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gonzo1105

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Everything posted by gonzo1105

  1. While I'm not trying to get chippy with you its very easy to list a bunch of guys and say this is who I want in this round without playing out simulations of each round and the needs of teams in front of you. I can list 6 players i'd love for each round as well doesn't mean their even going to be there when the Bills are on the clock.
  2. I'm a former recruiting assistant at a Division 1 school, former Head Coach of HS ball for 8 years, worked 3 years as a recruiting coordinator and college coach at a couple Division 3 schools and I know a handful of NFL scouts, Division 1-3 Head Coaches throughout the country. I don't know everything but i've evaluated college kids for about 7 years in college including the highest athletes in the country for 3 1/2 years. I have resources I can ask guys about. Am I wrong a lot still. Yup I am but I have a much broader insight to the inner workings than Joe Fan who watched Youtube clips just on knowledge of what teams actually look for.
  3. I think a lot of Bills fans in particular have been brainwashed by media stating they need a LB and that 27 is a legit possibility. There is not a LB in this draft who should go in the first half of the 2nd round. Simpson has great athletic traits to be a superstar but he does have trouble processing things that happen in front of him. Do I think there is a good possibility that both Kincaid and Simpson are off the board at the Bills picks in these spots absolutely but it wouldn't stun me. I think Bills fans are going to shocked when Sanders, Campbell, and Simpson don't go in the top 40 picks on Thursday and Friday.
  4. Byron Leftwich would be the biggest one. Would have gotten me fired for taking him over Carson Palmer.
  5. I think the 27 for 34 and Hopkins makes sense from a value standpoint. The trade chart says Hopkins would be a 3rd rounder in that scenario which sounds about right
  6. If anything it’s weird to put it out there if not true. Could be they adjusted the line cause it’s a toss up which QB goes # 2 and they don’t want large bets coming in on + 500 Will Levis only for it to happen just gotta go with the info at hand
  7. They need to replace Gabe Davis considering he’s a Free Agent and despite his shortcomings will get a fairly large contract due to the WR market exploding and the direction the NFL is going
  8. I think you’re making a lot of assumptions. Who on the board is available in this mock that you would take to upgrade the WR core with this pick or on the offensive line? Q Johnson who is a Gabe Davis clone and gives you nothing different? O’Cyrus Torrence who’s a terrible scheme fit. Don’t change it up you wanted a LB, I gave you one at 59 for you only to say that you’d rather take one at 27 when in this mock the first one doesn’t come off the board at 48. You’d be getting terrible value at 27. I could see the Bills taking a Bergeron at 59. It’s funny how perception kills fans openness to things. If I gave you Campbell and Bergeron in the first two rounds you’d love it but in reality I would have reached a half a round at 27 to fill need and I’ll be honest I’m not sure the Bills are taking LB at all. Most of the top TEs were also saddled with bad QB play and to be honest with you, Kincaid isn’t really a TE he’s a big WR like Pitts. The difference is you’re drafting Kincaid at 27 versus Pitts with pick 4. The Bills have a top 3 QB in the NFL for Kincaid to work with vs Pitts who had a dead arm Matt Ryan and now Desmond Ridder. His career is dead until he leaves Atlanta
  9. Well you already admitted it then. Projecting mock drafts, like Millers, aren’t about what you want. It’s trying to find fit, value, and the way NFL teams think.
  10. So you’d rather pass on a dynamic TE for a LB where I give you a top 3 LB supposedly at 59. Doesn’t make sense what you’re saying. This draft is very realistic, and people who are more plugged in and have some different info can back it. Am I going to be wrong on more than 2/3rds of it prob but usually everyone is.
  11. Yea there are a lot of guys who have never played Guard that end up playing Guard in the NFL. It’s a pretty easy transition for a College guy most of the time
  12. Kincaid could play a lot of different positions. Knox becomes your traditional Y TE. Kincaid can play the slot, he can play H back, put him in bunch sets etc. He’s an exciting player. Is he the ideal pick the answer is No but if your looking for offensive playmaker than I think he fits the Bill to a tee with what’s available
  13. Yea I don’t disagree there if they went Bergeron I wouldn’t complain if they are dead set at what they have at LB. I also think Bergeron has some flex to play Guard.
  14. I'll try to do a brief explanation of the first rounders here and then just the 2nd round. I try to mix fit with my personal rankings of players. This is one of the toughest mocks I've ever done simply because there are so few quality guys who should even go in the top 10 let alone the first round. Nontheless, we all give our best effort at getting 5 or 6 picks right. Enjoy. 1. Carolina Panthers- Bryce Young QB Alabama Looks like this one is set in stone at this point. Seems like Young will be the # 1 pick in the draft. 2. Houston Texans- Will Levis QB Kentucky I wouldn't have guessed this one at any point throughout this process but it appears that Levis has moved to the favorite at the # 2 pick. Levis has moved to the favorite for the # 2 pick on betting sites and betting sites seem to know a lot. 3. Arizona Cardinals- Tyree Wilson DE Texas Tech I suspect someone will try to trade up here but there are no trades in my mock draft. There is some chatter that Wilson has passed Will Anderson as the top edge in this draft. While I can see the thought process, I still think Anderson is the smarter safer pick. I think Anderson does have limited upside and Wilson is a big ball of clay but I'll stick to what I'm seeing on the net. 4. Indianapolis Colts- Anthony Richardson QB Florida This is a tough decision between Richardson and Stroud. Since the Eagles OC is now the HC in Indy and he developed a very raw Jalen Hurts, I think the Colts very much see the upside of Richardson as that possible Josh Allen type with the right development leading to this pick. Could easily see Stroud here though. 5. Seattle Seahawks- C.J. Stroud QB Ohio State The Seattle regime could be blowing smoke about this being there one chance to be this high in the draft. Could be trade fodder but I tend to believe it. There is no way they think that Geno Smith can lead them to the SB right? I get Pete Carroll is at the tail end of his career but I have to think that they want a franchise guy who can take them over the hump. I go with Stroud here but I'll probably regret it. 6. Detroit Lions- Jalen Carter DT Georgia Carter has had a terrible pre draft process but this is where draft need meets arguably the best player in the draft. The QB run is over and the best player on the board is still Carter. Its a dangerous pick but the Lions can afford it with their draft capital, and young talent. 7. Las Vegas Raiders- Will Anderson DE/LB Alabama I think this one is a no brainer if he falls this far. Perfect pair with Maxx Crosby to get after Mahomes and Herbert in the division. 8. Atlanta Falcons- Bijan Robinson RB Texas I honestly wouldn't understand this pick besides the fact it takes the pressure off of Desmond Ridder a bit. I wouldn't make this pick but there is a lot of smoke lately that Robinson could very well be their pick. Makes sense since Arthur Smith had Derrick Henry in Tennessee. We'll see but a lot of rumors about this being Atlanta's guy. 9. Chicago Bears- Paris Johnson OT Ohio State I think almost everyone has this pick in their mocks but it makes just too much sense. Protect your first round investment with the # 1 OT in the draft which also happens to be one of your biggest needs. 10. Philadelphia Eagles- Christian Gonzalez CB Oregon The Eagles do have some needs at some things particularly in the future. On the surface, Gonzalez doesn't make sense with Slay and Bradberry but after getting torched in the SB and Slay on a reworked contract this pick makes a lot more sense. 11. Tennessee Titans- Broderick Jones OT Georgia I believe that the Titans would be a very likely candidate to trade up with Arizona at 3 to get their future QB but if they are unable to do that they can rework their offensive line by getting Jones here at pick # 11. 12. Houston Texans- Nolan Smith DE/LB Georgia Smith has been gaining steam lately in the draft and he is not polished and he needs some work. What better situation to go into to have a team 2 or 3 years from now turn into a contender while working on Smith's timeline. 13. New York Jets- Darnell Wright OT Tennessee I think this might be pretty high for Wright but the pick and fit makes a lot of sense. Duane Brown is coming off of an injury and Becton has been a bust and the need is there. They would prefer Jones or Johnson but in this scenario they go with Wright. Skoronski is also in consideration but I consider him a Guard and the Jets are set there. 14. New England Patriots- Jaxon Smith Njigba WR Ohio State Patriots bring back Bill O'Brien to help out Mac Jones and they needed more weapons to help make that happen. Njigba is the best WR in this draft and the Patriots need a massive influx of offensive help in this draft. 15. Green Bay Packers- Keion White DE Georgia Tech This pick is a surprise as most mocks have him going lower but he is the perfect fit for the Packers and their scheme and he did go on a top 30 visit to Green Bay as well. White will go a lot higher than people have him projected. 16. Washington Commanders- Deonte Banks CB Maryland Banks is flying up the draft boards as we get closer to the draft and he surpasses both Witherspoon and Porter Jr who both have some questions that need to be addressed. Washington sticks with the local product to add to their defense. 17. Pittsburgh Steelers- Peter Skoronski OT Northwestern The Steelers need offensive line help all over the place and Skoronski is the last "Tackle" prospect left in the first round. The Steelers will start him at Tackle but if he doesn't work out he could easily slide inside for them. 18. Detroit Lions- Devon Witherspoon CB Illinois The Lions take who most people have as the consensus # 1 or # 2 CB in the draft in Witherspoon at 18. I have concerns about his size and how it will hold up in the NFL and I think that is justifiable to drop him a little. The Lions are arguably walk away with the # 1 DT and # 1 CB in the draft. 19. Tampa Bay Bucs- Lukas Van Ness DE Iowa The Bucs have all kinds of needs in the draft and one of those is pass rush. Need meets value in this range and the Bucs could go in various directions with DE here. 20. Seattle Seahawks- Myles Murphy DE Clemson Seahawks got their QB of the future and now they add to their front 7. This wont be the last time they address their front seven needs but like the Bucs value meets need here. 21. LA Chargers- Michael Mayer TE Notre Dame I don't believe that Mayer is the best TE in the draft but I think he is a strong possibility here for the Chargers. They need to continue adding weapons for Herbert and add the all around TE in Mayer 22. Baltimore Ravens- Joey Porter Jr. CB Penn State I think a lot of people are pegging WR here for the Ravens and I could easily see it but I don't think they are ready to give up on Bateman and added OBJ allowing them to address another need with a guy who a lot of people expect to go higher and fills a need for the Ravens. 23. Minnesota Vikings- Zay Flowers WR Boston College Vikings could easily go Defensive Back here as well but they need to fill the gap left by Adam Thielen and Flowers is the same type of player just much younger and faster. He will go right into the slot and become a solid # 3 option. 24. Jacksonville Jaguars- Will McDonald DE Iowa State A lot of people are projecting TE but they have a big need at DE and they take the underrated Will McDonald out of Iowa State to get after the QB. I believe they will address TE at some point in the draft but if Engram has another great season there is no need to spend a 1st rounder on a TE. 25. New York Giants- Jordan Addison WR USC A lot of Bills fans are probably gutted to see this pick but it makes too much sense for the Giants here and Addison heads to NY to pair with Daboll. 26. Dallas Cowboys- Mazi Smith DT Michigan I believe that the 6 picks before the Bills are going to determine the direction they go in this draft. DT is a big need for both the Bills and Cowboys and so is TE. The Cowboys tap Smith to fill a need at the end of round 1. 27. Buffalo Bills- Dalton Kincaid TE Utah We all know that the Bills are in a tough spot. I think the Bills would try to trade out in this scenario but if there are no trade takes this pick comes down to Q. Johnson, Dalton Kincaid, Jalin Hyatt, Bryan Bresee, and Brian Branch. I just can't see the Bills going defense here and Johnson is not a great fit. I believe that Kincaid is a dynamic weapon that is the # 1 TE in this draft. He would add an extra dynamic to the Bills offense that they are missing. Not going to be a popular pick initially but a talented prospect who only drops this far because he hasn't tested. 28. Cincinnati Bengals- Brian Branch S Alabama I like this pick for numerous reasons due to need, the value of the pick, and Branch isn't a traditional Safety and can play all over the field including in the box and in the slot for Lou Amaruno. 29. New Orleans Saints- Jahmyr Gibbs RB Alabama The Saints have bigger needs but Kamara has issues both on and off the field and Gibbs star is rising as the draft gets closer. Carr also needs immediate help with a versatile weapon and Gibbs provides that in Spades. 30. Philadelphia Eagles- Bryan Bresee DT Clemson Eagles replenish their defense for the 2nd time adding a 3 Tech in Bresee at the end of round 1. Fletcher Cox is at the end of the road and Bresee ends up being his replacement next year. 31. Kansas City Chiefs- Dawand Jones OT Ohio State Andy Reid has a history of taking trench players in the first round in both his time with Philly and KC. Jones fits exactly what they need at the RT position and Reid has never been shy about taking big Raw offensive lineman and molding them over time. 32. Pittsburgh Steelers- Julius Brents CB Kansas State 33. Houston Texans- Quentin Johnson WR TCU 34. Arizona Cardinals- Cam Smith CB South Carolina 35. Indianapolis Colts- O'Cyrus Torrence OG Florida 36. LA Rams- Byron Young DE Tennessee 37. Seattle Seahawks- Adetomiwa Adebawore DT Northwestern 38. Las Vegas Raiders- Kelee Ringo CB Georgia 39. Carolina Panthers- Jalin Hyatt WR Tennessee 40. New Orleans Saints- Isaiah Foskey DE Notre Dame 41. Tennessee Titans- Hendon Hooker QB Tennessee 42. New York Jets- John Michael Schmitz OC Minnesota 43. New York Jets- Calijah Kancey DT Pitt 44. Atlanta Falcons- B.J. Ojulari DE LSU 45. Green Bay Packers- Sam LaPorta TE Iowa 46. New England Patriots- Anton Harrison OT Oklahoma 47. Washington Commanders- Joe Tippmann OC Wisconsin 48. Detroit Lions- Jack Campbell LB Iowa 49. Pittsburgh Steelers- Drew Sanders LB Arkansas 50. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- Jartavius Martin S Illinois 51. Miami Dolphins- Tucker Kraft TE South Dakota State 52. Seattle Seahawks- Josh Downs WR UNC 53. Chicago Bears- Gervon Dexter DT Florida 54. LA Chargers- Emmanuel Forbes CB Miss State 55. Detroit Lions- Steve Avila OG TCU 56. Jacksonville Jaguars- Darnell Washington TE Georgia 57. New York Giants- D.J. Turner CB Michigan 58. Dallas Cowboys- Luke Musgrave TE Oregon State 59. Buffalo Bills- Trenton Simpson LB Clemson 60. Cincinnati Bengals- Matthew Bergeron OT Syracuse 61. Chicago Bears- Cody Mauch OG North Dakota State 62. Philadelphia Eagles- Sydney Brown S Illinois 63. Kansas City Chiefs- Felix Anudike-Uzomah DE Kansas State
  15. No Saldiveri is not a tackle in the NFL he’s either a G/C People are starting to see what I’ve been saying about Quan Martin and Saldiveri for awhile. Both steaming up mock draft boards . Don’t love the first round. Like 2 and 3 don’t see how battle is necessary and the last two are Meh players
  16. Betting lines have shifted to Will Levis being the front runner for the Texans pick
  17. Gotta be Tennessee trying to trade up. Basically gave up on Tannehill last year and Willis crapped the bed so its either go back to Tannehill or shoot for the moon.
  18. Yikes top 25 , the draft sucks, it doesn’t suck that bad. I’d have him as a 4th round prospect not a fan at all. If someone took him in the 3rd okay I get it. Anything before that is a reach
  19. Not a fan of Johnson. 15 years ago he’s have made a great SS but he’s not a great cover guy.
  20. Halfway down a guy asks about Simpson and Sanders and that’s where they tell him the info on the site was wrong
  21. The Cover 1 guys are friends with Jordan Reid and stated in their twitter thread that the site your seeing it at mistook his words and that Simpson and Sanders didn’t visit Buffalo but had workouts with them
  22. Thats actually a solid deal for a top end kicker in the NFL nowadays got him a little cheaper than other top guys
  23. Either FS or Slot CB. He did play boundary a bit at Illinois but most, including myself don’t think that’s his best fit in the NFL
  24. In the case of Martin, he is either a slot Cornerback or a Safety in the NFL so likely has nothing to do with Tre White.
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