Generic_Bills_Fan

You are 100% right but just as a funny footnote the chiefs are surprisingly the lowest ranked team by DVOA in our playoff run so far. If we were to beat them they’d be the lowest ranked team by ELO in our playoff run no matter who wins the nfc championship 😂. If the eagles win that would be true for DVOA also of course that all goes out the window Sunday night haha but pretty interesting stuff. We are almost always higher ranked than them in those metrics but it’s pretty rare that a lower seeded AFC team sneaks in between us. ill never forgive the bengals for blowing this stat haha but since 2020, the only team of the 8 to make the superbowl with an under 15 total dvoa was that bengals team. Curious how many years back that indicator holds up for…I think I’ve gotta pay them money to check further back than 2020 😂 took a look through net points of teams in the superbowl because that’s free, chiefs are at 59 this year and only 5 teams of the 40 were under 60 net points going back 20 years (2 were the giants)

Flag happy crew benefits the bills imo…a non flag happy crew would be a great equalizer for the offensive line disparity between these two teams

I feel like physically as far as beating his man goes he is slowing down, but him and mahomes have insane chemistry on those ‘find a hole in the zone’ type plays so he can still absolutely hurt you badly

Not 100% sure but I’m tryin to look into it

I feel like the hope is some of the AP voters proactively split their votes for all pro and mvp to recognize both guys so I’m not sure this diminishes the pretty low odds any further.. it certainly doesn’t help though 😂

Granted it’s hard to get hype as a punter lol, but has araiza seemed kinda meh?

lol I’ll be a hell of a lot more pissed losing to the chiefs again than I would be losing a Super Bowl to the eagles

I have a conspiracy theory that when they drove down that far we were kind of like ‘flood the field with dbs so they either score fast to leave time for the offense or maybe we get an INT’ might’ve just worked out that way by accident though for sure 😂

I remember reading that too which leads me to believe Darnold won’t win. I feel like voters voted him as their number 2 just for a little recognition even though it’s not supposed to be what the award is about anymore and burrow will definitely win it…we’ll see though I guess

He looked pretty good to me but it’s a steep falloff from brown to him if we’re talkin about run blocking imo

I’m not 100% sure on this but I think the voting is you pick 5 guys for each award that you rank 1-5 and each ranking is worth different points. the ‘finalists’ are probably the top 5 point getters. So it might be a ‘hmm who do I write in for number 5…oh yea that damar Hamlin Hamlin guy from last year’ thing where he is a mile behind these other guys but still technically in the top 5

I think they changed the philosophy behind it to be closer to ‘guys coming back from major injuries and stuff like that’. They didn’t want it to be about ‘guys that sucked for awhile and were suddenly good’ so burrow who’s always good but was injured will very likely get it over Darnold

They tried the 4-3 regular season a bit and two of the linebackers were Spector and morrow due to injury haha I don’t think it was a question of not having the right gameplan they just didn’t have the bodies to execute it. idk I think it was still a mismatch that we mitigated pretty well with a good gameplan. If you go heavy to stop the run you’ve still gotta contend with likely and Andrews in the passing game and they adjusted to our 4-3 as the game went on by going even heavier which seemed pretty effective. If you focus on clogging up interior running lanes Lamar can bounce it outside or vice versa. They really were an absolutely stacked team lol Henry still having gas in the tank was an absolute game changer for them. Back in 2020 everyone said it was a bad matchup and I felt exactly the same way as what you posted here because they really didn’t have that bowling ball type guy so you could focus more on containing Lamar

Not only did they have to move the goalposts but now they have to fight hard to defend why their 3 time mvp has only advanced past the divisional round once.

Milano too

How do they determine the finalists? They count up the votes and send the 1-5 points getters?

Just because I love stirring the pot with pff ratings I have to point out that worthy was ranked lower than Coleman 😂

He got outcoached in the regular season this year? Or am I reading that incorrectly. Can’t think of any other defensive performance against kc where Kelce got held under 10 receiving yards and mahomes had 0 scrambles

Don’t think we were playing much jumbo back then and we were missing Spencer brown so I’m not sure how relevant the effectiveness level is from that last matchup but you are 100% right that we definitely tried lol

Agree with a lot of this I think Kincaid has a really good matchup though I hate that I feel good about this game because it will make it all the more devastating if it doesn’t go how I expect 😂 but to me the chiefs have been playing a bit of a shell game trying to cover up their weaknesses and they’re running into the team that’s probably best equipped to expose them Running the ball and throwing to TEs and RBs is exactly how the bills want to play on offense, and sliding thuney to LT seems to have hurt the chiefs ability to run the football a bit which makes it a bit easier for the bills to have their fun in nickel lol the bills solid but not spectacular pass rushers finally have a couple matchups that seem favorable as well

I went through how different coaches/qbs have fared against the mahomes chiefs in another post and it is absolutely shocking. You’d think the bills never beat them and everyone else does the way josh is talked about but the bills are really the only team having any kind of success against them at all lol

He’s good in coverage and the guy he replaced was pretty bad. It’s definitely a notable upgrade as far as pass coverage goes, feels pretty shaky in run support to me though. I don’t think we’d beat him over the top but he’s gettable in other ways. someone out there in the twitterverse compared epa’s with/without Milano and with/without Watson and it worked out Milano added a little more value. Granted idk how far back they went cuz Milano was absolute dogsh*t his first couple weeks back and has turned it on since lol

I feel like I get the vibe you’re going for and don’t necessarily disagree, but Baltimore had so much talent and was on paper such a bad matchup for us that I think that trumps the whole ‘kc has that magic quality to come up with a clutch play’ thing and Baltimore was definitely the tougher game imo. does not in any way mean this game is easy though or we will definitely win or anything like that. It could still easily go either way.

I have never been to a wedding that didn’t play Mr brightside 😂. I honestly don’t think I’ve ever seen a larger collection of people that were not Mr brightside fans hahaha I thought I’d be just on the older side of posters here but I must be wrong

He struggled on some routine throws in college at times and had a pretty bad performance in the passing drills in the combine and didn’t run the 40. the ‘running back trying to play quarterback’ label followed him far too long into his nfl career imo and maybe that was racially motivated, but I think trying to paint it as ‘he was disrespected in the draft for no game related reasons’ is a bit of a stretch imo Josh’s stock likely rose post combine because he showed off absolutely insane arm talent and ran a pretty respectable 40 considering he had the worst running form for a track event I’ve ever seen 😂. Im sure scouts knew his offensive line and passcatchers were absolutely dreadful in Wyoming also so the completion percentage type numbers were probably taken with a grain of salt