Cash

/thread

Sweet, that means we'll probably win. Remember, they were all hired for their ability to spout nonsense into a camera without losing self-respect, not ability to predict football games.

I didn't exactly hate the Lawson signing, but I'd say I was fairly skeptical. But he's been really good, especially against the run. I have to give the Bills credit -- he's pretty much been exactly what Buddy Nix said he would be at the time of the signing. Branch looked like a solid signing at the time, and has held up to that. He's not exactly a world-beater, but a good player, and very necessary once Carrington got hurt. I was on board with the Sheppard/Hughes trade at the time, and saw it as basically losing nothing and gaining a lottery ticket. Hughes has played pretty well and looks like a decent rotational pass rusher. This is more of a $10 win on a scratch off than a Powerball jackpot, but a win nonetheless. I was very underwhelmed by the Legursky signing at the time, and remain so. I think he's well below average, and only looks good when compared to Colin Brown. I still wish they'd done more to address this spot in the offseason. (And no, I don't mind that they let Levitre walk. My beef is just with their Plan B once his price tag got too high.) The Thad Lewis trade, in hindsight, was a gigantic steal! Reason being, they traded a special-teams LB who was going to get cut anyway, and got back a QB who doesn't suck and shows some competence as a starter. Lewis isn't very good, but he does some positive things, and he's shown that you can win a game or two with him as your QB. It's hard to ask a lot more of a backup QB, and at this point, I think I'd be fine with Lewis entering camp next year as the primary backup, or at least in competition for the backup job. I like him. Leonhard was a nice signing as a veteran who knows the defense, who can be like an extra coach on the field and in the locker room to help the young guys integrate into the system. Plus, he made a couple nice INTs while Byrd was out. Now that Byrd's getting back up to speed, I'm glad to see his PT diminish, but he remains a solid veteran presence in a very young secondary.

I just hope EJ can stay healthy this time. Good or bad, I want him to take every snap the rest of the season. Let's see what we've got and see how much he can improve over the course of half a season.

Sheldon Richardson of the Jets has arguably been better, but a D-lineman who doesn't get sacks isn't going to get this kind of award. Just like an O-lineman will probably never win any offensive awards. I think Kiko is the very clear frontrunner at this point, and on a personal level, he's been a VERY pleasant surprise to me. On the offensive side, I agree it's probably Geno at the front of the pack right now, but I don't think it's a massive lead. He's incredibly up and down, and pretty much singlehandedly cost them a couple games on the down side. If Eddie Lacy keeps up his charge, I think there's a good chance he overtakes Geno. Heck, if EJ comes back and looks good in leading us to a 6-1 record the rest of the way, I think he'll have a very realistic chance of winning it. Even though his overall stats maybe wouldn't match Geno's or Lacy's, QBs are so over-judged on their team's record that EJ would be in play with a strong 2nd half.

I can't stop watching replays of that play, and every time I watch it, it kills me how wide-open Stevie is. Any kind of throw to the middle of the endzone -- even all the way at the back of the endzone -- produces a TD. Aaagh. I don't think I've ever said anything positive about Jeff Tuel, but I don't feel any anger or hate towards him. If anything, pity. Poor Jeff Tuel. He is who he is. I don't think it's fair to ask him to be a competent NFL QB, especially as a rookie. I don't necessarily kill Hackett for calling a pass or even that play, although I will continue to endlessly kill Hackett for having ANY play, much less a critical play, where TJ Graham is the QB's first read. If it's a clutch situation, that is the last guy we should be throwing to.

Don't have time to scour the internet at present, but from what breakdowns of the Bills' offense I've read, EJ has absolutely had to make those same kind of reads, dating back to the preseason. I remember one preseason breakdown detailing a packaged play we ran 3-4 times with EJ where there were 4 or 5 different options, including both passes & runs.

Goodwin reminds me a lot of T.Y. Hilton... the guy we should've drafted instead of Graham. (Though obviously Russell Wilson beats Hilton easily.) The injury thing is a little worrisome, but I'm hoping it's just a series of coincidences and not a real issue. I want to see him get regular playing time and see what he can do outside of the 9 route.

I disagree with you a lot, but I really tend to agree with this. My guard is more raised though, I think. I'm hoping that these aren't the same old Bills, but I'm in no way convinced. The Bills' easy stretch of the schedule is coming up (scroll down to "Chain of Strength"). I need to see wins during this stretch, not just close games. A blowout or two would be nice. Now, this team has been way better at home than on the road, and we've only got two true home games left (Jets & Dolphins), but if we're really turning the corner, we should be able to beat Pittsburgh and Jacksonville and Tampa Bay on the road and Atlanta on a neutral field. Win five or even four of those six and they'll make a believer out of me. Or win three of those, then go on to beat the Patriots in Foxboro. Or better yet, just win out and make the playoffs! Okay, that probably won't happen, but it would be fun if it did.

Fortunately or unfortunately, I was only able to see the first half live, and had to follow the rest on my phone. I was definitely disappointed in Gilmore, because I expected him to shut Bowe down. Having said that, I did notice that Bowe did almost nothing in the 2nd half, and overall didn't do a ton of damage. I don't know if Gilmore stepped up in the 2nd half or what. I'm looking forward to seeing the All-22 breakdowns for this game -- I want to know just how many catches & yards Gilmore gave up. Someone posted that 22 of Bowe's yards came against not-Gilmore. I can live with 50 yards or so for the opposition's top receiver, but I expect better from Gilmore if that top receiver is as low-caliber as Dwayne Bowe (especially since Bowe is having a terrible season so far). I did notice that his coverage was perfect (with no help) on the deep ball to Bowe after Hughes' strip-sack, so it's not like he was awful.

Agreed! Bill, I love your posts, and if I think you've gone off the deep end with your anti-Marrone/Gilmore rants, it's only because you're so sensible the rest of the time. Thanks for your contributions to this board!

Not this one. And I know I wasn't the only one glad to dump a dirty player. If I recall correctly, it was a little puzzling that the Bills chose not to tender Incognito as an RFA, but then Kawika Mitchell made some incendiary remarks about him on twitter that cast a little more light on the situation. I.e., that Incognito was a royal douche whose teammates hated him, or at least some of his teammates hated him.

Thank you. More on this below, but I'm glad we have a coaching staff that tries to win rather than tries not to lose. Tells me that *if* they get winning talent, they'll be able to win games with it. Bill from NYC/Dick Jauron ball gets you a record from 7-9 to 9-7 no matter who you've got. The bottom line to me is that a pick-6 in that situation is totally inexcusable, and everyone is to blame. I would've liked to see 3 straight QB sneaks, and would've been fine with a FG, because I think Tuel sucks. (But he should be able to execute a QB sneak.) My bigger issue with the playcalling, both in this game and in the Cincy game, is that they're too predictable. 1st down, smashmouth run into the line. 2nd down, same. If you're willing to go for it on 4th, then 3rd down is a repeat of 2nd down. Whatever your "last down" is, that's when you pass. I'd rather see playaction on 1st down, and if that doesn't work, then start running it. It's also clear that our O-line isn't good enough to shove around elite D-lines at the goal line when they know what we're doing. So we either need to fool them (running out of spread, counters, misdirection, etc.), or we need to try attacking different spots (outside runs, passes, QB runs, etc.). For the record, I feel like the most unstoppable goal line plays are the QB sneak, any naked bootleg, a QB rollout with a receiver running with him in the end zone (run or pass option), and any play where the TE pretends to block and leaks out. EDIT: I forgot to add the other disturbing thing about the playcalling: Per Hackett, on both the pick-6 and the 4th and 3 play, Graham was Tuel's first read. TJ Graham stinks, and even his defenders admit he's unreliable and has bad hands. He should never be the first read outside of 1st down. And he was the *only* read on the 4th and 3 play. If we're going to call a play where the QB is automatically throwing to 1 guy, that guy better be Stevie Johnson. I hope Hackett learns from his mistakes, but this love affair with TJ Graham is disturbing. In Bill's world, Marrone is not allowed in any of the defensive meetings and does not interact with defensive players. All the motivation and tone-setting that causes the D to play with such heart comes from Pettine, and Marrone is strictly forbidden from entering that territory. In fact, I believe the only thing Marrone does in Bill's world is call plays and throw challenge flags. Now, in Bill's defense, there is an argument here that given the Bills' terrible QB situation, they should be playing more conservatively. And I don't totally disagree with that. (For example, if we had anyone better than Tuel, I would advocate going for it on 4th and 1, but I would have preferred a FG try if he hadn't turned the ball over.) But I prefer a coaching staff that's too aggressive over one that's too conservative. Why? First, every analysis of coaching decisions shows that coaches are in general too conservative, and that more aggressive play will lead to more wins in the long run. Second, I feel like most coaches have their tendencies and stick to them -- i.e., they have a philosophy about the best way to win games. I think Marrone's philosophy is great, but it also needs a good QB. "But we don't have a good QB." True, but if Manuel becomes that good QB, you'll be glad our coach can take advantage of that. Third, when coaches do change their tendencies, I feel like it's more likely for them to go more conservative than more aggressive. (Usually because of incessant criticism by out of touch sportswriters.) So I'd rather have a new/young guy start out too aggressive than too conservative. Ron Rivera is an exception here, but I think that's a pretty rare case.

My preseason prediction was 5-11, but I didn't think the non-QB parts of the team would be as good as they've been. We're now heading into the easier portion of our schedule (6 straight winnable games), and I think it's reasonable to expect better QB play in the 2nd half of the year than the 1st. I'm guessing we go 3-3 in the next 6, get embarrassed by the Patriots, and finish 6-10.

That Hard Knocks segment with his teammates calling him "Big Weirdo" was the first thing I thought of when I heard about this. (I believe Incognito was heavily involved.) When I first saw that, I predicted that Martin's time in Miami wouldn't go well, because it was immediately clear that: 1.) Martin did not find this kind of teasing to be good-natured or funny, and was quite upset by it; 2.) His teammates seemed to be completely oblivious to Martin's discomfort, and thought they were being cool. The fact that the teasing/bullying/whatever was coming not just from his own teammates, but his O-line mates, probably made things even worse. Football, like almost any team sport, is very very "team" oriented. The players usually have an intense camaraderie, almost to the point of brotherhood. (Even our crappy Bills teams have been very close in the locker room this past decade.) Now, men often fight, or tease each other, or find other ways to give each other a hard time. But when they're close, like teammates or close friends or brothers, it's usually coming from a place of love. My friends bust my balls all the time, but never in a way that cuts deep or makes me feel uncomfortable. What Martin's teammates were doing on Hard Knocks was not good-natured ribbing or ball busting. They might just be emotionally clueless and can't read a teammate to see that he's not okay with you calling him a weirdo. (Also, "Big Weirdo"? That's such a lame nickname. At least be funny if you're going to make fun of someone.) Or they might be a-holes who decided to keep riding him for the sake of it. Aka, bullies. Maybe they'd never before had a sensitive/thin-skinned/mood-disordered/whatever teammate like Martin. I don't know, but I do know that if the coaching staff was smart, they would've seen the same thing I saw and put a stop to the teasing/bullying. Whether they're bullying Martin or he's being a baby is irrelevant from a coach's perspective. The bottom line is that Martin is a valuable resource (2nd-round pick, starting OT, seemed fairly promising as a rookie) and can't be wasted. Sorry for being so long-winded on this, but that's ultimately the point I wanted to make -- the coaching staff needs to be held accountable for what's going on in their locker room, too. And for the record, I tend to think that the Bills wouldn't stand for that kind of thing if it was happening here.

:lol: Bwahahaha! Beat me to it! I can't believe the lack of respect this Canadian has for "Dr. Sack"!

Dunno if it's been updated or what, but I just clicked that link and the Bills were -10.5.

Meh, I don't have a huge problem with how they've handled things. My two main complaints are 1.) thinking you'd get anything out of Kolb and 2.) cutting TJax before training camp. Marrone has basically admitted that #2 was a mistake, so I've moved on. As for the Tuel/Lewis situation, I think we need to consider just how short-sighted coaches are always going to be in their thinking. When finalizing the 53-man roster, I'm sure that Marrone's chief focus regarding QBs was to give himself the best chances in Week 1. From everything I've read, coaches are almost always focused only on winning the next game. So heading into Week 1, the Bills had Manuel as the starter, but he was looking unlikely to play. Lewis had just been acquired that week and was way too green to be thrown into the fire. (See Josh Freeman this past week.) Tuel is who he is, but at least knew the offense. So they kept Tuel over Lewis, but kept Lewis around. If they made a mistake, it was failing to find a spot on the active roster for Lewis, so he could eventually take over backup duties from Tuel. But they probably overestimated Tuel's abilities based on his preseason performance, and talked themselves into thinking that he wouldn't kill them if he had to play. They were wrong, and tacitly admitted as such by demoting Tuel after the Browns game and signing Matt Flynn to back up Lewis. I'm not really sure why they're bothering to keep Tuel on the active roster still, but maybe they think demoting him to the practice squad would wreck him forever. Or maybe they're no longer comfortable with only having 2 healthy QBs on the roster, and are waiting till EJ comes back before cutting Tuel. Yeah, I guess the rule is that any sign of positive play is a guarantee of a HoF-caliber career, but any sign of negative play just means you have to wait until 3 years have gone by. And then once 3 years have gone by, and you want to talk about how Torrell Troup was a terrible pick, you get yelled at for trying to dwell on the past. I'm not sure when the flip comes from "can't evaluate yet" to "dwelling on the past". Maybe we're only allowed to evaluate draft picks on exactly the 3rd anniversary of their draft?

The first 3 years of a rebuild are usually crappy. Years 4-6 are up & down, with no consistency. It's only about year 8 or 9 that you can reasonably expect to contend for a playoff spot. And remember, the second anyone gets fired, the slate gets wiped clean! So team president Russ Brandon or GM Buddy Nix can't be held accountable for anything that happened under GM Russ Brandon and Head of Scouting Buddy Nix.

I thought the spread was 12?

I'm waiting for some of the TJ Graham True Believers to show up and yell at everyone for evaluating a draft pick before he's been in the league 3 years.

Great stat -- I never thought to think of it that way! Getting back to the OP somewhat, it does seem to me that there are some legitimate concerns here. I'm very encouraged by the turnover per drive stat that MDH posted, but I still feel, just based on watching the games, that our takeaways will probably drop in the 2nd half of the season. That's not to take anything away from the D, who have generally done an admirable job. It's just that most of the takeaways we've gotten have required both a bad play by the offense (usually the QB) and a good play by the defense. I don't know if we can necessarily count on QBs to continue to make these kinds of mistakes. Mario did a nice job forcing a quick throw on Robey's pick 6, and Robey obviously made a great play, but what if Tannehill had been less accurate and put the ball too high or too low? Incomplete pass, 3 and out, which is still a win for the D, but might not have resulted in any points for the Bills. So I do think that we should be concerned about "unsustainability" in our record. But there are also mitigating factors in the other direction that should give us some hope. For one, the secondary has been hit pretty hard by injuries, and with the returns of Byrd & Gilmore, will probably be better going forward. For another, our schedule gets easier the 2nd half of the year -- we may not need as many takeaways to be in games, because our opponents won't be as good. As for the offense, that could go either way -- Lewis has been about as good as Manuel was, but if Manuel comes back rusty, our QB production will be way too low. The hope is that our rookie QB will get better as the year goes along, but I wonder how much this injury will set him back?

When that organization is run by Greg Schiano, you can go ahead and question their intelligence all you want. Freeman looks like he might be a flameout, but it was definitely a risk worth taking. Kerry Collins and Kurt Warner come to mind as successful QBs who had bounce-back seasons after being cut by their original teams. Collins might be the best comparison, as he had a number of off-field problems, including substance abuse.

I don't know if many people want us to run less so much as be less predictable in running. I think we run on first down too much. If your run game is super-successful, like it was on the one drive last week, then that's fine. Just run all day till they stop it. But that won't happen very often, and if you're too predictable, it'll be tough to succeed. I actually thought the playcalling was significantly better last week than it had been throughout the year. More first-down passes, some playaction, some screens... I liked what I saw. Hopefully this is a sign of Hackett getting better at his job. Way too many 3 and outs. And as much as fans love to hang their hats on that 20+ points/game stat, it's kind of a paper tiger. Here are our offensive outputs (ignoring defensive TDs): Week 1: 286 yards, 14 points Week 2: 436 yards, 24 points Week 3: 328 yards, 20 points Week 4: 350 yards, 23 points Week 5: 343 yards, 24 points Week 6: 322 yards, 24 points We're 16th in yards/game, 17th in points/game, and 28th in yards/play. If that's "fine", then the bar is set pretty low. Just because the O might not be as bad as the D (and that's debatable) doesn't mean that it's good or doesn't need to improve. There's definitely some things to build on on the offense, but it's a long way from a finished product. Huh? https://www.profootb...car-buf-week-2/ "However, like last week, his biggest struggles came against the run." I don't pay for their full stats, so maybe he somehow redeemed himself in weeks 3-5 despite posting another atrocious grade in week 3?

Good post! I'd like to add that another issue (or maybe part of #2) is that the Bills depressed his value by taking Spiller. It was a problem of their own making. If they knew they wanted Spiller, they should have looked to deal Lynch before the draft. (For reference, there were 2 RBs drafted after Spiller in the 1st and 4 in the 2nd that year -- good chance at least 1 of those 6 teams would've rather payed a 2nd or 3rd for Lynch, or at least what Seattle gave up.) On top of that, Nix struck me as a pretty bad negotiator as well. His tenure as GM is a pretty good argument against hiring a 70+ year old "rookie".