Seems like every year, we either pass on someone that nobody knows will hit, ie: Prescott, Wilson and Carr, or we just miss on the guy we "supposedly" wanted.
Need to be aggressive. If they have their eyes on a certain guy, draft him. Who cares if it's a "reach", if you want him then draft him a round ahead of the targeted round. Yeah, it backfired with Manuel, but at least they targeted the guy they wanted and got him - was a poor QB draft to begin with.
You'd think that over time, they would just simply stumble onto a QB that is good...just by pure luck.