm not buying this as a "soap opera" level scandal. -
Brandon Beane Addresses Media - NFL Annual Meeting
BrooklynBills replied to Warriorspikes51's topic in The Stadium Wall
It would depend on how he tested physically but there are plenty of high end WRs at that height-weight combo. Chris Olave is the same size. McConkey was compared physically to Garret Wilson. -
Bills have private workout scheduled with WR Troy Franklin
BrooklynBills replied to Alphadawg7's topic in The Stadium Wall
Oregon's WR coach is probably one of the better WR coaches in college football although I don't think Franklin was recruited by him. He's coached Kupp and Nacua at the collegiate level and he's responsible for recruiting Washington's stud WRs. You have to think though that he's entering the NFL with a very good base of knowledge to build on. -
I think part of the reasoning here was also to prevent minority hires from becoming a way to accrue extra draft picks which could easily be something that teams exploited. The main argument that teams/owners typically provided for the disparity in minority coaching hires was experience (either playcalling/coordinating/or at the player personnel level). The best solution isn't to incentivize teams to hire minorities for high level positions. Its to develop minority coaches into qualified candidates.
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McD and Wilks don't necessarily have the same defensive background. SF was banking on marrying Wilks coverage with the front that their DL coach Kris Kocurek employs. There were reports of issues and miscommunication throughout the year and not just in the SB. SF notably loves Kocurek and basically chose him over Wilks in this case. I feel like alot of teams are somewhat employing some version of trying to marry fronts and coverage from different minds especially if you don't have an experienced defensive mind in the DC or HC spot. I would guess that SF will now either hire Kocurek to the DC spot and bring a passing game coordinator type on defense to oversee the coverage OR hire an experienced secondary coach that has ties to Seattle scheme or to the Schwartz scheme, both which are a part of SF has been doing defensively for a few seasons now.
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The RB thing is also a bit misleading and I think we need to keep in mind the state of the roster that they inherited, especially on offense. They spent 2 3rds and 1 2nd on RBs since they've been here but the Bill hadn't selected a RB before the 5th round since CJ Spiller in 2010. They inherited a team with an aging McCoy and basically nothing behind him. Even looking at the best offenses in the NFL, they have all spent multiple day 1 and 2 picks over a period of 5 years. The age quotient of the position means that you cannot continually keep trying to go to the FA well or give RBs 2nd contracts. The whole idea of not giving RBs 2nd contracts means that you've likely drafted them and have them on a rookie deal. Look at SF, who runs an offense where everyone thinks that anyone can get production at RB - they have spent a 2nd and 3 3rds (and a 4th) on the RB position. LAR - as soon as Gurley fell off, they immediately went RB in round 3 and then again in round 2. Also spent a 4th on Sony Michel trade. Another thing to keep in context here is that the Bills did spend a high 2nd round pick (Zay Jones) and a 2018 3rd (Benjamin trade) on WR right before drafting Allen. After drafting Allen, the Bills have done the following at WR: 2019 - signed John Brown and Cole Beasely as starters; drafted Knox in the 3rd. 2020 - traded a 1st (and a 4th) for Diggs; drafted Davis with a 4th. 2021 - signed Emmanuel Sanders It's not like they haven't spent capital there and they also had some entrenched starters at the position throughout. They did neglect it from a draft standpoint in 2021 and 2022, but again those years they had some entrenched players at the position. Was anyone upset with the WR depth chart in 2021? No. It wasn't a great situation heading into 2022 but what WRs did you want them selecting in the first 3 rounds that year? Is this team that much better if we have Skyy Moore or Christian Watson on it instead of selecting Elam? Marginally.
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They would likely just process the trade after June 1 if that is what they decide. Could be a scenario where if the writing is on the wall - might be best to just rip the bandaid off. If I'm reading the contract details correctly, his base salary guarantees in March but that would just mean that whoever is trading for him would need to be able to fit that salary in their cap after the trade. Which would make it more likely that a trade would be worked out pre FA so that the acquiring team would be able to plan their cap structure. Although not ideal, there are alot of reasons why a post June 1 savings of 19M off the cap is something that the Bills could use. Signing draft picks, summer FAs (Leonard Floyd signed in June), and in-season trades. Not to mention that the Bills could look to rollover the new savings into the 2025 cap which could facilitate making a bigger splash in the FA market next offseason. Whether we like it or not, this version of the Bills window is closed. The defense is aging and some of their best players are coming off major injuries. They could look to take some medicine this year and play younger players on defense, re-tool the WR room, and look to come out of this season with young players gaining experience and some cap room in 2025 to make some moves in FA. I realize that "the window" is always open with Allen but that doesn't mean that they can't or shouldn't rebuild. This is exactly what KC has done and they are still contending because their stars and coaching is carrying them through. Having Allen means that they can rebuild to try to make the team stronger in the future and still be playoff contenders or even go on a run. They can't simply keep trying to run it back as much as possible because eventually that going to lead to more and more watered down versions of this team that simply just didn't really win anything. Its OK to take a step back (or two) to try to ramp up in the future. Other teams are doing this successfully. KC is not the only example.
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Options for the position coaches that are vacant
BrooklynBills replied to Billzgobowlin's topic in The Stadium Wall
I thought Shakir improved greatly especially his play from the slot. -
It will be Michigan DT Kris Jenkins
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It was just a feeling that I got when he signed from his presser and now combined with how he's looked a bit slower this year.
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I think Poyer is going to retire after this season. We could ALOT of changeover in the secondary next year.
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Unfortunately, I also think White is likely a cut. The average return to play for Achilles is 11-12 months but that isn't peak performance. If he returned to form, we would likely see that in the 2025 season (which is his last under contract anyway). I just think even a paycut doesn't make sense when you could possibly find an FA with a lower first year cap hit than White's potential paycut. And a paycut won't get his salary down that much. Even if he takes a paycut to the vet min of 1.65M (don't think they would touch the bonus money), his cap number would be 9.9M. His dead cap for a regular cut would be 10.4M. I'm not too worried about the Bills getting under the salary cap to start next offseason so lets just to play with some contract math here. Lets say the Bills signed a pretty good CB in FA (Like a 14-16M cap hit - Jaylon Johnson please?) and cut Tre White. That player's potential year 1 cap hit is likely in the 6M range. So you could have a questionable Tre White at 29 signed for cap hits of 16M in 2024 and 16M in 2025. Or you could have a much better and younger player signed to cap hits of 6M in 2024 (plus White's dead money of 10M = 16M so thats a wash money wise) and likely less than 16M in 2025 and then signed to your team beyond 2025. It really becomes increasingly hard to justify not moving on from White (which sucks and is a tough decision but likely a necessary one). And that doesn't stop you from extending Douglas for a year or two.
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It was not a strange process. It is very common to hire the HC first. The Bills interviewed other candidates when they interviewed Beane although I think it was thought that Beane had an inside track because of his working relationship with McDermott. I think the Bills were at a point after Rex/Whaley where the whole situation needed a complete overhaul. That is not the case now IMO. It would really depend on the HC that they were looking to hire as each candidate would have differing degrees of influence on what they would want done at the GM position. I see no reason why the Bills would currently be in a situation where they'd be hiring a HC that would demand a completely new front office structure. I doubt the Bills would be looking for someone completely overhaul the whole football department as they were when they hired McDermott. Yes - alot of times NFL teams do a clean house situation of both the HC and the FO but I don't think the Bills are in that spot. Plenty of successful examples of HCs with roster control power or perceived de facto football czar status being fired with the team retaining the GM/front office and hiring a new HC: LA Rams - fired Jeff Fisher, kept Les Snead, hired McVay Philly - fired Chip, kept/promoted Howie Roseman, hired Doug Pederson, fired Doug Pederson, hired Sirianni
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I think they were worried about being on the hook for next year if he went down with season ending injury. It's a brand new coaching staff. I think they just wanted to get it over with.
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Not sure where you are getting the 42M number from. We are 29M over the cap fro next year. And yeah, there is going to be some significant turnover in the secondary. You have White (29 next year - multiple major injuries), Hyde (34), Poyer (33), and now Douglas (30). Hyde has a cap hit of 3.5 next year because of the void years so i could them working out a contract to bring him back. Douglas is a 9M hit and I could see them giving him a short extension to lower his number. I don't see how White is back on a 16M cap hit. They save 5.5M cutting Poyer. Yes, cutting guys creates holes but they will need to fill those holes with draft picks and mid tier FAs, and maybe some re-signings. FAs will have cheaper cap hits in year one than alot of these aging defenders will have next year.