dave mcbride

I think we might be overrating this play. Yes, it was a terrible call. No doubt about that. However, if it had been ruled correctly, the Bills would have had first and 28 from their own 7.5 yard line. Assuming they don’t get a first, they punt, and the Rams get the ball at roughly the same spot - maybe 5-10 yards further back. That extra yardage would have helped, i admit, but the bills couldn’t stop the rams anyway.

The rams offense is seriously good and well designed.

Isn't part of it that Allen has made a bunch of wildly inaccurate throws when he runs to his left? He badly overthrew an open receiver early in the Miami game when he ran to his left, and he missed open receivers in the EZ twice when he ran to his left in the Jets game (Knox and then Brown).

Wentz was terrific last season. The roster is decimated by injuries this season too. Plus the receivers are old and breaking down. He's a good player.

I don't want to swap him at all, but I do believe he has the "want to." He's just in a bad situation: a team with a bad, absentee owner, a brutal media market that has it in for the team for historical reasons, two years of terrible offensive line play on the books, lousy receivers, a nutcase as a coach, and a megalomanical DC who you just know is biding his time. Bad scene. They gotta get rid of Gase. Tannehill's performance in TN is the proof. I'm not sure people are paying attention, but in nearly one season of play there he has been historically great - a rating of 118.5: https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/T/TannRy00.htm. No Bills fan thought he had that in him because of his meh performance in Miami. That said, I do think the Jets will take Trevor if they have the opportunity.

This is so true. Speaking of good commentators, I listened to Riddick on ESPN last night, and my god is he good. I had always liked him, but man can he watch a game and pick up the little things and then articulate his point clearly and quickly.

Agreed. That said, I gotta tell ya: Fitzpatrick had an incredibly good game on Sunday. If not for that dropped TD (on a ball that was perfectly thrown), the Bills may have lost that one. We couldn't stop him. He was 16-17 over the middle and averaged 11 yards per attempt with 2 TDs.

Just a PS - the Jets are so stupid that they unloaded a Brinks truck for a RB who is a malcontent, sat out a year over a contract dispute with a team that always wins, has one season-ending ACL tear in his medical history, and got robbed blind by hookers who left him naked in his own bed. I really believe that if Darnold were on the Bills, we'd all be saying that he's the best QB we've had since Kelly. At this point, I like Allen better, but Darnold is not bad. It's the Jets who are bad. They are such a terrible organization. I mean, they trade their best player (Jamal Adams) for a box of rocks, and then Greggo has the gall to say he won't like playing for Pete Carroll because it's too simple there. I mean, wtf???? And another thing about Gase: Since Tannehill left Miami, he has become one of the best QBs in the league. Think about that.

They are an analytics outfit, and will be the first to tell you that there can be outliers. Most QBs who put up Allen's numbers in college wash out in the NFL. It's a probability/prediction based thing. As opposed to PFF, which at this point seems to want Allen to fail to prove a prediction that is looking less and less credible every day, FO follows the data that's on offer. When the facts change, they change their minds. They are very up front about this in the piece and basically say that their prediction, which was based on data, was wrong. And bear in mind that all of these big-armed guys (Locker, Boller, Mallett, Cutler etc. etc.) -- have some contextual issues that explain away some of their weak college stats--just like Josh. The one thing I'd add is team situation too. The Bills have built a good team for him. To be sure, he elevates it because he's really good. But then I look at a guy like Darnold, who often looks good, yet has no real WR threats and who has a coach calling five-yard throws until the fourth quarter when they are down 24-3. That organization may well destroy his career. He is better than he's showing, and that's because of the organization.

Agreed. FO is simpler and might miss some context (ie., drops by Brady's receivers this week), but overall it is more believable and more likely to pass the "do I believe your Rube Goldberg machine stats or my lyin' eyes" test.

Wins are more important than losses that might help you out in tiebreaker situations. If that loss becomes a win, the tiebreaker disappears as an issue. In other words, the fact that a win is against an NFC team ONLY matters in tiebreaker situations. I'm for avoiding tiebreaker situations.

Diggs was 5-star recruit coming out of high school. He went to maryland to stay close to home, got injured a bit in his junior year, and had a terrible qb throwing to him his senior year. That’s why he was overlooked, but the talent was always there.

You can’t use your shoulder on an aggressive blindside block, which is what mckenzie did. Full stop. It is what it is, even though I don’t like it. Just do a screening block in the future. It will have the same effect.

It was just called on TJ Lockett a couple of minutes ago. Pretty close to the Same play. Not a mistake. They are calling it, and the rule is clear regardless of whether we like it. Just called it on Lockett. Players have to know the rules.

Absolutely.

I would take Wilson, but it’s an arguable point.

It was a bad kick and given the distance, the Bills kinda got what they deserved. I have no idea whether it was good or not, but I also think that at that distance, it's on the kicker to make a kick that is clearly through the uprights. Bass does not inspire confidence at all.

The Jets run defense was second best in the league last year as measured by DVOA. They are good at shutting down the run. https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/nfl/team-defense/2019

I'm an Allen fan, but Cam's stat line was great on Sunday. Over 100 rating, 2 rushing TDs, and no TOs. Passing yardage is not an important stat.

He played his final year in buffalo with an unreported torn groin muscle. Factor that into assessments like this.

Man, this team looks great right now.

Who cares about predictions, for christ’s sake?? The season is upon us. Pay attention to that.

I think you are looking at stats incorrectly. Look at his adjusted passing stats, which measures like to like. 100 = league average, and in his first 10 seasons he was above average 9 times. The one time he wasn’t he was injured. https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/N/NamaJo00.htm Again, you guys are looking at stats incorrectly. Look at other qb stats from that era and you will see what I mean. A rating of 80 often led the league in those days.

Because Allen was 15 and using “n*ggas” while sophomorically quoting rap lyrics, a genre he appears to be a big fan of? Huge difference between a young kid doing that and a Bible-Belt holier-than-thou type (look it up) *actually implying that whites are a more elite people* (regardless of whether he was joking or not). It is figuratively apples and oranges.

@DrDare and @Cantankeous — you have both expressed skepticism about my posts that this is all highly problematic for Fromm, particularly in the context of the team. Explain yourselves given that the best player on the team hands down - Tre White - is retweeting posts by multiple pro bowl players (Sherman, Adams, Lockett) taking Fromm to serious task. Plus there is the Jerry Hughes issue, who has been quite vocal about this stuff. They are both ten times the player that Fromm is and genuine team leaders—gamers who always show up and play through injuries. Hughes was badly injured late in the season but was the best player on the field in the Buffalo-Houston playoff game.