dave mcbride

Aaron Schatz is obviously joking, and he's also one of the best NFL analysts on the planet. He created and runs Football Outsiders.

I guess I'd add that McCarron - who I don't dislike! - played on an offense filled with 5-star recruits. My guess is that Garrapolo did more with less. He was actually drafted a lot higher than McCarron, so there is that. To my eye, he also just looks like a better qb than McCarron. But McCarron will have his shot, and maybe he'll excel. His problem is that he'll be throwing to what is currently a rock-bottom receiver corps.

If you're going to use small sample sizes, you better include McCarron's playoff game, in which he had a rating of 68.3 on 41 attempts: 56.1 completion rate, 5.2 ypa, 1 TD, and 1 pick.

Knock Roger Staubach out of your equation. He was drafted one year before he finished at Navy as a "future" pick in 1964 (which the league allowed) because he had to server four years in the Navy after finishing. Everyone knew he was a great player at Navy -- indeed, he was the best player in the country! -- but they also knew that he couldn't play until 1969. He's an anomaly and should not be included.

I don't understand your question.

Football is the ultimate team game. Put Philip Rivers on the Broncos, and he's the qb for multiple super bowl winning teams. Same goes for Drew Brees on the Ravens. QB is the most important position by far, but the QB can't do everything. They can only control what they control.

good stuff. where is this from?

I'm one of those weird people who is a Davis Webb believer. I liked him at Cal and thought he looked like a really good pro prospect.

Every year people say qbs are going to drop. They almost never do, and this is a year in which the top five prospects are actually very promising. Teams that need one will almost certainly trade up.

You're crazy, Yolo! There is zero chance 4 qbs don't go in the top ten. Mayfield will be one of them.

4 in the top 10, and I think it's quit possible they all go in the top 5. After that, I don't know, but I expect Lauletta to go in the second round.

I have been seeing a number of conversations in which people posit this scenario. I would bet most of my possessions that there is not a snowball's chance in hell that a running back -- no matter how good -- is going to go #1 in a draft top-heavy with elite QB prospects. I humbly suggest going forward that we all dispense with the idea that this is a possibility. Dorsey is NOT taking a running back #1 overall. He is not stupid. He is taking a QB (presumably Sam Darnold), and I believe that this will be quite clear long before April 26.

Agreed. This past season was very fluky - in a bad way - for the Giants. I think the 2016 team is the real one. OBJ is gonna come back at 100 percent, Solder is a huge upgrade, and they have defensive talent. They need a back, a TE, and interior linemen. They also only have 5 picks. Eli can still play. When I watch him, he looks. Like EXACTLY the same player he was in 2011. Good analysis.

Yep. There is also zero chance that cleveland is spending the #1 overall pick on a running back.

The Browns are taking Darnold. That is virtually a lock.

Absolutely no (with emphasis). They are drafting a QB.

Preach on!

Throwing this out there - maybe Beane wanted this to happen to ensure that the Jets have no chance at #2, which he could possibly regard as the real prize? The best the Jets could do now would be to trade the #3 pick and next year's first rounder and this year's #72 pick, , but that'd be all they could offer because realistically they don't anything else. I do realize that the third pick is big, but the Bills have so much more ammo. I wonder if they try to package their two mid-50/ picks to move up to the mid-30s. What would be awesome is if they trade those to the colts for 37 and then use that pick to help jump ahead of the jets!

That would be a disastrous outcome for the Bills. The qb they have now is a lesser player than the one they had last season.

If you are as committed to drafting a qb as i am, this is very bad news. I was worried about this happening.

Um ...

I really hope you're right. Neither of their qbs have anything close to long term contracts, however, and this is a great draft for the position. We shall see.

Definitely. A three way trade with the Redskins and the Colts makes a ton of sense when you think it through.

I'm worried about the Jets too.

The Bills made the playoffs last season. The object is to improve on 9-7, not go backward.