Billl

Just a massive coincidence that their lowest scoring games of each postseason nearly perfectly correlate to the games where they allowed the fewest amount of points and that their highest scoring games also correlate to the games where they allowed the most points. What are the odds? It’s certainly not by design that the Chiefs scored TDs on the first two possessions against Baltimore and then ran the ball 32 times when the Ravens offense couldn’t score for 8 straight possessions. What made it even weirder is that when Baltimore kicked a FG to make it a 7 point game, the Chiefs were seemingly miraculously able to put together a 6 play, 50 yard drive before kneeling down deep in Ravens territory. By God, Kansas City scored 17 points in that game, so if the Ravens had scored 18 the Chiefs would have looked like fools as they knelt down on the ball for an 18-17 defeat.

The Bills scored 500 points that year for crying out loud. Of course the Chiefs had to plan on lighting up the scoreboard. I laid out 15 postseason games for you, and you picked out one 14 point win from the 2020 season in order to reject the idea that the Chiefs are generally able to score more points if that’s what they need to do to win. I don’t know how many times you have to witness it before you stop thinking it’s “patently ridiculous”. It must be that a coach who had 1 playoff win in the previous 10 seasons miraculously became the best postseason coach on the planet the day Mahomes stepped on the field.

It’s 100% true. The Chiefs scored 30 or more points twice all season/postseason. They won 30-27 and 32-29 in those 2 games. The only other game (week 18 excluded) in which they gave up more than 25 points was in the loss to Buffalo during the regular season. It’s been a consistent theme with Kansas City, particularly since they traded away Tyreek. They don’t go to the whip unless they need to. So many seem to think that means they don’t have a whip only to be left wondering where all those welts came from every January.

It’s not an Andy vs McDermott issue, though. The Chiefs score more against the Bills than they do against other teams in the postseason because they have to in order to win. If the Bills scored fewer points, so would the Chiefs. Since Mahomes has been the QB, this is what has happened in his postseason wins: 2019: Chiefs give up 20 and score 31 Chiefs give up 24 and score 35 Chiefs give up 31 and score 51 2020: Chiefs give up 17 and score 22 Chiefs give up 24 and score 38 2021: Chiefs give 21 and score 42 Chiefs give up 36 and score 42 2022: Chiefs give up 20 and score 23 Chiefs give up 20 and score 27 Chiefs give up 35 and score 38 2023: Chiefs give up 7 and score 26 Chiefs give up 10 and score 17 Chiefs give up 24 and score 27 2024: Chiefs give up 14 and score 23 Chiefs give up 29 and score 32 There number of points the Chiefs score in the postseason is incredibly correlated to how many points they need to score. When the Chiefs beat the Ravens 17-10 2 years ago, it wasn’t that the Ravens shut the Chiefs down. The Chiefs started out the game TD, TD, and then went into a shell because Baltimore couldn’t score. They can’t play that way against Josh and the Bills because they can put up so many points. Andy and Mahomes have to hit the throttle in those games. If Allen were to get injured prior to a playoff game against Kansas City this year, the Chiefs aren’t going to gameplan to put up 40 points. They’re going to try to get on top early and win a 24-13 type game while not giving Buffalo a short field due to turnovers.

Since Allen has been in the league, the Bills have averaged allowing 19 PPG in the 9 postseason games when they aren’t playing the Chiefs. They have averaged allowing 33 PPG in the 4 games when they are. Is it just a giant coincidence that the Bills only forget how to play defense against the Chiefs, or could it possibly be that Mahomes and company are just on another level when the season is on the line?

So when the Bills scored 29 points, it was because of great play by Allen, and when the Chiefs scored 32 points, it was because of poor play by the Bills defense. Kind of a “heads I win, tails you lose” sort of standard.

The Chiefs defense carried them to the Superbowl with a 32-29 win in the AFCCG?

He’s past the “prove it deal” part of his career and well into the “sign with whatever team is desperate enough to give you a one-year deal” phase. There are worse places to be 30 years old and wealthy than Miami.

That’s an odd strategy.

Their run defense is going to be le terriblé.

Right, but he seems to be the most commonly mentioned player to sign as a replacement if Hairston and White are going to be shelved for a few weeks or more. Williams would be a much better option if available, IMO. My fear is that the Chiefs cut him and the Bills sign him. My hope is that the Chiefs cut Nazeh Johnson instead in which case you’re more than welcome to scoop him up.

Point taken. If it makes you feel any better, there’s a large faction of Chiefs fans who are up in arms over bringing back Derrick Nnadi to be a backup because he was below average during his 6 seasons as a starter for the team. Evidently there are quality starters out there just lining up to be 2nd and 3rd stringers if only you know where to look.

Eli Ricks is a really good CB? The same guy who went undrafted 2 years ago? I’m not a big believer in the “Approximate Value” formula, but Ricks has a career value of 1. For the sake of comparison, Kaiir Elam has a 6. If Eli Ricks is the answer, you’re asking the wrong question.

The Chiefs are likely going to cut Joshua Williams. Buffalo should grab him in a heartbeat if that happens. He's a decent player, but there's something the Chiefs seem not to like about him, as he certainly seems like a better CB than some of the guys ahead of him on the depth chart. He'd be an improvement over White, Jackson, or Rasul Douglas.

The Saints don't have a salary cap problem. They have a QB problem. If anything, it should vindicate their strategy. Who cares about your cap when your QB is Tyler Shough?

Every fanbase seems to think they’ve got 75 guys on the roster that would immediately be snatched up if they were cut.

On top of this, Shavers is also 26 years old. If he was a 22 year old second-year player, the calculus around him would be a little different. The question becomes how much are you ever going to get out of a 26 year old developmental guy. The list of WRs who have broken out after the age of 25 is short, and most of them have been shifty slots rather than “traits” guys.

Why does anyone reference this hack? His medical opinions are consistently awful, but this isn’t even a medical opinion. This is him trying to parse Beane’s language in order to draw conclusions regarding White’s health for internet clout. He’s basically the Jerry Springer of sports medicine.

If Samuel was a FA, nobody would offer him close to his current contract. He literally has negative trade value. Packaging him with a 26 year old 3rd string RB is straight out of Madden.

I never bet on preseason games, but I’m thinking about pounding the Bills this week. McDermott is going to want to quiet all the chatter.

Buffalo sent KC a 4th round pick in that trade that wound up being used for Jaden Hicks who will start at Safety this season. So the trade wound up being Keon Coleman and Dewayne Carter for Xavier Worthy and Jaden Hicks.

Careful with the phrasing…

If a team wanted Moore, they could have signed him in the offseason. He’s got 1 catch for 5 yards on 4 targets so far in the pre-season and is likely to get cut. Trades have to make sense for both sides, and it’s hard to envision a scenario in which a team is willing to give up draft capital for him.

He’s clearly alluding to Samuel, but who is going to take on that contract for a guy with chronic lower body issues and minimal production?

He was the most important teammate of Josh’s career and helped push him from a player with immense talent into a perennial MVP candidate. With the Bills, he was consistently a top 10 WR bordering on top 5 every year. Don’t think he was ever a truly elite player, though. His name will come up every year in HOF voting discussions, but I don’t see him getting in. As 808 mentioned, there are just too many WRs in his era that had better overall careers than he did. He’s also not going to have a fan base that is really pushing for him to get in.